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Carrier GlobalCARRCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Industrial Machinery

Makes HVAC, refrigeration and fire/security systems, spun off from United Technologies.

Momentum weak 26
Mkt cap
$42.9B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
95%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$350M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
17.2×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.4 pp
WACC 10.2%
Hurdle
+15 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB+ / A-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
95 days
9 Feb 2027
Close · USD$52.38
1D-1.6%
1W-2.3%
1M-6.2%
3M-17.4%
6M-21.6%
YTD-0.1%
1Y-7.1%
ATR %3.4%
Beta1.21
52w lowhigh31.8% off high

What Carrier Global does

Makes HVAC, refrigeration and fire/security systems, spun off from United Technologies.

Sells heating and cooling equipment through dealers and contractors, with replacement of existing equipment and service contracts a larger source of demand than new construction. It has reshaped itself toward HVAC since 2024: buying Viessmann's heat-pump business in Germany and selling much of its fire-and-security and commercial-refrigeration operations.

Products and services

  • Commercial/residential HVAC (Carrier)
  • Commercial refrigeration
  • Fire & security

Customers

  • Commercial building owners
  • Residential HVAC contractors
  • Cold-chain/refrigeration customers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrial machinery / HVAC
  • HVAC & refrigeration equipment…
  • Distribution to building/cold-chain…

What could go right

  • Data center/commercial construction cooling demand
  • Energy-efficiency regulation driving equipment upgrades

What could go wrong

  • Construction/capex cyclicality
  • Refrigerant regulation transition costs

Moat: narrow (brand, scale, installed base). Iconic Carrier brand and large installed HVAC/refrigeration base drive recurring aftermarket revenue.

Headquarters: Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, US · Founded: 2020 · Employees: 47,000

Named competitors

Carrier Global at a glance

Size Carrier Global (CARR) is a United States Industrials company (Industrial Machinery) with a market value of $42.9B, the 286th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $52.38 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 21.6%, against -2.6% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 7th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 3.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.5%); the operating margin is 9.2% (peer median 18.0%).

Valuation It trades at 17.2× forward earnings against a peer median of 23.2× (4th cheapest of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 19% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is +15 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.4 points below its cost of capital (10.2% WACC).

Credit Carrier Global has 12 bonds outstanding ($10.6B), rated BBB+ by the agencies and trading like A- at a weighted spread of 83 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 2.2% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 9 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 96CARR 80
Six months, rebased to 100: Carrier Global against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Carrier Global financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$22.8B$21.7B$22.5B$19.0B$20.4B
Revenue growth—-3%+19%-7%—
Gross profit$5.69B$5.67B$6.02B$5.17B$5.47B
EBITDA$3.37B$3.44B$3.48B$2.62B$4.66B
Net income-$1.80B$1.51B$428M$1.65B$3.53B
Free cash flow$2.38B$2.12B$44.0M$2.17B$1.39B
Capital expenditure$481M$392M$519M$439M$353M
Total debt$11.9B$12.4B$12.8B$14.7B$9.50B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Carrier Global competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%-25%0%+25%-50%-25%0%+25%6367SCHN688012300502ASMIR0006516954002371VLTODOVHONXYLSYM6273002050CARR6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Carrier Global is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%50×100×6367SCHN688012300502ASMIR000651002371DOVHONSYM002050CARRRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Carrier Global is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%6367SCHN688012300502ASMIR000651002371VLTODOVHONJCIALFAXYL002050CARRGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Carrier Global is the large dot.

Carrier Global competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CARR vs TT vs JCI vs LII)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Carrier Global CARR$42.9B-22%+3%9%17.2×19.0%
Trane Technologies TT$87.9B-14%+10%18%23.4×14.7%
Johnson Controls JCI$81.8B-3%+9%16%21.3×17.8%
Lennox International LII$11.7B-34%+2%19%15.3×5.0%

How Carrier Global compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Carrier Global against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCARRPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-6.2%-4.6%10th lowest of 21
6-month return-21.6%-2.6%7th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-31.8%-26.5%11th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+3.3%+8.5%7th lowest of 21
Operating margin9.2%18.0%3rd lowest of 21
Forward P/E17.2×23.2×4th cheapest of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)19.0%16.6%6th most demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+4.5%+11.0%6th lowest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+14.5 pp+3.1 pp2nd most demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.4 pp+4.3 pp2nd lowest of 20
EV / EBITDA15.9×15.8×7th most expensive of 14
Net debt / EBITDA3.1×0.4×most indebted of 16
Bond spread83 bp75 bp3rd widest of 9

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Carrier Global CARRUnited States$42.9B-22%+3%9%17.2×19.0%+4.5%
Daikin Industries 6367.TJapan$40.4B-1%+11%8%21.8×7.4%+15.0%
Yushu Technology 688836.SSChina$39.8Bn/a+333%19%n/an/an/a
Schindler SCHN.SWSwitzerland$39.4B+17%-3%13%28.2×2.3%+0.6%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China 688012.SSChina$36.5B+1%+26%12%51.5×51.7%+40.3%
Eoptolink Technology 300502.SZChina$36.0B-54%+101%44%12.3×21.7%+65.5%
ASM International ASM.ASNetherlands$35.5B-28%+13%31%27.0×30.0%+19.0%
Ingersoll Rand IRUnited States$31.9B+10%+8%19%21.8×17.3%+14.0%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai 000651.SZChina$31.2B-3%-11%16%8.6×-16.4%0.0%
Fanuc 6954.TJapan$31.2B-23%+13%23%22.0×16.9%+9.2%
NAURA Technology 002371.SZChina$60.6B+4%+18%11%56.5×33.4%+45.5%
Veralto VLTOUnited States$28.5B+35%+6%22%24.6×8.3%+4.8%
Dover DOVUnited States$27.1B-7%+8%18%17.6×12.2%+3.9%
Honeywell Technologies HONUnited States$69.8B-1%-17%18%23.2×4.1%+2.8%
Johnson Controls JCIUnited States$81.8B-3%+9%16%21.3×17.8%+1.6%
Alfa Laval ALFA.STSweden$22.5B0%+4%18%24.2×7.9%+10.9%
Xylem XYLUnited States$22.4B-14%+2%16%17.4×12.1%+13.1%
SYM SYMUnited States$22.3B-30%+20%1%101.9×n/an/a
Smc 6273.TJapan$21.9B-27%+16%24%15.9×16.2%+8.8%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls 002050.SZChina$21.5B-28%+3%15%33.3×23.8%+20.8%
Atlas Copco ATCO-A.STSweden$87.5B+4%+3%20%29.7×17.7%+11.0%

Carrier Global bonds and credit

Carrier Global has 12 bonds outstanding with $10.6B face value. The agencies rate it BBB+; its bonds trade like A-. Weighted yield 5.25%, a spread of 83 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Carrier Global's main competitors?
Named competitors: Trane Technologies (TT), Johnson Controls (JCI), Lennox International (LII). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Daikin Industries (6367.T), Yushu Technology (688836.SS), Schindler (SCHN.SW), Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China (688012.SS), Eoptolink Technology (300502.SZ), ASM International (ASM.AS).
Is Carrier Global expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 17.2× against a peer median of 23.2×, 4th cheapest of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 19% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +4%, so the hurdle is +15 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Carrier Global stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -21.6% against -2.6% for the median peer; over one year -7.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.