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Tractor SupplyTSCOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Discretionary›Specialty Stores

Largest US rural lifestyle retailer, selling farm/ranch supplies, tools, workwear and pet products to rural and suburban customers.

Momentum strong 78
Mkt cap
$18.9B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$504M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
18.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+5.0 pp
WACC 6.8%
Hurdle
-4 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB / BBB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
90 days
4 Feb 2027
Close · USD$36.35
1D-0.7%
1W+7.1%
1M+8.6%
3M+5.0%
6M+19.6%
YTD-26.4%
1Y-31.4%
ATR %3.9%
Beta0.38
52w lowhigh35.1% off high

What Tractor Supply does

Largest US rural lifestyle retailer, selling farm/ranch supplies, tools, workwear and pet products to rural and suburban customers.

Sells everyday consumable goods, such as pet and animal feed, that its customers buy repeatedly, plus higher-ticket tools, trailers and equipment, mostly out of small-town stores. Its Neighbor's Club loyalty programme and own brands such as 4health and Retriever help repeat sales. It bought the Allivet online pet pharmacy in 2024.

Products and services

  • Livestock/farm/ranch supplies
  • Pet food and supplies
  • Workwear/tools/hardware
  • Petsense by Tractor Supply (pet specialty)

Customers

  • Rural and suburban homeowners, hobby farmers and r

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Specialty retail
  • Rural lifestyle/farm supply retail

What could go right

  • Rural/suburban population growth (post-pandemic migration)
  • Pet and livestock category growth

What could go wrong

  • Discretionary spending cyclicality among rural consumers
  • Weather-dependent seasonal categories

Moat: narrow (scale, brand, distribution). Dense rural store network with a curated farm/ranch assortment that big-box retailers don't replicate well.

Headquarters: Brentwood, Tennessee, United States · Founded: 1938 · Employees: 52,000

Named competitors

Tractor Supply at a glance

Size Tractor Supply (TSCO) is a United States Consumer Discretionary company (Specialty Stores) with a market value of $18.9B, the 510th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $36.35 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 19.6%, against +19.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 11th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 3.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +7.6%); the operating margin is 8.6% (peer median 5.3%).

Valuation It trades at 18.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 17.1× (10th most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is -4 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.0 points above its cost of capital (6.8% WACC).

Credit Tractor Supply has 3 bonds outstanding ($1.90B), rated BBB by the agencies and trading like BBB+ at a weighted spread of 83 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 8.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 4 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 121TSCO 121
Six months, rebased to 100: Tractor Supply against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Tractor Supply financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$15.9B$15.5B$14.9B$14.6B$14.2B
Revenue growth—+4%+2%+2%—
Gross profit$5.26B$5.16B$4.95B$4.84B$4.63B
EBITDA$1.89B$1.96B$1.91B$1.87B$1.78B
Net income$977M$1.10B$1.10B$1.11B$1.09B
Free cash flow$290M$740M$637M$580M$584M
Capital expenditure$917M$895M$784M$754M$773M
Total debt$6.72B$5.94B$5.42B$5.04B$4.27B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Tractor Supply competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%+60%-10%0%+10%WPAGBJULTADKSWSM9843CA8136MUSAKMXPCOAZOLADATDKALYANKJILUGPANFRASRUSHATSCO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Tractor Supply is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%10×20×30×WPAGBJULTADKSWSM9843CA8136MUSAKMXPCOAZOLADATDKALYANKJILUGPANFRASRUSHATSCORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Tractor Supply is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%WPAGBJULTADKSWSM9843CA8136MUSAATDUGPTSCOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Tractor Supply is the large dot.

Tractor Supply competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (TSCO vs CHWY vs HD vs LOW)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Tractor Supply TSCO$18.9B+20%+4%9%18.0×4.1%
Chewy CHWY$9.07B-2%+6%3%24.1×16.8%
Home Depot (The) HD$343B+9%+2%12%22.4×9.0%
Lowe's LOW$126B-2%+8%11%18.0×2.7%
Walmart WMT$996B-4%+6%4%41.8×14.7%
Petco Health & Wellness WOOF$848M+5%-1%3%12.5×6.6%

How Tractor Supply compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Tractor Supply against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureTSCOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+8.6%+6.3%7th highest of 21
6-month return+19.6%+19.9%11th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-35.1%-12.6%2nd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+3.5%+7.6%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin8.6%5.3%7th highest of 21
Forward P/E18.0×17.1×10th most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)4.1%3.6%9th least demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+7.9%+8.0%9th highest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-3.8 pp-4.0 pp9th least demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital+5.0 pp+5.2 pp10th lowest of 20
EV / EBITDA13.5×10.6×7th most expensive of 17
Net debt / EBITDA3.5×2.2×8th most indebted of 21
Bond spread83 bp114 bp3rd tightest of 10

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Tractor Supply TSCOUnited States$18.9B+20%+4%9%18.0×4.1%+7.9%
Wayfair WUnited States$15.3B+69%+8%2%29.6×47.7%-2.5%
Penske Automotive PAGUnited States$13.9B+22%+6%3%15.2×12.6%+9.2%
BJ's Wholesale Club BJUnited States$13.8B+18%+9%4%22.4×-0.7%+6.8%
Ulta Beauty ULTAUnited States$27.6B+24%+11%13%21.1×7.1%+15.0%
Dick's Sporting Goods DKSUnited States$12.5B-35%+54%6%11.8×8.7%+12.4%
Williams-Sonoma WSMUnited States$29.9B+40%+2%19%25.6×15.4%+2.9%
Nitori 9843.TJapan$11.7B+47%0%13%20.0×2.7%+4.9%
Carrefour CA.PAFrance$11.1B-21%-8%3%8.4×-1.2%+3.1%
Sanrio 8136.TJapan$9.78B+33%+28%39%22.4×1.9%+36.4%
Murphy USA MUSAUnited States$9.45B-10%+20%4%17.5×-9.4%+11.5%
CarMax KMXUnited States$7.31B+28%+4%2%15.5×17.6%+6.7%
Pepco Group BV PCO.WAPoland$7.18B+58%-42%15%16.8×4.6%+4.5%
AutoZone AZOUnited States$51.8B-8%+7%18%19.0×-2.8%+6.8%
Lithia Motors LADUnited States$6.68B+5%+1%4%8.0×n/an/a
Alimentation Couche-Tard ATD.TOCanada$54.5B+5%+12%6%18.3×1.3%+12.0%
Kalyan Jewellers India KALYANKJIL.NSIndia$6.47B+44%+46%6%37.6×n/an/a
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. Sponsored ADR UGPUnited States$6.12B-11%+20%5%7.0×-12.6%+12.2%
AutoNation ANUnited States$5.88B-11%-2%5%8.3×n/an/a
Frasers FRAS.LUnited Kingdom$5.64B+44%+8%7%9.1×n/an/a
Rush Enterprises RUSHAUnited States$5.54B+6%-3%5%15.4×7.9%+9.4%

Tractor Supply bonds and credit

Tractor Supply has 3 bonds outstanding with $1.90B face value. The agencies rate it BBB; its bonds trade like BBB+. Weighted yield 5.47%, a spread of 83 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Tractor Supply's main competitors?
Named competitors: Rural King (private or unlisted), Chewy (CHWY), Orscheln Farm and Home (private or unlisted), Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), Walmart (WMT). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Wayfair (W), Penske Automotive (PAG), BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Williams-Sonoma (WSM).
Is Tractor Supply expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 18.0× against a peer median of 17.1×, 10th most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is -4 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Tractor Supply stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +19.6% against +19.9% for the median peer; over one year -31.4%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.