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Chipotle Mexican GrillCMGCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Discretionary›Restaurants

Fast-casual chain serving customizable burritos, bowls and tacos made with unprocessed ingredients, mostly company-operated.

Momentum strong 71
Mkt cap
$43.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$692M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
27.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+11.6 pp
WACC 9.3%
Hurdle
+0 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
95 days
9 Feb 2027
Close · USD$34.43
1D-2.7%
1W+8.0%
1M+5.3%
3M+7.1%
6M+6.0%
YTD-7.0%
1Y+7.7%
ATR %3.6%
Beta0.45
52w lowhigh16.9% off high

What Chipotle Mexican Grill does

Fast-casual chain serving customizable burritos, bowls and tacos made with unprocessed ingredients, mostly company-operated.

Owns nearly every restaurant rather than franchising, so it keeps all store profit but also carries labour and ingredient costs, with price rises and visits both feeding sales. Growth comes from opening new restaurants, increasingly with drive-through pickup lanes, and from selling more through digital orders. It operates mainly in the US.

Products and services

  • Company-operated restaurants
  • Digital/delivery ordering
  • Chipotlanes (drive-thru pickup)

Customers

  • Health/quality-conscious fast-casual diners

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Restaurants
  • Fast-casual Mexican-inspired

What could go right

  • New unit growth and Chipotlane throughput
  • Digital/loyalty sales mix growth

What could go wrong

  • Fast-casual competitive intensity (Cava and others)
  • Beef/avocado input-cost volatility

Moat: narrow (brand, process know-how). Strong brand built on fresh, customizable food and an efficient assembly-line model; increasingly copied by rivals.

Headquarters: Newport Beach, California, United States · Founded: 1993 · Employees: 130,301

Named competitors

Chipotle Mexican Grill at a glance

Size Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) is a United States Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $43.6B, the 283rd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $34.43 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 6.0%, against +6.5% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 5th lowest of 11 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 7.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.6%); the operating margin is 14.9% (peer median 12.4%).

Valuation It trades at 27.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.8× (3rd most expensive of 10).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 15% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +15%, so the hurdle is +0 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 11.6 points above its cost of capital (9.3% WACC).

Short interest Short interest is 3.0% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 9 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026CMG 108Peer median 108
Six months, rebased to 100: Chipotle Mexican Grill against the median of its 10 peers (local-currency closes).

Chipotle Mexican Grill financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$12.7B$11.9B$11.3B$9.87B$8.63B
Revenue growth—+5%+15%+14%—
Gross profit$2.64B$2.66B$2.68B$2.27B$1.78B
EBITDA$2.29B$2.37B$2.32B$1.95B$1.51B
Net income$1.38B$1.54B$1.53B$1.23B$899M
Free cash flow$1.51B$1.45B$1.51B$1.22B$844M
Capital expenditure$838M$666M$594M$561M$479M
Total debt$5.60B$5.08B$4.54B$4.05B$3.73B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Chipotle Mexican Grill competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+20%+40%0%+10%+20%YUMQSP-UNQSRDRIYUMCSBUXARMK7550TXRHDPZCMG6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Chipotle Mexican Grill is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+2.5%+5%+7.5%+10%+12.5%20×30×YUMQSRDRIYUMCSBUXARMK7550TXRHDPZCMGRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Chipotle Mexican Grill is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%+20%0%10%20%YUMQSP-UNQSRDRIYUMCSBUXARMK7550TXRHDPZCMGGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Chipotle Mexican Grill is the large dot.

Chipotle Mexican Grill competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CMG vs CAVA vs SG vs SHAK)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG$43.6B+6%+8%15%27.1×15.1%
CAVA CAVA$6.91B-26%+27%7%85.5×41.5%
Sweetgreen SG$1.43B+72%-1%-18%n/an/a
Shake Shack SHAK$3.08B+2%+17%5%55.7×n/a

How Chipotle Mexican Grill compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Chipotle Mexican Grill against its 10 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCMGPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+5.3%+11.5%3rd lowest of 11
6-month return+6.0%+6.5%5th lowest of 11
Distance from 52-week high-16.9%-6.2%2nd lowest of 11
Revenue growth (TTM)+7.9%+8.6%5th lowest of 11
Operating margin14.9%12.4%5th highest of 11
Forward P/E27.1×19.8×3rd most expensive of 10
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)15.1%6.2%3rd most demanding of 11
Growth delivered (Del g)+14.8%+10.3%3rd highest of 11
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+0.3 pp-6.6 pp3rd most demanding of 11
ROIC minus cost of capital+11.6 pp+7.0 pp4th highest of 11
EV / EBITDA21.1×16.2×2nd most expensive of 11
Net debt / EBITDA2.0×3.5×4th least indebted of 11

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Chipotle Mexican Grill CMGUnited States$43.6B+6%+8%15%27.1×15.1%+14.8%
Yum! Brands YUMUnited States$44.0B+7%+9%32%24.8×-0.2%+7.8%
Restaurant Brands International LP QSP-UN.TOCanada$35.9B+12%+5%28%n/a1.0%+14.6%
Restaurant Brands International QSRUnited States$35.1B-3%+6%27%18.1×6.3%+13.7%
Darden Restaurants DRIUnited States$25.6B+15%+8%12%19.7×7.5%+12.9%
Yum China YUMCUnited States$17.1B+6%+10%13%15.3×-7.5%+7.4%
Starbucks SBUXUnited States$120B+1%+2%11%32.6×18.5%+5.5%
Aramark ARMKUnited States$13.9B+17%+11%4%19.8×16.1%+7.6%
Zensho 7550.TJapan$12.2B+41%+12%7%34.3×6.1%+16.3%
Texas Roadhouse TXRHUnited States$12.1B+4%+10%8%26.8×13.8%+19.6%
Domino's DPZUnited States$11.0B+4%+4%20%16.3×1.8%+3.7%

Questions

Who are Chipotle Mexican Grill's main competitors?
Named competitors: Cava Group (CAVA), Sweetgreen (SG), Shake Shack (SHAK), Qdoba (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Yum! Brands (YUM), Restaurant Brands International LP (QSP-UN.TO), Restaurant Brands International (QSR), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Yum China (YUMC), Starbucks (SBUX).
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 27.1× against a peer median of 19.8×, 3rd most expensive of 10 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 15% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +15%, so the hurdle is +0 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Chipotle Mexican Grill stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +6.0% against +6.5% for the median peer; over one year +7.7%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.