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StarbucksSBUXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Discretionary›Restaurants

World's largest coffeehouse chain, selling handcrafted coffee/tea beverages and food through owned and licensed stores.

Momentum strong 67
Mkt cap
$120B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$920M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
32.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+20.4 pp
WACC 9.2%
Hurdle
+13 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB+ / A
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
88 days
2 Feb 2027
Close · USD$105.41
1D-0.7%
1W+1.7%
1M+13.1%
3M+0.7%
6M+1.1%
YTD+26.7%
1Y+29.7%
ATR %2.8%
Beta0.57
52w lowhigh5.5% off high

What Starbucks does

World's largest coffeehouse chain, selling handcrafted coffee/tea beverages and food through owned and licensed stores.

Earns mostly from sales at stores it runs itself, with licensed stores in airports and groceries paying royalties and buying product from it. Nestle sells its packaged coffee under a global alliance since 2018. Chief executive Brian Niccol, hired in 2024 from Chipotle, is leading a turnaround.

Products and services

  • Company-operated cafes
  • Licensed stores
  • Packaged/at-home coffee products
  • Mobile order/loyalty (Starbucks Rewards)

Customers

  • Everyday coffee/tea consumers globally

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Restaurants
  • Coffeehouse chain

What could go right

  • China/international store growth
  • Loyalty/mobile-order engagement

What could go wrong

  • US traffic softness and turnaround execution risk
  • Rising coffee/dairy input costs

Moat: narrow (brand, scale, installed base). Strong global brand and dense store network, but faces mounting competition and a US traffic/turnaround challenge.

Headquarters: Seattle, Washington, United States · Founded: 1971

Named competitors

Starbucks at a glance

Size Starbucks (SBUX) is a United States Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $120B, the 106th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $105.41 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 1.1%, against +6.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 3rd lowest of 6 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 2.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.8%); the operating margin is 10.8% (peer median 27.8%).

Valuation It trades at 32.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.8× (most expensive of 5).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 19% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is +13 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 20.4 points above its cost of capital (9.2% WACC).

Credit Starbucks has 19 bonds outstanding ($13.3B), rated BBB+ by the agencies and trading like A at a weighted spread of 69 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.8% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 2 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 108SBUX 100
Six months, rebased to 100: Starbucks against the median of its 5 peers (local-currency closes).

Starbucks financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
Revenue$37.9B$37.9B$37.2B$36.1B$36.0B
Revenue growth—+2%+3%+1%—
Gross profit$6.45B$6.46B$6.08B$7.66B$7.82B
EBITDA$5.64B$5.57B$5.23B$6.73B$6.82B
Net income$2.53B$2.53B$1.86B$3.76B$4.12B
Free cash flow$3.72B$3.72B$2.44B$3.32B$3.68B
Capital expenditure$1.26B$1.26B$2.31B$2.78B$2.33B
Total debt$22.4B$22.4B$26.6B$25.8B$24.6B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Starbucks competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+5%+10%+5%+10%+15%MCDYUMCMGQSP-UNQSRSBUX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Starbucks is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+2%+4%+6%+8%20×25×30×MCDYUMCMGQSRSBUXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Starbucks is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+5%+10%+15%+20%0%10%20%MCDYUMCMGQSP-UNQSRSBUXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Starbucks is the large dot.

Starbucks competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (SBUX vs BROS vs QSR vs MCD)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Starbucks SBUX$120B+1%+2%11%32.6×18.5%
Dutch Bros BROS$5.90B-36%+30%10%31.0×36.3%
Restaurant Brands International QSR$35.1B-3%+6%27%18.1×6.3%
McDonald's MCD$196B0%+6%46%20.7×4.1%

How Starbucks compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Starbucks against its 5 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureSBUXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+13.1%+9.9%2nd highest of 6
6-month return+1.1%+6.0%3rd lowest of 6
Distance from 52-week high-5.5%-5.3%3rd lowest of 6
Revenue growth (TTM)+2.0%+5.8%lowest of 6
Operating margin10.8%27.8%lowest of 6
Forward P/E32.6×22.8×most expensive of 5
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)18.5%4.1%most demanding of 6
Growth delivered (Del g)+5.5%+13.7%lowest of 6
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+13.0 pp-7.4 ppmost demanding of 6
ROIC minus cost of capital+20.4 pp+8.0 pp2nd highest of 5
EV / EBITDA24.6×17.2×most expensive of 6
Net debt / EBITDA3.3×3.7×3rd least indebted of 6
Bond spread69 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Starbucks SBUXUnited States$120B+1%+2%11%32.6×18.5%+5.5%
McDonald's MCDUnited States$196B0%+6%46%20.7×4.1%+7.0%
Yum! Brands YUMUnited States$44.0B+7%+9%32%24.8×-0.2%+7.8%
Chipotle Mexican Grill CMGUnited States$43.6B+6%+8%15%27.1×15.1%+14.8%
Restaurant Brands International LP QSP-UN.TOCanada$35.9B+12%+5%28%n/a1.0%+14.6%
Restaurant Brands International QSRUnited States$35.1B-3%+6%27%18.1×6.3%+13.7%

Starbucks bonds and credit

Starbucks has 19 bonds outstanding with $13.3B face value. The agencies rate it BBB+; its bonds trade like A. Weighted yield 5.52%, a spread of 69 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Starbucks's main competitors?
Named competitors: Dutch Bros (BROS), Restaurant Brands International (Tim Hortons) (QSR), Luckin Coffee (private or unlisted), Dunkin' (Inspire Brands) (private or unlisted), McDonald's (MCD). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes McDonald's (MCD), Yum! Brands (YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), Restaurant Brands International LP (QSP-UN.TO), Restaurant Brands International (QSR).
Is Starbucks expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 32.6× against a peer median of 22.8×, most expensive of 5 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 19% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is +13 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Starbucks stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +1.1% against +6.0% for the median peer; over one year +29.7%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.