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Caterpillar Inc.CATCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery

World's largest maker of construction and mining equipment, plus diesel/natural-gas engines and power generation systems.

Momentum laggard 10
Mkt cap
$257B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$2.53B
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
18.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.0 pp
WACC 11.9%
Hurdle
+8 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
A / AA-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
90 days
4 Feb 2027
Close · USD$558.63
1D+0.9%
1W-10.3%
1M-29.8%
3M-33.3%
6M-37.8%
YTD-2.1%
1Y-1.4%
ATR %5.3%
Beta1.71
52w lowhigh48.0% off high

What Caterpillar does

World's largest maker of construction and mining equipment, plus diesel/natural-gas engines and power generation systems.

Sells machines and engines mainly through independent dealers, who handle sales, rental and servicing, and earns steady parts and service revenue from machines already in use. Its financing arm lends to buyers. Engines for power generation, including backup power for data centres, have become a growing part.

Products and services

  • Construction equipment
  • Mining equipment
  • Engines/power generation
  • Financial services (CAT Financial)

Customers

  • Construction contractors
  • Mining companies
  • Data center/power generation buyers
  • Oil & gas

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Heavy machinery
  • Construction & mining equipment

What could go right

  • Data center backup power demand
  • Mining capex upcycle

What could go wrong

  • Construction/mining capex cyclicality
  • Used-equipment price competition

Moat: wide (brand, distribution, scale). A global dealer/service network and huge installed base create switching costs few rivals can match.

Headquarters: Irving, Texas, USA · Founded: 1925 · Employees: 118,000

Named competitors

Caterpillar at a glance

Size Caterpillar (CAT) is a United States Industrials company (Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) with a market value of $257B, the 41st largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $558.63 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 37.8%, against -7.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 20.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.1%); the operating margin is 19.1% (peer median 13.1%).

Valuation It trades at 18.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 15.1× (9th most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is +8 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.0 points above its cost of capital (11.9% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $49.4B at 30 Sep 2026, up 120% on a year earlier — 0.6 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Caterpillar has 55 bonds outstanding ($36.6B), rated A by the agencies and trading like AA- at a weighted spread of 48 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 1.6% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 4 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 92CAT 60
Six months, rebased to 100: Caterpillar against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Caterpillar financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$77.8B$67.6B$64.8B$67.1B$59.4B
Revenue growth—+4%-3%+13%—
Gross profit$25.9B$21.8B$23.5B$23.5B$17.0B
EBITDA$17.3B$13.9B$15.7B$16.0B$11.3B
Net income$11.8B$8.88B$10.8B$10.3B$6.71B
Free cash flow$9.62B$7.45B$8.82B$9.79B$5.17B
Capital expenditure$4.57B$4.29B$3.21B$3.09B$2.60B
Total debt$45.2B$44.1B$39.0B$38.5B$37.6B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Caterpillar competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-60%-40%-20%0%+20%-20%0%DEVOLV-APCARWABSAND6001506301EPI-A6017666000310340203291806326WRT1VCNHBS60004250095403808CAT6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Caterpillar is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%10×20×30×DEVOLV-APCARWABSAND6001506301EPI-A6017666000310340203291806326WRT1VMETSOCNHBS60004250095403808CATRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Caterpillar is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%DEVOLV-APCARWAB6001506301EPI-A6017666000310340203291806326METSOCNHBS60004253808CATGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Caterpillar is the large dot.

Caterpillar competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CAT vs 6301.T vs DE vs CMI)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Caterpillar CAT$257B-38%+20%19%18.8×18.0%
Komatsu 6301.T$32.2B-12%+9%13%13.1×9.5%
Deere & DE$181B+17%+8%20%32.0×16.2%
Cummins CMI$62.0B-34%+3%11%13.8×11.6%

How Caterpillar compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Caterpillar against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCATPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-29.8%-5.3%3rd lowest of 21
6-month return-37.8%-7.1%4th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-48.0%-20.2%4th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+20.3%+9.1%6th highest of 21
Operating margin19.1%13.1%6th highest of 21
Forward P/E18.8×15.1×9th most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)18.0%7.4%2nd most demanding of 20
Growth delivered (Del g)+10.1%+8.5%8th highest of 20
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+7.8 pp-1.3 pp5th most demanding of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.0 pp+3.2 pp6th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA17.0×13.0×4th most expensive of 14
Net debt / EBITDA2.2×1.4×6th most indebted of 14
Bond spread48 bp76 bp3rd tightest of 10

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Caterpillar CATUnited States$257B-38%+20%19%18.8×18.0%+10.1%
Deere & DEUnited States$181B+17%+8%20%32.0×16.2%+5.1%
Volvo VOLV-A.STSweden$65.2B-1%-3%12%14.7×5.4%+7.2%
Paccar PCARUnited States$53.7B-11%-1%11%15.4×11.2%+8.7%
Wabtec WABUnited States$47.6B+7%+13%18%23.8×17.0%+8.1%
Sandvik SAND.STSweden$45.8B-1%+14%20%21.0×13.3%+6.9%
China CSSC 600150.SSChina$39.7B-16%+80%8%13.3×-7.8%+22.4%
Komatsu 6301.TJapan$32.2B-12%+9%13%13.1×9.5%+13.6%
Epiroc EPI-A.STSweden$28.6B-10%+1%19%29.3×16.5%+11.4%
CRRC 601766.SSChina$27.0B+10%+2%6%13.0×-6.4%+3.8%
Sany Heavy Industry 600031.SSChina$24.6B-4%+18%11%17.4×-2.6%-2.2%
Doosan Enerbility 034020.KSSouth Korea$21.1B-65%+9%5%82.3×22.7%+13.2%
Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries 329180.KSSouth Korea$20.3B-62%+41%15%9.5×-7.0%+16.2%
Kubota 6326.TJapan$18.2B0%+13%11%10.0×7.5%+10.3%
Wartsila Oyj Abp WRT1V.HEFinland$17.1B-25%-2%13%23.5×7.2%+8.5%
Metso METSO.HEFinland$15.8B+14%+8%15%23.6×15.3%+9.6%
CNH Industrial CNHUnited States$14.3B+5%+1%13%21.1×7.4%-7.0%
Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) BS6.SISingapore$13.5B+11%+26%32%8.2×-10.1%+11.8%
XCMG Construction Machinery 000425.SZChina$12.6B-28%+8%8%11.0×-3.2%+6.4%
Hdksoe 009540.KSSouth Korea$12.5B-48%+23%23%4.4×n/an/a
Sinotruk Hong Kong 3808.HKHong Kong$12.3B-12%+38%7%9.4×-3.2%+1.5%

Caterpillar bonds and credit

Caterpillar has 55 bonds outstanding with $36.6B face value. The agencies rate it A; its bonds trade like AA-. Weighted yield 5.02%, a spread of 48 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Caterpillar backlog

Caterpillar reported $49.4B of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026, up 120% from a year earlier and up 12% from the previous quarter. That is 0.6 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.26.

Questions

Who are Caterpillar's main competitors?
Named competitors: Komatsu (6301.T), Deere & Company (DE), Volvo Construction Equipment (private or unlisted), Cummins (engines) (CMI). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Deere & (DE), Volvo (VOLV-A.ST), Paccar (PCAR), Wabtec (WAB), Sandvik (SAND.ST), China CSSC (600150.SS).
Is Caterpillar expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 18.8× against a peer median of 15.1×, 9th most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is +8 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Caterpillar stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -37.8% against -7.1% for the median peer; over one year -1.4%.
What is Caterpillar's backlog?
Caterpillar's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $49.4B at 30 Sep 2026, +120% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.