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Norfolk SouthernNSCCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Railroads

Operates a major freight railroad network across the eastern United States.

Momentum neutral 53
Mkt cap
$71.9B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$325M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
22.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+0.7 pp
WACC 9.8%
Hurdle
+12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB+ / A
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
82 days
27 Jan 2027
Close · USD$319.94
1D-2.8%
1W-6.6%
1M+0.9%
3M-4.2%
6M+2.5%
YTD+11.8%
1Y+15.5%
ATR %2.3%
Beta0.29
52w lowhigh10.8% off high

What Norfolk Southern does

Operates a major freight railroad network across the eastern United States.

Is paid per shipment, with rates set by distance, commodity and contract, and kept in check by what customers could pay a trucker instead. It agreed in 2025 to combine with Union Pacific, a deal needing approval from the Surface Transportation Board. The 2023 East Palestine derailment brought regulatory scrutiny and cost.

Products and services

  • Intermodal freight
  • Bulk (coal, agricultural, chemicals)
  • Merchandise/industrial products

Customers

  • Retailers/e-commerce (intermodal)
  • Coal and chemical shippers
  • Industrial manufacturers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Transportation
  • Class I freight railroad

What could go right

  • Intermodal and merchandise freight volume growth
  • Operating-efficiency improvements

What could go wrong

  • Coal-volume secular decline
  • Safety/regulatory scrutiny following past derailment incidents

Moat: wide (scale, regulatory licence, installed base). Owning irreplaceable eastern US rail rights-of-way makes it a natural duopoly on many routes with CSX.

Headquarters: Atlanta, Georgia, United States · Founded: 1982 · Employees: 19,300

Named competitors

Norfolk Southern at a glance

Size Norfolk Southern (NSC) is a United States Industrials company (Railroads) with a market value of $71.9B, the 190th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $319.94 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 2.5%, against +11.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — lowest of 7 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 6.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +6.7%); the operating margin is 32.5% (peer median 37.2%).

Valuation It trades at 22.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 20.3× (2nd most expensive of 7).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 17% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 0.7 points above its cost of capital (9.8% WACC).

Credit Norfolk Southern has 32 bonds outstanding ($16.8B), rated BBB+ by the agencies and trading like A at a weighted spread of 77 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.2% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 27 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 110NSC 103
Six months, rebased to 100: Norfolk Southern against the median of its 6 peers (local-currency closes).

Norfolk Southern financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$13.0B$12.2B$12.1B$12.2B$12.7B
Revenue growth—0%0%-5%—
Gross profit$4.22B$3.95B$3.76B$2.81B$4.73B
EBITDA$5.64B$5.34B$5.12B$4.11B$5.95B
Net income$2.68B$2.87B$2.62B$1.82B$3.27B
Free cash flow$1.65B$2.16B$28.0M$830M$2.27B
Capital expenditure$2.14B$2.20B$4.02B$2.35B$1.95B
Total debt$16.6B$17.8B$18.0B$18.1B$16.1B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Norfolk Southern competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

+5%+10%+15%0%+5%+10%+15%CNRCPCSX601816UNP9020NSC6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Norfolk Southern is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+4%+6%+8%17.5×20×22.5×CNRCPCSX601816UNP9020NSCRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Norfolk Southern is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+5%+10%+15%0%10%CNRCPCSX601816UNPNSCGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Norfolk Southern is the large dot.

Norfolk Southern competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (NSC vs CSX vs UNP vs CNR.TO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Norfolk Southern NSC$71.9B+3%+6%33%22.6×16.6%
CSX CSX$90.5B+10%+6%36%21.5×13.6%
Union Pacific UNP$172B+10%+7%40%20.7×8.8%
Canadian National Railway CNR.TO$75.0B+16%+7%38%20.0×9.4%
J.B. Hunt JBHT$20.3B-11%+11%7%24.3×16.8%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.TO$80.6B+12%+7%37%23.0×17.4%

How Norfolk Southern compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Norfolk Southern against its 6 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureNSCPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+0.9%+7.6%lowest of 7
6-month return+2.5%+11.0%lowest of 7
Distance from 52-week high-10.8%-6.8%lowest of 7
Revenue growth (TTM)+6.0%+6.7%3rd lowest of 7
Operating margin32.5%37.2%2nd lowest of 7
Forward P/E22.6×20.3×2nd most expensive of 7
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)16.6%9.4%2nd most demanding of 6
Growth delivered (Del g)+4.5%+5.9%lowest of 6
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+12.2 pp+4.2 ppmost demanding of 6
ROIC minus cost of capital+0.7 pp+2.5 pp3rd lowest of 7
EV / EBITDA15.4×15.3×2nd most expensive of 6
Net debt / EBITDA2.7×2.5×3rd most indebted of 6
Bond spread77 bp71 bp2nd widest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Norfolk Southern NSCUnited States$71.9B+3%+6%33%22.6×16.6%+4.5%
Canadian National Railway CNR.TOCanada$75.0B+16%+7%38%20.0×9.4%+4.6%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP.TOCanada$80.6B+12%+7%37%23.0×17.4%+14.4%
CSX CSXUnited States$90.5B+10%+6%36%21.5×13.6%+5.9%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway 601816.SSChina$39.3B+9%+3%44%18.7×-2.8%+11.3%
Union Pacific UNPUnited States$172B+10%+7%40%20.7×8.8%+4.6%
East Japan Railway 9020.TJapan$27.4B+13%+9%14%15.8×n/an/a

Norfolk Southern bonds and credit

Norfolk Southern has 32 bonds outstanding with $16.8B face value. The agencies rate it BBB+; its bonds trade like A. Weighted yield 5.82%, a spread of 77 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Norfolk Southern's main competitors?
Named competitors: CSX (CSX), Union Pacific (UNP), Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO), J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT), Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP.TO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO), Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP.TO), CSX (CSX), Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway (601816.SS), Union Pacific (UNP), East Japan Railway (9020.T).
Is Norfolk Southern expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 22.6× against a peer median of 20.3×, 2nd most expensive of 7 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 17% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Norfolk Southern stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +2.5% against +11.0% for the median peer; over one year +15.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.