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Johnson ControlsJCICompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Industrial Machinery

Makes building technologies including HVAC, fire and security systems for commercial and residential buildings.

Momentum weak 37
Mkt cap
$81.8B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$707M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
21.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+3.5 pp
WACC 10.7%
Hurdle
+16 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB+ / A-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
89 days
3 Feb 2027
Close · USD$135.03
1D+2.7%
1W-9.4%
1M-12.3%
3M-10.4%
6M-3.0%
YTD+13.4%
1Y+12.4%
ATR %4.4%
Beta1.15
52w lowhigh15.8% off high

What Johnson Controls does

Makes building technologies including HVAC, fire and security systems for commercial and residential buildings.

Sells building equipment through contractors and its own sales force, then earns repeat income from long-term service and maintenance contracts on systems it has installed. Building controls tie the heating, fire and security systems together. In 2024 it agreed to sell its residential and light-commercial heating and cooling business to Bosch to concentrate on commercial buildings.

Products and services

  • HVAC (York)
  • Fire & security systems
  • Building automation/controls

Customers

  • Commercial building owners
  • Contractors/installers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrial machinery / building…
  • HVAC, fire & security equipment…
  • Building systems installation & service

What could go right

  • Data center/commercial construction cooling demand
  • Building service/aftermarket revenue growth

What could go wrong

  • Construction/capex cyclicality
  • Refrigerant regulation transition costs

Moat: narrow (brand, installed base, scale). Large installed base of building systems drives recurring service revenue versus new-equipment-only rivals.

Headquarters: Cork, Ireland · Founded: 1885

Named competitors

Johnson Controls at a glance

Size Johnson Controls (JCI) is a United States Industrials company (Industrial Machinery) with a market value of $81.8B, the 166th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $135.03 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 3.0%, against -1.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 8.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.3%); the operating margin is 15.6% (peer median 18.0%).

Valuation It trades at 21.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 23.4× (6th cheapest of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +2%, so the hurdle is +16 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.5 points above its cost of capital (10.7% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $27.1B at 30 Jun 2026, up 21% on a year earlier — 1.1 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Johnson Controls has 7 bonds outstanding ($3.15B), rated BBB+ by the agencies and trading like A- at a weighted spread of 78 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 1.5% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 3 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 98JCI 96
Six months, rebased to 100: Johnson Controls against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Johnson Controls financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
Revenue$25.7B$25.7B$23.6B$23.0B$22.3B
Revenue growth—+9%+3%+3%—
Gross profit$9.52B$9.52B$8.58B$8.08B$7.82B
EBITDA$4.66B$4.66B$3.68B$3.24B$3.18B
Net income$2.85B$2.85B$1.79B$1.71B$1.85B
Free cash flow$3.29B$3.29B$965M$1.60B$1.77B
Capital expenditure$465M$465M$434M$494M$446M
Total debt$9.28B$9.28B$11.2B$10.7B$10.1B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Johnson Controls competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%-25%0%+25%-50%-25%0%+25%ATCO-ATTHON002371PH6501CARRSCHN688012300502ASMIR0006516954VLTOJCI6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Johnson Controls is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%20×40×60×ATCO-ATTHON002371PH6501CARRSCHN688012300502ASM000651JCIRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Johnson Controls is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%ATCO-ATTHON002371PH6367SCHN688012300502ASM000651JCIGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Johnson Controls is the large dot.

Johnson Controls competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (JCI vs CARR vs TT vs HON)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Johnson Controls JCI$81.8B-3%+9%16%21.3×17.8%
Carrier Global CARR$42.9B-22%+3%9%17.2×19.0%
Trane Technologies TT$87.9B-14%+10%18%23.4×14.7%
Honeywell Technologies HON$69.8B-1%-17%18%23.2×4.1%

How Johnson Controls compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Johnson Controls against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureJCIPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-12.3%-4.1%7th lowest of 21
6-month return-3.0%-1.0%9th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-15.8%-17.7%9th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+8.8%+8.3%10th highest of 21
Operating margin15.6%18.0%8th lowest of 21
Forward P/E21.3×23.4×6th cheapest of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)17.8%16.9%8th most demanding of 20
Growth delivered (Del g)+1.6%+9.2%3rd lowest of 20
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+16.2 pp+3.5 ppmost demanding of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital+3.5 pp+5.7 pp8th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA19.4×17.2×5th most expensive of 16
Net debt / EBITDA1.9×0.7×3rd most indebted of 17
Bond spread78 bp71 bp4th widest of 11

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Johnson Controls JCIUnited States$81.8B-3%+9%16%21.3×17.8%+1.6%
Atlas Copco ATCO-A.STSweden$87.5B+4%+3%20%29.7×17.7%+11.0%
Trane Technologies TTUnited States$87.9B-14%+10%18%23.4×14.7%+11.4%
Honeywell Technologies HONUnited States$69.8B-1%-17%18%23.2×4.1%+2.8%
NAURA Technology 002371.SZChina$60.6B+4%+18%11%56.5×33.4%+45.5%
Parker Hannifin PHUnited States$116B+4%+8%22%24.4×19.0%+8.4%
Hitachi 6501.TJapan$130B-7%+14%12%20.9×9.5%+3.9%
Carrier Global CARRUnited States$42.9B-22%+3%9%17.2×19.0%+4.5%
Daikin Industries 6367.TJapan$40.4B-1%+11%8%21.8×7.4%+15.0%
Yushu Technology 688836.SSChina$39.8Bn/a+333%19%n/an/an/a
Schindler SCHN.SWSwitzerland$39.4B+17%-3%13%28.2×2.3%+0.6%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China 688012.SSChina$36.5B+1%+26%12%51.5×51.7%+40.3%
Eoptolink Technology 300502.SZChina$36.0B-54%+101%44%12.3×21.7%+65.5%
ASM International ASM.ASNetherlands$35.5B-28%+13%31%27.0×30.0%+19.0%
Ingersoll Rand IRUnited States$31.9B+10%+8%19%21.8×17.3%+14.0%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai 000651.SZChina$31.2B-3%-11%16%8.6×-16.4%0.0%
Fanuc 6954.TJapan$31.2B-23%+13%23%22.0×16.9%+9.2%
Siemens SIE.DEGermany$225B-4%+4%13%23.4×18.3%+7.4%
Veralto VLTOUnited States$28.5B+35%+6%22%24.6×8.3%+4.8%
Dover DOVUnited States$27.1B-7%+8%18%17.6×12.2%+3.9%
Alfa Laval ALFA.STSweden$22.5B0%+4%18%24.2×7.9%+10.9%

Johnson Controls bonds and credit

Johnson Controls has 7 bonds outstanding with $3.15B face value. The agencies rate it BBB+; its bonds trade like A-. Weighted yield 5.63%, a spread of 78 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Johnson Controls backlog

Johnson Controls reported $27.1B of remaining performance obligations at 30 Jun 2026, up 21% from a year earlier and up 3% from the previous quarter. That is 1.1 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.12.

Questions

Who are Johnson Controls's main competitors?
Named competitors: Carrier Global (CARR), Trane Technologies (TT), Honeywell (HON). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Atlas Copco (ATCO-A.ST), Trane Technologies (TT), Honeywell Technologies (HON), NAURA Technology (002371.SZ), Parker Hannifin (PH), Hitachi (6501.T).
Is Johnson Controls expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 21.3× against a peer median of 23.4×, 6th cheapest of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +2%, so the hurdle is +16 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Johnson Controls stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -3.0% against -1.0% for the median peer; over one year +12.4%.
What is Johnson Controls's backlog?
Johnson Controls's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $27.1B at 30 Jun 2026, +21% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.