Loading…

Haidilao6862.HKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Hong Kong · HKD·Consumer Discretionary›Restaurants

China's largest hot pot restaurant chain, known for its distinctive attentive customer service.

≈ A Chinese hot-pot chain famous for extreme customer serviceMomentum neutral 53
Mkt cap
$7.24B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
36%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$23.0M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
11.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+43.6 pp
WACC 11.6%
Hurdle
-6 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
144 days
30 Mar 2027
Close · HKDHK$10.19
1D0.0%
1W+8.1%
1M+10.6%
3M-10.0%
6M-28.3%
YTD-26.2%
1Y-19.8%
ATR %3.1%
52w lowhigh41.4% off high

What Haidilao does

China's largest hot pot restaurant chain, known for its distinctive attentive customer service.

Earns mostly from diners paying for meals in its own restaurants, so results track table turnover, staff costs and the pace of openings. It expanded very fast to 2020, closed a large number of weaker stores in 2021 and has since added selectively. The founder family, led by Zhang Yong and Shu Ping, controls it.

In one line: A Chinese hot-pot chain famous for extreme customer service.

Products and services

  • Haidilao hot pot restaurants
  • Delivery/retail hot pot products
  • New restaurant brand experiments

Customers

  • Chinese diners (dine-in and delivery)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Restaurants
  • Hot pot restaurant operation

What could go right

  • Same-store sales recovery
  • Overseas expansion

What could go wrong

  • China consumer spending slowdown
  • Rising labor/rent costs

Moat: narrow (brand, process know-how). Reputation for exceptional service and operational training systems are hard to replicate at scale.

Headquarters: Singapore/Beijing · Founded: 1994 · Employees: 125,620

Named competitors

  • Yum China YUMC
  • Xiabuxiabu Catering private or unlisted
  • Jiumaojiu private or unlisted

Haidilao at a glance

Size Haidilao (6862.HK) is a Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $7.24B, the 208th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$10.19 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 28.3%, against +16.6% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 10.6% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.4%); the operating margin is 11.9% (peer median 8.9%).

Valuation It trades at 11.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 28.9× (2nd cheapest of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is -6 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 43.6 points above its cost of capital (11.6% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 30 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 1186862.HK 71
Six months, rebased to 100: Haidilao against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Haidilao financials

Reported figures in HKD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueHK$50.1BHK$46.9BHK$46.4BHK$45.8BHK$36.1B
Revenue growth—+1%+1%+27%—
Gross profitHK$11.5BHK$10.4BHK$10.9BHK$9.53BHK$5.37B
EBITDAHK$8.13BHK$7.90BHK$9.26BHK$9.33BHK$6.22B
Net incomeHK$4.52BHK$4.39BHK$5.10BHK$4.97BHK$1.60B
Free cash flowHK$4.35BHK$4.46BHK$7.33BHK$9.40BHK$6.27B
Capital expenditureHK$1.96BHK$1.90BHK$1.42BHK$708MHK$1.02B
Total debtn/aHK$6.61BHK$6.56BHK$8.04BHK$11.1B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Haidilao competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+50%0%+20%+40%27023563CAVAEATBROSCAKESW3197DPZWINGTXRH7550ARMKJUBLFOODSHAKYUMC339775816862.HK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Haidilao is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+10%+20%20×40×60×27023563CAVAEATJMKEBROSCAKESW3197DPZWING7550ARMKJUBLFOODSHAKYUMC3397MAB75816862.HKRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Haidilao is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%27023563CAVAEATBROSCAKESWDPZWINGTXRH7550ARMKJUBLFOODYUMCMAB75816862.HKGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Haidilao is the large dot.

Haidilao competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (6862.HK vs YUMC)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Haidilao 6862.HK$7.24B-28%+11%12%11.4×2.0%
Yum China YUMC$17.1B+6%+10%13%15.3×-7.5%

How Haidilao compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Haidilao against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure6862.HKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+10.6%+10.1%10th highest of 21
6-month return-28.3%+16.6%2nd lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-41.4%-15.6%3rd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+10.6%+10.4%11th highest of 21
Operating margin11.9%8.9%7th highest of 21
Forward P/E11.4×28.9×2nd cheapest of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)2.0%6.6%4th least demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+7.8%+14.6%6th lowest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-5.9 pp-2.9 pp8th least demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital+43.6 pp+6.2 pp2nd highest of 21
EV / EBITDA6.7×14.4×2nd cheapest of 21
Net debt / EBITDA-0.3×2.2×3rd least indebted of 21

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Haidilao 6862.HKHong Kong$7.24B-28%+11%12%11.4×2.0%+7.8%
McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan) 2702.TJapan$7.33B+7%+2%14%32.0×1.8%+7.6%
Food & Life Companies 3563.TJapan$7.34B+12%+24%10%35.6×6.9%+16.0%
CAVA CAVAUnited States$6.91B-26%+27%7%85.5×41.5%+27.9%
Brinker International EATUnited States$8.58B+49%+6%11%14.7×9.3%+11.7%
Jersey Mike's Subs JMKEUnited States$6.03Bn/a+11%21%26.3×n/an/a
Dutch Bros BROSUnited States$5.90B-36%+30%10%31.0×36.3%+38.0%
Cheesecake Factory CAKEUnited States$5.32B+73%+8%7%21.2×16.7%+13.6%
Sodexo SW.PAFrance$9.91B+28%0%3%17.7×6.0%+6.6%
Skylark 3197.TJapan$5.18B+19%+11%7%38.5×6.4%+9.7%
Domino's DPZUnited States$11.0B+4%+4%20%16.3×1.8%+3.7%
Wingstop WINGUnited States$4.42B+26%+7%28%35.3×21.9%+22.9%
Texas Roadhouse TXRHUnited States$12.1B+4%+10%8%26.8×13.8%+19.6%
Zensho 7550.TJapan$12.2B+41%+12%7%34.3×6.1%+16.3%
Aramark ARMKUnited States$13.9B+17%+11%4%19.8×16.1%+7.6%
Jubilant Foodworks JUBLFOOD.NSIndia$3.20B-5%+16%10%61.4×28.6%+23.5%
Shake Shack SHAKUnited States$3.08B+2%+17%5%55.7×n/an/a
Yum China YUMCUnited States$17.1B+6%+10%13%15.3×-7.5%+7.4%
TORIDOLL 3397.TJapan$2.68B+19%+3%7%57.7×5.9%+15.6%
Mitchells & Butlers MAB.LUnited Kingdom$2.56B+25%+3%12%10.2×4.7%+12.9%
Saizeriya 7581.TJapan$2.52B+60%+17%5%26.9×4.6%+19.0%

Questions

Who are Haidilao's main competitors?
Named competitors: Yum China (YUMC), Xiabuxiabu Catering (private or unlisted), Jiumaojiu (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan) (2702.T), Food & Life Companies (3563.T), CAVA (CAVA), Brinker International (EAT), Jersey Mike's Subs (JMKE), Dutch Bros (BROS).
Is Haidilao expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 11.4× against a peer median of 28.9×, 2nd cheapest of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is -6 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Haidilao stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -28.3% against +16.6% for the median peer; over one year -19.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.