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Union Pacific CorporationUNPCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Railroads

Operates the largest US freight railroad network, covering the western two-thirds of the country.

Momentum strong 66
Mkt cap
$172B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$827M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
20.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.1 pp
WACC 8.5%
Hurdle
+4 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
A- / A+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
83 days
28 Jan 2027
Close · USD$290.16
1D-2.6%
1W-4.5%
1M+4.3%
3M-0.7%
6M+10.2%
YTD+26.8%
1Y+35.7%
ATR %2.3%
Beta0.24
52w lowhigh8.2% off high

What Union Pacific does

Operates the largest US freight railroad network, covering the western two-thirds of the country.

Charges shippers for moving goods over its own tracks, by volume and distance, with intermodal containers and bulk goods such as grain and chemicals. It agreed in 2025 to buy Norfolk Southern to form a coast-to-coast railroad, subject to regulatory approval.

Products and services

  • Intermodal freight
  • Bulk (agricultural, coal, chemicals)
  • Industrial products

Customers

  • Retailers/e-commerce (intermodal)
  • Agricultural shippers
  • Chemical/industrial manufacturers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Transportation
  • Class I freight railroad

What could go right

  • Freight volume growth (intermodal, agriculture)
  • Operating-ratio improvement from efficiency programs

What could go wrong

  • Freight-volume cyclicality tied to the broader economy
  • Trucking competition on shorter routes

Moat: wide (scale, regulatory licence, installed base). Owning irreplaceable rail rights-of-way across the western US makes it a natural duopoly/monopoly on many routes.

Headquarters: Omaha, Nebraska, United States · Founded: 1862 · Employees: 29,287

Named competitors

Union Pacific at a glance

Size Union Pacific (UNP) is a United States Industrials company (Railroads) with a market value of $172B, the 72nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $290.16 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 10.2%, against +3.4% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 7th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 7.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.8%); the operating margin is 40.0% (peer median 14.2%).

Valuation It trades at 20.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 16.0× (6th most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.1 points above its cost of capital (8.5% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $157M at 31 Dec 2025, down 1% on a year earlier — 0.0 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Union Pacific has 47 bonds outstanding ($30.7B), rated A- by the agencies and trading like A+ at a weighted spread of 67 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 4.7% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 28 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026UNP 111Peer median 103
Six months, rebased to 100: Union Pacific against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Union Pacific financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$26.4B$24.5B$24.2B$24.1B$24.9B
Revenue growth—+1%+1%-3%—
Gross profit$12.0B$11.2B$11.0B$10.5B$11.2B
EBITDA$13.1B$12.3B$12.1B$11.4B$12.2B
Net income$7.62B$7.14B$6.75B$6.38B$7.00B
Free cash flow$6.69B$5.50B$5.89B$4.77B$5.74B
Capital expenditure$3.83B$3.79B$3.45B$3.61B$3.62B
Total debt$31.1B$32.8B$32.5B$34.2B$35.0B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Union Pacific competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+10%0%+5%+10%CSXCPCNRNSC6018169020601006GET9021GATX9009AZJ90079001CONCOR9142601333900890069045UNP6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Union Pacific is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+4%+6%+8%+10%10×15×20×25×CSXCPCNR6018169020601006GET9021GATX9009AZJ90079001CONCOR9142601333900890069045UNPRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Union Pacific is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%0%20%CSXCPCNRNSC601816GET9021AZJCONCOR601333UNPGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Union Pacific is the large dot.

Union Pacific competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (UNP vs BRK-B vs CP.TO vs NSC)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Union Pacific UNP$172B+10%+7%40%20.7×8.8%
Berkshire Hathaway BRK-B$1.22T+20%+4%16%26.0×n/a
Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.TO$80.6B+12%+7%37%23.0×17.4%
Norfolk Southern NSC$71.9B+3%+6%33%22.6×16.6%
CSX CSX$90.5B+10%+6%36%21.5×13.6%
Canadian National Railway CNR.TO$75.0B+16%+7%38%20.0×9.4%
J.B. Hunt JBHT$20.3B-11%+11%7%24.3×16.8%

How Union Pacific compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Union Pacific against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureUNPPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+4.3%+5.5%9th lowest of 21
6-month return+10.2%+3.4%7th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-8.2%-8.2%11th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+7.4%+5.8%6th highest of 21
Operating margin40.0%14.2%3rd highest of 21
Forward P/E20.7×16.0×6th most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)8.8%9.7%5th least demanding of 11
Growth delivered (Del g)+4.6%+9.2%3rd lowest of 11
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+4.2 pp+0.4 pp5th most demanding of 11
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.1 pp-0.8 pphighest of 21
EV / EBITDA15.3×14.4×7th most expensive of 18
Net debt / EBITDA2.1×4.2×2nd least indebted of 18
Bond spread67 bp80 bptightest of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Union Pacific UNPUnited States$172B+10%+7%40%20.7×8.8%+4.6%
CSX CSXUnited States$90.5B+10%+6%36%21.5×13.6%+5.9%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.TOCanada$80.6B+12%+7%37%23.0×17.4%+14.4%
Canadian National Railway CNR.TOCanada$75.0B+16%+7%38%20.0×9.4%+4.6%
Norfolk Southern NSCUnited States$71.9B+3%+6%33%22.6×16.6%+4.5%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway 601816.SSChina$39.3B+9%+3%44%18.7×-2.8%+11.3%
East Japan Railway 9020.TJapan$27.4B+13%+9%14%15.8×n/an/a
Daqin Railway 601006.SSChina$14.5B-7%+3%6%16.3×n/an/a
Getlink GET.PAFrance$12.3B+9%+9%40%35.3×10.1%+14.3%
West Japan Railway 9021.TJapan$9.19B+12%+6%10%13.8×2.4%+14.9%
GATX GATXUnited States$6.38B-2%+30%30%17.0×n/an/a
Keisei Electric Railway 9009.TJapan$4.51B+26%+4%11%15.5×n/an/a
Aurizon AZJ.AXAustralia$4.49B-5%+6%21%14.8×4.4%+6.7%
Odakyu Electric Railway 9007.TJapan$3.80B+11%+3%13%15.1×n/an/a
Tobu Railway 9001.TJapan$3.58B+3%+5%11%10.0×n/an/a
Container Corporation of India CONCOR.NSIndia$3.55B-16%+1%14%25.4×33.8%+7.2%
Kyushu Railway 9142.TJapan$3.53B0%+5%14%11.3×n/an/a
Guangshen Railway 601333.SSChina$3.16B+1%+5%6%16.3×-14.9%+11.9%
Keio 9008.TJapan$2.80B+3%+10%10%10.5×n/an/a
Keikyu 9006.TJapan$2.73B+2%+4%11%13.4×n/an/a
Keihan 9045.TJapan$2.15B+3%+10%15%11.5×n/an/a

Union Pacific bonds and credit

Union Pacific has 47 bonds outstanding with $30.7B face value. The agencies rate it A-; its bonds trade like A+. Weighted yield 5.66%, a spread of 67 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Union Pacific backlog

Union Pacific reported $157M of remaining performance obligations at 31 Dec 2025, down 1% from a year earlier. That is 0.0 years of trailing revenue already under contract.

Questions

Who are Union Pacific's main competitors?
Named competitors: BNSF Railway (Berkshire Hathaway) (BRK-B), Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP.TO), Norfolk Southern (NSC), CSX (CSX), Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO), J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes CSX (CSX), Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP.TO), Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO), Norfolk Southern (NSC), Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway (601816.SS), East Japan Railway (9020.T).
Is Union Pacific expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 20.7× against a peer median of 16.0×, 6th most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Union Pacific stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +10.2% against +3.4% for the median peer; over one year +35.7%.
What is Union Pacific's backlog?
Union Pacific's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $157M at 31 Dec 2025, -1% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.