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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › BROS Dutch Bros, Inc. Class AOpen in the cockpit ↗

Dutch Bros, Inc. Class ABROSCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Discretionary›Restaurants

Drive-thru coffee chain known for fast service and customizable cold/hot drinks, expanding rapidly across the US.

Momentum laggard 13
Mkt cap
$5.90B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
93%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$214M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
31.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-6.6 pp
WACC 13.2%
Hurdle
-2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
110 days
24 Feb 2027
Close · USD$33.77
1D-2.3%
1W-21.2%
1M-15.1%
3M-34.2%
6M-35.9%
YTD-44.8%
1Y-39.2%
ATR %6.8%
Beta1.67
52w lowhigh54.4% off high

What Dutch Bros does

Drive-thru coffee chain known for fast service and customizable cold/hot drinks, expanding rapidly across the US.

Most revenue comes from drinks sold at shops it owns and runs, with franchisees adding royalties. Growth comes from opening new drive-thru shops, many without indoor seating, and moving from its home in the western states into the South and Midwest. Founded in Oregon, it listed in 2021.

Products and services

  • Company-operated drive-thru shops
  • Franchised drive-thru shops
  • Mobile ordering/loyalty app

Customers

  • Younger, drive-thru-oriented coffee consumers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Restaurants
  • Drive-thru coffee chain

What could go right

  • Rapid new-unit expansion into new states
  • Mobile app/loyalty engagement growth

What could go wrong

  • Execution risk from rapid unit growth
  • Coffee/dairy input-cost inflation

Moat: narrow (brand). Distinctive brand and fast drive-thru format are driving growth, but the moat is unproven at national scale.

Headquarters: Grants Pass, Oregon, United States · Founded: 1992 · Employees: 32,000

Named competitors

Dutch Bros at a glance

Size Dutch Bros (BROS) is a United States Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $5.90B, the 1072nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $33.77 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 35.9%, against +16.6% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 29.6% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.3%); the operating margin is 9.7% (peer median 7.9%).

Valuation It trades at 31.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 29.4× (11th cheapest of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 36% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +38%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 6.6 points below its cost of capital (13.2% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $2.60M at 31 Dec 2025, flat on a year earlier — 0.0 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Short interest Short interest is 14.7% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 24 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

7510012511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 118BROS 66
Six months, rebased to 100: Dutch Bros against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Dutch Bros financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$1.88B$1.64B$1.28B$966M$739M
Revenue growth—+28%+33%+31%—
Gross profit$467M$421M$339M$250M$178M
EBITDA$287M$249M$173M$94.1M$42.6M
Net income$92.4M$79.8M$35.3M$1.72M-$4.75M
Free cash flow$75.2M$54.4M$24.7M-$88.5M-$128M
Capital expenditure$290M$241M$222M$228M$194M
Total debt$1.21B$1.09B$943M$677M$625M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Dutch Bros competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+50%0%+20%+40%CAKE3197CAVA686227023563WINGEATSWJUBLFOODDPZSHAKTXRH755033977581ARMK3387BROS6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Dutch Bros is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+10%+20%20×40×60×JMKECAKE3197CAVA686227023563WINGEATSWJUBLFOODDPZSHAK75503397MAB7581ARMK3387BROSRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Dutch Bros is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%+20%+30%+40%0%20%40%CAKE3197CAVA686227023563WINGEATJUBLFOODDPZTXRH7550MAB7581ARMKBROSGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Dutch Bros is the large dot.

Dutch Bros competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (BROS vs SBUX vs QSR vs MCD)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Dutch Bros BROS$5.90B-36%+30%10%31.0×36.3%
Starbucks SBUX$120B+1%+2%11%32.6×18.5%
Restaurant Brands International QSR$35.1B-3%+6%27%18.1×6.3%
McDonald's MCD$196B0%+6%46%20.7×4.1%

How Dutch Bros compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Dutch Bros against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureBROSPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-15.1%+10.1%lowest of 21
6-month return-35.9%+16.6%lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-54.4%-15.6%lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+29.6%+10.3%highest of 21
Operating margin9.7%7.9%8th highest of 21
Forward P/E31.0×29.4×11th cheapest of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)36.3%6.6%2nd most demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+38.0%+14.6%highest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-1.7 pp-2.9 pp8th most demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital-6.6 pp+6.2 pplowest of 21
EV / EBITDA25.0×14.4×3rd most expensive of 21
Net debt / EBITDA3.3×2.1×6th most indebted of 21

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Dutch Bros BROSUnited States$5.90B-36%+30%10%31.0×36.3%+38.0%
Jersey Mike's Subs JMKEUnited States$6.03Bn/a+11%21%26.3×n/an/a
Cheesecake Factory CAKEUnited States$5.32B+73%+8%7%21.2×16.7%+13.6%
Skylark 3197.TJapan$5.18B+19%+11%7%38.5×6.4%+9.7%
CAVA CAVAUnited States$6.91B-26%+27%7%85.5×41.5%+27.9%
Haidilao 6862.HKHong Kong$7.24B-28%+11%12%11.4×2.0%+7.8%
McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan) 2702.TJapan$7.33B+7%+2%14%32.0×1.8%+7.6%
Food & Life Companies 3563.TJapan$7.34B+12%+24%10%35.6×6.9%+16.0%
Wingstop WINGUnited States$4.42B+26%+7%28%35.3×21.9%+22.9%
Brinker International EATUnited States$8.58B+49%+6%11%14.7×9.3%+11.7%
Sodexo SW.PAFrance$9.91B+28%0%3%17.7×6.0%+6.6%
Jubilant Foodworks JUBLFOOD.NSIndia$3.20B-5%+16%10%61.4×28.6%+23.5%
Domino's DPZUnited States$11.0B+4%+4%20%16.3×1.8%+3.7%
Shake Shack SHAKUnited States$3.08B+2%+17%5%55.7×n/an/a
Texas Roadhouse TXRHUnited States$12.1B+4%+10%8%26.8×13.8%+19.6%
Zensho 7550.TJapan$12.2B+41%+12%7%34.3×6.1%+16.3%
TORIDOLL 3397.TJapan$2.68B+19%+3%7%57.7×5.9%+15.6%
Mitchells & Butlers MAB.LUnited Kingdom$2.56B+25%+3%12%10.2×4.7%+12.9%
Saizeriya 7581.TJapan$2.52B+60%+17%5%26.9×4.6%+19.0%
Aramark ARMKUnited States$13.9B+17%+11%4%19.8×16.1%+7.6%
create restaurants 3387.TJapan$2.34B+14%+3%5%65.7×17.8%+17.3%

Dutch Bros backlog

Dutch Bros reported $2.60M of remaining performance obligations at 31 Dec 2025, flat from a year earlier and up 4% from the previous quarter. That is 0.0 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.00.

Questions

Who are Dutch Bros's main competitors?
Named competitors: Starbucks (SBUX), 7 Brew Coffee (private or unlisted), Scooter's Coffee (private or unlisted), Restaurant Brands International (QSR), McDonald's (MCD). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Jersey Mike's Subs (JMKE), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Skylark (3197.T), CAVA (CAVA), Haidilao (6862.HK), McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan) (2702.T).
Is Dutch Bros expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 31.0× against a peer median of 29.4×, 11th cheapest of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 36% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +38%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Dutch Bros stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -35.9% against +16.6% for the median peer; over one year -39.2%.
What is Dutch Bros's backlog?
Dutch Bros's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $2.60M at 31 Dec 2025, 0% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.