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Shimano Inc.7309.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Consumer Discretionary›Motor Vehicles

World's leading maker of bicycle components—gears, brakes, drivetrains—plus fishing tackle.

≈ The dominant global bicycle-component maker, akin to Intel for bikesMomentum leader 92
Mkt cap
$11.5B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
78%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$43.6M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
35.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+4.9 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
+2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
102 days
16 Feb 2027
Close · JPY¥21,120
1D-3.8%
1W+6.6%
1M+21.0%
3M+7.6%
6M+28.7%
YTD+27.7%
1Y+17.8%
ATR %2.8%
52w lowhigh4.4% off high

What Shimano does

World's leading maker of bicycle components—gears, brakes, drivetrains—plus fishing tackle.

Sells component sets, such as gears, brakes and cranks, to bicycle makers that fit them as complete groups, and to the aftermarket through bike shops; bicycle components are the much larger business and fishing tackle is smaller. Most sales are outside Japan, led by Europe, with factories in Asia.

In one line: The dominant global bicycle-component maker, akin to Intel for bikes.

Products and services

  • Bicycle drivetrains/gears
  • Bicycle brakes
  • Fishing tackle

Customers

  • Bicycle brands/OEMs worldwide
  • Retail cyclists
  • Anglers (fishing gear)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Sporting goods
  • Bicycle component manufacturing
  • Drivetrains, brakes, gears + fishing…

What could go right

  • Cycling/e-bike demand growth

What could go wrong

  • Bicycle industry demand cyclicality (post-COVID normalization)

Moat: wide (scale, brand, switching costs). Dominant global share in bike drivetrains with deep OEM integration few rivals can match.

Headquarters: Sakai, Japan · Founded: 1921 · Employees: 10,242

Named competitors

Shimano at a glance

Size Shimano (7309.T) is a Japan Consumer Discretionary company (Motor Vehicles) with a market value of $11.5B, the 121st largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥21,120 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 28.7%, against -18.7% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 5.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +6.4%); the operating margin is 12.2% (peer median 2.2%).

Valuation It trades at 35.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 11.5× (2nd most expensive of 16).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is +2 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.9 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 16 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 20267309.T 127Peer median 82
Six months, rebased to 100: Shimano against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Shimano financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥490B¥466B¥451B¥474B¥629B
Revenue growth—+3%-5%-25%—
Gross profit¥176B¥167B¥172B¥183B¥266B
EBITDA¥87.9B¥78.9B¥90.1B¥108B¥190B
Net income¥57.9B¥34.0B¥76.3B¥61.1B¥128B
Free cash flown/a¥28.3B¥50.2B¥89.8B¥90.4B
Capital expendituren/a¥45.8B¥45.6B¥31.3B¥27.5B
Total debt¥3.23B¥4.03B¥3.56B¥3.39B¥5.38B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Shimano competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%-25%0%+25%+50%0%+10%+20%HEROMOTOCOTMPV99277270201560006672729868000625RNO7202PAH3601633OSKTMCVSTLAP9866ATHERENERG99737309.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Shimano is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%0×25×50×75×HEROMOTOCOTMPV992772706000667272000625RNOPAH3601633STLAP99737309.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Shimano is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%-10%0%10%HEROMOTOCO72706000667272RNOPAH3601633OSK7309.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Shimano is the large dot.

Shimano competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (7309.T vs 7990.T)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Shimano 7309.T$11.5B+29%+5%12%35.8×6.0%
GLOBERIDE 7990.T$333M+19%+4%4%10.1×3.3%

How Shimano compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Shimano against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure7309.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+21.0%+3.9%2nd highest of 21
6-month return+28.7%-18.7%3rd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-4.4%-29.8%2nd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+5.0%+6.4%9th lowest of 20
Operating margin12.2%2.2%4th highest of 21
Forward P/E35.8×11.5×2nd most expensive of 16
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)6.0%4.2%4th most demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)+4.3%+10.1%2nd lowest of 9
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+1.7 pp-5.7 pp3rd most demanding of 9
ROIC minus cost of capital+4.9 pp-2.2 pp4th highest of 18
EV / EBITDA15.8×7.9×most expensive of 10
Net debt / EBITDA-4.9×1.7×least indebted of 10

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Shimano 7309.TJapan$11.5B+29%+5%12%35.8×6.0%+4.3%
Hero Motocorp HEROMOTOCO.NSIndia$11.7B+3%+27%12%19.1×14.1%+9.2%
Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles TMPV.NSIndia$11.4B-19%-22%0%10.7×n/an/a
Seres 9927.HKHong Kong$11.4B-54%-2%-4%90.9×n/an/a
Subaru 7270.TJapan$12.3B+16%0%3%12.0×2.7%+11.1%
Li Auto-w 2015.HKHong Kong$12.4B-32%-24%-7%n/an/an/a
Yutong Bus 600066.SSChina$10.1B-12%+3%14%11.5×-10.0%+13.8%
Yamaha Motor 7272.TJapan$10.1B+54%+10%6%9.3×4.2%+11.5%
XPeng 9868.HKHong Kong$9.51B-37%+29%-7%n/an/an/a
Chongqing Changan Automobile 000625.SZChina$9.51B-25%-7%0%28.5×n/an/a
Renault RNO.PAFrance$9.39B+2%+6%6%4.9×3.4%+5.9%
Isuzu Motors 7202.TJapan$9.26B-1%+5%6%8.8×n/an/a
Porsche Automobil Holding SE Pref PAH3.DEGermany$8.98B-19%+13%108%33.4×9.4%+2.4%
Great Wall Motor 601633.SSChina$15.0B-29%+8%2%15.1×-7.1%+16.4%
Oshkosh OSKUnited States$8.19B-3%+4%7%11.2×4.7%+8.7%
Tata Motors TMCV.NSIndia$16.6B-2%n/a9%20.7×17.8%n/a
Stellantis STLAP.PAFrance$17.0B-40%-2%-14%8.2×n/an/a
NIO 9866.HKHong Kong$7.60B-46%+70%-4%n/an/an/a
VinFast Auto VFSUnited States$7.60B-25%+74%-86%n/an/an/a
Ather Energy ATHERENERG.NSIndia$7.57B+101%+63%-7%n/an/an/a
Chery Automobile 9973.HKHong Kong$17.8B-22%+11%5%5.8×n/an/a

Questions

Who are Shimano's main competitors?
Named competitors: SRAM (private or unlisted), Campagnolo (private or unlisted), Globeride (Daiwa) (7990.T). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Hero Motocorp (HEROMOTOCO.NS), Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV.NS), Seres (9927.HK), Subaru (7270.T), Li Auto-w (2015.HK), Yutong Bus (600066.SS).
Is Shimano expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 35.8× against a peer median of 11.5×, 2nd most expensive of 16 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is +2 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Shimano stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +28.7% against -18.7% for the median peer; over one year +17.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.