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CumminsCMICompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Auto Parts: OEM

Designs and manufactures diesel and natural-gas engines and powertrains for trucks, equipment and power generation, expanding into hydrogen/electric.

Momentum laggard 15
Mkt cap
$62.0B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$730M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
13.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+5.8 pp
WACC 10.5%
Hurdle
+0 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
A / AA
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
95 days
9 Feb 2027
Close · USD$450.07
1D+0.3%
1W-10.0%
1M-13.5%
3M-29.1%
6M-33.6%
YTD-11.2%
1Y+3.6%
ATR %3.7%
Beta1.46
52w lowhigh39.0% off high

What Cummins does

Designs and manufactures diesel and natural-gas engines and powertrains for trucks, equipment and power generation, expanding into hydrogen/electric.

Sells engines to truck and equipment makers, then earns repeat income from replacement parts, filtration and service through its distributor network, so the installed base matters. It bought axle and brake maker Meritor in 2022. Power-generation units sell into backup and data-center power, and it runs joint ventures in China and India.

Products and services

  • Engines (diesel/natural gas)
  • Power Systems (generators)
  • Components (turbochargers, filtration)
  • Accelera (electrified/hydrogen power)

Customers

  • Truck OEMs (PACCAR, Daimler)
  • Construction/mining equipment makers
  • Power-generation customers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Engines and power systems
  • Engine manufacturing and…

What could go right

  • Data-center backup power generator demand
  • Natural gas engine adoption

What could go wrong

  • Diesel engine demand decline from electrification/emissions rules
  • Truck market cyclicality

Moat: narrow (scale, brand, installed base). Decades of engine-reliability reputation and a large parts/service network support fleet-operator loyalty.

Headquarters: Columbus, Indiana, US · Founded: 1919 · Employees: 67,400

Named competitors

Cummins at a glance

Size Cummins (CMI) is a United States Industrials company (Auto Parts: OEM) with a market value of $62.0B, the 214th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $450.07 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 33.6%, against -1.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 2.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.1%); the operating margin is 11.4% (peer median 17.8%).

Valuation It trades at 13.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.9× (2nd cheapest of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +11%, so the hurdle is +0 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.8 points above its cost of capital (10.5% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $6.30B at 31 Dec 2025, up 17% on a year earlier — 0.2 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Cummins has 11 bonds outstanding ($6.67B), rated A by the agencies and trading like AA at a weighted spread of 58 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.3% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 9 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 100CMI 64
Six months, rebased to 100: Cummins against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Cummins financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$34.7B$33.7B$34.1B$34.0B$28.1B
Revenue growth—-1%0%+21%—
Gross profit$8.72B$8.41B$8.31B$8.10B$6.65B
EBITDA$5.09B$5.00B$4.63B$4.29B$3.47B
Net income$2.71B$2.84B$3.95B$735M$2.15B
Free cash flow$3.37B$2.39B$279M$2.75B$1.05B
Capital expenditure$1.28B$1.24B$1.21B$1.21B$916M
Total debt$8.29B$8.11B$7.60B$7.21B$8.36B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Cummins competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-40%-20%0%FASTURITDGGWWHONVRTPCARNSCAMENOCBERSGLHXITWWABPWRJCICMI6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Cummins is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%20×30×40×FASTURITDGDALGWWHONVRTPCARNSCBERSGLHXITWWABPWRCMIRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Cummins is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+10%+20%+30%0%10%20%30%FASTURITDGDALGWWHONVRTNSCFDXAMENOCRSGLHXITWWABPWRJCICMIGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Cummins is the large dot.

Cummins competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CMI vs CAT vs PCAR vs DTG.DE)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Cummins CMI$62.0B-34%+3%11%13.8×11.6%
Caterpillar CAT$257B-38%+20%19%18.8×18.0%
Paccar PCAR$53.7B-11%-1%11%15.4×11.2%
Daimler Truck DTG.DE$34.7B-1%-14%5%10.6×9.8%
Volvo VOLV-A.ST$65.2B-1%-3%12%14.7×5.4%

How Cummins compares with its peers

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Cummins against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCMIPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-13.5%+3.0%4th lowest of 21
6-month return-33.6%-1.0%2nd lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-39.0%-13.7%4th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+2.9%+9.1%3rd lowest of 20
Operating margin11.4%17.8%6th lowest of 21
Forward P/E13.8×22.9×2nd cheapest of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)11.6%11.5%10th least demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+11.2%+8.4%6th highest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+0.4 pp+4.2 pp5th least demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital+5.8 pp+2.9 pp8th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA13.2×17.7×5th cheapest of 21
Net debt / EBITDA0.9×2.0×5th least indebted of 21
Bond spread58 bp77 bp3rd tightest of 17

Peer table

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Cummins CMIUnited States$62.0B-34%+3%11%13.8×11.6%+11.2%
Fastenal FASTUnited States$60.8B+20%+14%21%38.3×14.2%+7.7%
United Rentals URIUnited States$65.4B+13%+9%26%17.8×19.7%+13.5%
TransDigm TDGUnited States$66.2B-1%+17%47%25.5×9.7%+11.6%
Delta Air Lines DALUnited States$57.4B+19%+14%7%13.4×9.9%+30.0%
W. W. Grainger GWWUnited States$67.9B+17%+9%17%28.2×11.9%+8.7%
Honeywell Technologies HONUnited States$69.8B-1%-17%18%23.2×4.1%+2.8%
Vertiv VRTUnited States$70.4B-46%+35%21%20.0×25.4%+18.5%
Paccar PCARUnited States$53.7B-11%-1%11%15.4×11.2%+8.7%
Norfolk Southern NSCUnited States$71.9B+3%+6%33%22.6×16.6%+4.5%
FedEx FDXUnited States$72.2B+1%+8%7%15.4×8.3%+2.5%
Ametek AMEUnited States$52.4B-1%+14%27%24.8×18.5%+10.3%
Northrop Grumman NOCUnited States$74.6B-4%+7%11%17.8×0.2%+2.7%
Bloom Energy BEUnited States$51.2B-21%+111%15%36.5×n/an/a
Republic Services RSGUnited States$75.2B+24%+4%20%31.9×6.6%+10.3%
Honeywell Aerospace HONAUnited States$48.5Bn/an/a20%18.8×n/an/a
L3Harris LHXUnited States$48.4B-13%+7%12%20.1×7.0%+3.7%
Illinois Tool Works ITWUnited States$79.8B+11%+5%27%23.4×9.7%+5.0%
Wabtec WABUnited States$47.6B+7%+13%18%23.8×17.0%+8.1%
Quanta Services PWRUnited States$81.5B-27%+37%7%26.4×24.3%+20.5%
Johnson Controls JCIUnited States$81.8B-3%+9%16%21.3×17.8%+1.6%

Cummins bonds and credit

Cummins has 11 bonds outstanding with $6.67B face value. The agencies rate it A; its bonds trade like AA. Weighted yield 5.41%, a spread of 58 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Cummins backlog

Cummins reported $6.30B of remaining performance obligations at 31 Dec 2025, up 17% from a year earlier and up 5% from the previous quarter. That is 0.2 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.03.

Questions

Who are Cummins's main competitors?
Named competitors: Caterpillar (CAT), PACCAR (PCAR), Daimler Truck (DTG.DE), Volvo Group (VOLV-A.ST). The cockpit's measured peer set (sector in the same market, nearest in size) also includes Fastenal (FAST), United Rentals (URI), TransDigm (TDG), Delta Air Lines (DAL), W. W. Grainger (GWW), Honeywell Technologies (HON).
Is Cummins expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 13.8× against a peer median of 22.9×, 2nd cheapest of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +11%, so the hurdle is +0 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Cummins stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -33.6% against -1.0% for the median peer; over one year +3.6%.
What is Cummins's backlog?
Cummins's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $6.30B at 31 Dec 2025, +17% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.