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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd Class AOpen in the cockpit ↗

Pagaya Technologies Ltd Class APGYCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Information Technology›Packaged Software

Provides AI-driven credit underwriting technology that helps banks and lenders approve more consumer and auto loans.

Momentum neutral 45
Mkt cap
$1.47B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
90%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$37.0M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
7.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+2.2 pp
WACC 13.9%
Hurdle
-65 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
103 days
17 Feb 2027
Close · USD$17.50
1D+0.5%
1W-9.0%
1M-4.2%
3M-19.0%
6M+15.2%
YTD-16.3%
1Y-31.6%
ATR %7.6%
Beta3.04
52w lowhigh41.2% off high

What Pagaya Technologies does

Provides AI-driven credit underwriting technology that helps banks and lenders approve more consumer and auto loans.

Earns fees from lenders for loans its models approve and for arranging funding that investors provide, and often co-invests alongside them, so it holds some credit risk. Income depends on loan volume, investor appetite for the loans and how they perform. It is Israeli-founded.

Products and services

  • AI credit underwriting models
  • Loan funding/capital markets network (investors)
  • Point-of-sale/auto lending technology

Customers

  • Banks/lenders (partners)
  • Institutional investors (loan buyers)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Information technology
  • Fintech/AI lending technology
  • AI credit underwriting & loan approval…

What could go right

  • Growing bank/lender partnership network
  • Institutional investor demand for loan assets

What could go wrong

  • Credit cycle/loan default risk
  • Reliance on continued institutional funding for loans

Moat: narrow (data, IP / patents, network effects). Proprietary AI models trained on large alternative-data loan datasets improve approval accuracy over time.

Headquarters: Tel Aviv, Israel · Founded: 2016 · Employees: 518

Named competitors

Pagaya Technologies at a glance

Size Pagaya Technologies (PGY) is a United States Information Technology company (Packaged Software) with a market value of $1.47B, the 2002nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $17.50 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 15.2%, against -23.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 4th highest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 10.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.2%); the operating margin is 21.7% (peer median 5.7%).

Valuation It trades at 7.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 21.3× (2nd cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +69%, so the hurdle is -65 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.2 points above its cost of capital (13.9% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 17 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

7510012515011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026PGY 120Peer median 78
Six months, rebased to 100: Pagaya Technologies against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Pagaya Technologies financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$1.35B$1.26B$1.00B$773M$685M
Revenue growth—+26%+30%+13%—
Gross profit$535M$493M$384M$264M$234M
EBITDA$311M$273M$82.5M-$44.5M-$309M
Net income$154M$81.4M-$401M-$128M-$302M
Free cash flow$234M$225M$30.0M-$10.6M-$62.4M
Capital expenditure$32.2M$29.9M$23.2M$20.2M$22.4M
Total debt$1.02B$889M$755M$487M$212M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Pagaya Technologies competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%0%+50%-20%0%+20%XZO26375066826214NNEVCMFRACTAL300031BLALKT002063300674300378688327PDXCXM300682PTECPGY6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Pagaya Technologies is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+100%+200%+300%0×50×100×150×XZO26375066826214581AEVCMFRACTAL300031300674600446PTECPGYRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Pagaya Technologies is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%75%XZO6214581AEVCMFRACTAL300031BLALKT002063PDXCXM300682PTECPGYGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Pagaya Technologies is the large dot.

Pagaya Technologies competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (PGY vs UPST vs AFRM)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Pagaya Technologies PGY$1.47B+15%+11%22%7.8×4.1%
Upstart UPST$2.17B-24%+39%5%20.4×n/a
Affirm AFRM$23.1B+6%+32%22%35.0×n/a

How Pagaya Technologies compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Pagaya Technologies against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasurePGYPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-4.2%+1.4%7th lowest of 21
6-month return+15.2%-23.1%4th highest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-41.2%-44.0%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+10.8%+9.2%10th highest of 21
Operating margin21.7%5.7%3rd highest of 21
Forward P/E7.8×21.3×2nd cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)4.1%14.1%4th least demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+68.9%+12.4%highest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-64.8 pp+2.1 pp2nd least demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital+2.2 pp-1.4 pp5th highest of 19
EV / EBITDA7.2×12.8×2nd cheapest of 10
Net debt / EBITDA2.3×-1.2×3rd most indebted of 12

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Pagaya Technologies PGYUnited States$1.47B+15%+11%22%7.8×4.1%+68.9%
Exzeo XZOUnited States$1.47B+21%+329%49%14.8×-8.4%+59.0%
PearlAbyss 263750.KSSouth Korea$1.47B-44%+114%40%7.1×n/an/a
Phancy 6682.HKHong Kong$1.48B-45%+42%-5%88.0×n/an/a
Systex 6214.TWTaiwan$1.46B+54%+34%3%16.6×-12.4%+13.1%
GO Inc. 581A.TJapan$1.45Bn/a+32%17%21.9×34.7%+31.9%
NextNav NNUnited States$1.45B-56%-36%-1,900%n/an/an/a
EverCommerce EVCMUnited States$1.45B-31%-7%13%11.7×11.6%+11.8%
Fractal Analytics FRACTAL.NSIndia$1.49B-27%+19%12%41.5×31.4%+18.5%
Wuxi Boton Technology 300031.SZChina$1.50B+8%+22%2%32.5×30.2%+5.6%
BlackLine BLUnited States$1.50B-15%+9%7%10.0×12.1%+14.8%
Alkami Technology ALKTUnited States$1.44B-25%+24%-5%13.1×12.6%+31.7%
YGsoft 002063.SZChina$1.51B-16%+5%13%31.0×16.3%+8.9%
Yusys Technologies 300674.SZChina$1.53B-23%-11%8%20.8×15.6%+4.0%
Shenzhen Kingdom Sci-tech 600446.SSChina$1.41B-27%-22%-6%177.0×n/an/a
Digiwin 300378.SZChina$1.54B-2%+10%9%32.5×n/an/a
CloudWalk Technology 688327.SSChina$1.54B-28%-47%-165%n/an/an/a
Paradox Interactive PDX.STSweden$1.54B+6%+13%6%25.3×20.8%+4.1%
Sprinklr CXMUnited States$1.55B+25%+6%6%13.0×4.8%+17.2%
Longshine Technology 300682.SZChina$1.39B-35%+7%-9%25.9×49.4%+6.0%
Playtech PTEC.LUnited Kingdom$1.39B+7%-54%0%11.4×-6.0%-7.4%

Questions

Who are Pagaya Technologies's main competitors?
Named competitors: Upstart Holdings (UPST), Affirm Holdings (AFRM), Zest AI (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Exzeo (XZO), PearlAbyss (263750.KS), Phancy (6682.HK), Systex (6214.TW), GO Inc. (581A.T), NextNav (NN).
Is Pagaya Technologies expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 7.8× against a peer median of 21.3×, 2nd cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +69%, so the hurdle is -65 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Pagaya Technologies stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +15.2% against -23.1% for the median peer; over one year -31.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.