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Li Auto-w2015.HKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Hong Kong · HKD·Consumer Discretionary›Motor Vehicles

Chinese maker of premium extended-range and battery EVs sold direct-to-consumer through company-owned stores.

≈ China's Tesla, but range-extender-firstMomentum neutral 54
Mkt cap
$12.4B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
66%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$47.1M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
n/m
no positive forecast
ROIC−WACC
-62.9 pp
WACC 10.6%
Hurdle
n/a
no reverse DCF
Next earnings
25 days
1 Dec 2026
Close · HKDHK$47.44
1D-0.1%
1W+10.7%
1M+9.1%
3M-5.0%
6M-32.2%
YTD-26.6%
1Y-41.9%
ATR %3.9%
52w lowhigh42.1% off high

What Li Auto-w does

Chinese maker of premium extended-range and battery EVs sold direct-to-consumer through company-owned stores.

Sells cars direct to buyers through its own stores, with a service network but no dealers, and its range-extender SUVs, which use an electric motor plus a small gasoline generator that recharges the battery, have supplied most volume. It has been expanding into pure battery models. Founder Li Xiang keeps voting control through special shares.

In one line: China's Tesla, but range-extender-first.

Products and services

  • Li L-series EREV SUVs
  • Li MEGA BEV MPV
  • Li i-series BEV SUVs
  • In-house ADAS software

Customers

  • Chinese urban family SUV/MPV buyers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Automobiles
  • New-energy vehicles
  • Extended-range EV (EREV) and BEV…

What could go right

  • EREV demand while EV charging remains inconvenient
  • New L-series/i-series model launches

What could go wrong

  • Intense China EV price war
  • BEV ramp slower than plan

Moat: narrow (brand, distribution). Strong brand among Chinese family buyers and a fast-growing owned-store network in a crowded EV market.

Headquarters: Beijing, China · Founded: 2015 · Employees: 30,728

Named competitors

Li Auto-w at a glance

Size Li Auto-w (2015.HK) is a Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary company (Motor Vehicles) with a market value of $12.4B, the 136th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$47.44 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 32.2%, against -7.4% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 24.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.0%); the operating margin is -6.7% (peer median 5.9%).

Valuation It trades at 0.3× enterprise value to sales against a peer median of 0.8× (2nd cheapest of 21).

Capital Return on invested capital runs 62.9 points below its cost of capital (10.6% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 1 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 932015.HK 68
Six months, rebased to 100: Li Auto-w against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Li Auto-w financials

Reported figures in HKD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueHK$117BHK$122BHK$157BHK$137BHK$52.7B
Revenue growth—-22%+14%+160%—
Gross profitHK$15.8BHK$22.8BHK$32.2BHK$30.4BHK$10.1B
EBITDAn/aHK$855MHK$10.2BHK$9.86B-HK$2.84B
Net income-HK$5.22BHK$1.22BHK$8.71BHK$12.9B-HK$2.34B
Free cash flown/a-HK$13.9BHK$8.89BHK$48.8BHK$2.62B
Capital expendituren/aHK$4.56BHK$8.38BHK$7.19BHK$5.96B
Total debtHK$34.7BHK$38.6BHK$31.8BHK$33.7BHK$19.0B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Li Auto-w competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%0%+10%7270HEROMOTOCO7309TMPV992760163360006672729868000625RNOTMCV7202STLAPPAH39973600104HYUNDAIOSK8TRA2015.HK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Li Auto-w is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%0×2×4×7270HEROMOTOCO7309TMPV992760163360006672729868000625PAH39973HYUNDAIOSK8TRA2015.HKRevenue growth (TTM) →EV / Sales →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Li Auto-w is the large dot.

Li Auto-w competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (2015.HK vs 9866.HK vs 9868.HK vs 1211.HK)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginEV / SalesReq g
Li Auto-w 2015.HK$12.4B-32%-24%-7%0.3×n/a
NIO 9866.HK$7.60B-46%+70%-4%0.3×n/a
XPeng 9868.HK$9.51B-37%+29%-7%0.9×n/a
BYD 1211.HK$98.9B-26%0%4%1.0×n/a
Seres 601127.SS$11.0B-51%-6%-4%0.4×n/a
Tesla TSLA$1.42T-16%+8%4%13.4×n/a

How Li Auto-w compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Li Auto-w against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure2015.HKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+9.1%+3.0%6th highest of 21
6-month return-32.2%-7.4%4th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-42.1%-25.8%5th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-24.5%+5.0%lowest of 20
Operating margin-6.7%5.9%3rd lowest of 21
EV / Sales0.3×0.8×2nd cheapest of 21
ROIC minus cost of capital-62.9 pp-1.2 pplowest of 20

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginEV / SalesReq gDelivered g
Li Auto-w 2015.HKHong Kong$12.4B-32%-24%-7%0.3×n/an/a
Subaru 7270.TJapan$12.3B+16%0%3%0.3×2.7%+11.1%
Hero Motocorp HEROMOTOCO.NSIndia$11.7B+3%+27%12%1.9×14.1%+9.2%
Shimano 7309.TJapan$11.5B+29%+5%12%2.8×6.0%+4.3%
Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles TMPV.NSIndia$11.4B-19%-22%0%0.3×n/an/a
Seres 9927.HKHong Kong$11.4B-54%-2%-4%0.5×n/an/a
Great Wall Motor 601633.SSChina$15.0B-29%+8%2%0.4×-7.1%+16.4%
Yutong Bus 600066.SSChina$10.1B-12%+3%14%1.4×-10.0%+13.8%
Yamaha Motor 7272.TJapan$10.1B+54%+10%6%0.8×4.2%+11.5%
XPeng 9868.HKHong Kong$9.51B-37%+29%-7%0.9×n/an/a
Chongqing Changan Automobile 000625.SZChina$9.51B-25%-7%0%0.5×n/an/a
Renault RNO.PAFrance$9.39B+2%+6%6%1.0×3.4%+5.9%
Tata Motors TMCV.NSIndia$16.6B-2%n/a9%1.6×17.8%n/a
Isuzu Motors 7202.TJapan$9.26B-1%+5%6%0.6×n/an/a
Stellantis STLAP.PAFrance$17.0B-40%-2%-14%0.3×n/an/a
Porsche Automobil Holding SE Pref PAH3.DEGermany$8.98B-19%+13%108%4.8×9.4%+2.4%
Chery Automobile 9973.HKHong Kong$17.8B-22%+11%5%0.0×n/an/a
SAIC Motor 600104.SSChina$17.8B-24%-3%2%0.3×-14.7%-2.4%
Hyundai Motor India HYUNDAI.NSIndia$18.3B+16%+8%7%2.2×26.6%+11.8%
Oshkosh OSKUnited States$8.19B-3%+4%7%0.8×4.7%+8.7%
Traton 8TRA.DEGermany$18.9B+2%+1%6%1.0×n/an/a

Questions

Who are Li Auto-w's main competitors?
Named competitors: NIO (9866.HK), XPeng (9868.HK), BYD (1211.HK), Seres Group (Aito) (601127.SS), Tesla (TSLA). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Subaru (7270.T), Hero Motocorp (HEROMOTOCO.NS), Shimano (7309.T), Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV.NS), Seres (9927.HK), Great Wall Motor (601633.SS).
Is Li Auto-w expensive compared with its peers?
On ev / sales it trades at 0.3× against a peer median of 0.8×, 2nd cheapest of 21 in its peer set.
How has Li Auto-w stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -32.2% against -7.4% for the median peer; over one year -41.9%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.