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Blue Bird CorporationBLBDCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Discretionary›Motor Vehicles

US manufacturer of school buses, including diesel, propane, gasoline and electric models, sold mainly to school districts.

Momentum weak 36
Mkt cap
$1.82B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$34.9M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+11.2 pp
WACC 11.7%
Hurdle
-7 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
38 days
14 Dec 2026
Close · USD$58.09
1D-1.9%
1W+3.9%
1M+3.4%
3M-11.1%
6M-18.2%
YTD+23.6%
1Y+13.1%
ATR %3.8%
Beta1.04
52w lowhigh30.3% off high

What Blue Bird does

US manufacturer of school buses, including diesel, propane, gasoline and electric models, sold mainly to school districts.

Sells buses through independent dealers who win district bids, with parts and service to the installed fleet giving steadier income. Its two main rivals are owned by truck groups, while Blue Bird is a standalone specialist, and electric buses depend on federal and state clean-bus funding.

Products and services

  • Type C conventional buses
  • Type D transit-style buses
  • Electric school buses
  • Parts & service

Customers

  • School districts
  • Fleet dealers/contractors

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Motor vehicles
  • School bus manufacturing

What could go right

  • Federal/state clean-bus funding programs
  • Fleet replacement cycle

What could go wrong

  • Dependence on government funding/subsidies
  • Input cost and supply chain swings

Moat: narrow (brand, distribution, regulatory licence). Long-standing dealer network and safety-certification track record in a niche vehicle category.

Headquarters: Fort Valley, Georgia, United States · Founded: 1927 · Employees: 2,012

Named competitors

Blue Bird at a glance

Size Blue Bird (BLBD) is a United States Consumer Discretionary company (Motor Vehicles) with a market value of $1.82B, the 1862nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $58.09 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 18.2%, against -13.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 13.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +6.1%); the operating margin is 11.8% (peer median 3.8%).

Valuation It trades at 12.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 12.3× (6th most expensive of 13).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +11%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 11.2 points above its cost of capital (11.7% WACC).

Short interest Short interest is 13.6% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 14 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 86BLBD 83
Six months, rebased to 100: Blue Bird against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Blue Bird financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$1.61B$1.48B$1.35B$1.13B$801M
Revenue growth—+10%+19%+41%—
Gross profit$332M$304M$255M$137M$35.4M
EBITDA$212M$182M$153M$68.8M-$25.3M
Net income$282M$128M$106M$23.8M-$45.8M
Free cash flow$153M$153M$95.8M$111M-$33.6M
Capital expenditure$27.4M$22.9M$15.3M$8.52M$6.45M
Total debt$116M$96.6M$101M$137M$179M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Blue Bird competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-60%-40%-20%0%+20%-40%-20%0%+20%OLAELEC3013450005503002016000060009272206THULELCIDFORCEMOT6035296001661114002283TRI600501992172111585BLBD6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Blue Bird is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%5×10×15×20×301345000550300201THULE6035296001661114002283TRI992172111585BLBDRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Blue Bird is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%0%20%3013453002010009272206THULEFORCEMOT603468600166002283TRI1585BLBDGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Blue Bird is the large dot.

Blue Bird competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (BLBD vs DTG.DE vs 8TRA.DE)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Blue Bird BLBD$1.82B-18%+13%12%12.8×3.7%
Daimler Truck DTG.DE$34.7B-1%-14%5%10.6×9.8%
Traton 8TRA.DE$18.9B+2%+1%6%6.1×n/a

How Blue Bird compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Blue Bird against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureBLBDPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+3.4%-1.9%6th highest of 21
6-month return-18.2%-13.9%9th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-30.3%-35.6%9th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+13.5%+6.1%7th highest of 21
Operating margin11.8%3.8%5th highest of 21
Forward P/E12.8×12.3×6th most expensive of 13
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)3.7%4.1%7th least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+11.0%+5.4%4th highest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-7.3 pp+0.4 pp6th least demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital+11.2 pp+0.2 pp3rd highest of 20
EV / EBITDA8.6×10.4×4th cheapest of 9
Net debt / EBITDA-0.0×-0.8×4th most indebted of 9

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Blue Bird BLBDUnited States$1.82B-18%+13%12%12.8×3.7%+11.0%
Ola Electric Mobility OLAELEC.NSIndia$1.81B-3%-49%-83%n/an/an/a
Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles 301345.SZChina$1.91B-54%+53%25%11.9×2.2%+23.3%
Jiangling Motors 000550.SZChina$1.70B-12%+7%1%11.9×n/an/a
Xuzhou Handler Special Vehicle 300201.SZChina$1.64B-9%+18%22%22.5×22.0%-3.3%
Dongfeng Automobile 600006.SSChina$1.53B-24%-5%-13%n/an/an/a
China Railway Materials 000927.SZChina$2.20B-14%+1%2%n/a6.3%-5.0%
Sanyang Motor 2206.TWTaiwan$1.43B+8%-3%8%n/a1.2%+9.0%
Thule THULE.STSweden$2.39B-6%+2%17%18.3×9.3%+5.9%
Lucid LCIDUnited States$1.30B-48%+67%-259%n/an/an/a
Force Motors FORCEMOT.NSIndia$2.64B-8%+16%12%n/a25.2%+35.4%
Aima Technology 603529.SSChina$2.67B-11%-11%5%12.7×n/an/a
Tianjin FUJI-TA Bicycle Industrial 603468.SSChina$1.19Bn/a+3%8%n/a13.5%+4.9%
Beiqi Foton Motor 600166.SSChina$2.88B-31%+13%1%10.1×-1.2%+1.3%
Brilliance China Automotive 1114.HKHong Kong$1.15B-40%+18%-30%6.0×n/an/a
Tianrun Industry Technology 002283.SZChina$1.14B-39%+31%9%16.0×6.1%-1.7%
Trigano TRI.PAFrance$2.93B-16%+2%9%9.4×-6.0%+10.9%
Aerosun 600501.SSChina$1.10B-28%+10%-5%n/an/an/a
Giant Manufacturing 9921.TWTaiwan$1.06B+29%-15%2%18.1×1.3%-3.0%
Mitsubishi Motor 7211.TJapan$3.21B+13%+5%3%17.9×n/an/a
Yadea 1585.HKHong Kong$3.36B-28%+13%7%8.9×-11.2%+13.0%

Questions

Who are Blue Bird's main competitors?
Named competitors: Thomas Built Buses (Daimler Truck) (DTG.DE), IC Bus (Traton) (8TRA.DE), Lion Electric (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Ola Electric Mobility (OLAELEC.NS), Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles (301345.SZ), Jiangling Motors (000550.SZ), Xuzhou Handler Special Vehicle (300201.SZ), Dongfeng Automobile (600006.SS), China Railway Materials (000927.SZ).
Is Blue Bird expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.8× against a peer median of 12.3×, 6th most expensive of 13 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +11%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Blue Bird stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -18.2% against -13.9% for the median peer; over one year +13.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.