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Northrop GrummanNOCCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Aerospace & Defense

Defense contractor building the B-21 stealth bomber, missile defense systems and space/intelligence satellites.

Momentum neutral 49
Mkt cap
$74.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$578M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
17.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+5.1 pp
WACC 6.2%
Hurdle
-2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB+ / A
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
83 days
28 Jan 2027
Close · USD$525.01
1D-0.1%
1W-5.8%
1M+8.4%
3M-9.2%
6M-4.5%
YTD-7.6%
1Y-7.3%
ATR %3.0%
Beta-0.02
52w lowhigh32.2% off high

What Northrop Grumman does

Defense contractor building the B-21 stealth bomber, missile defense systems and space/intelligence satellites.

Is paid by the US government on long-running development and production contracts, so revenue follows programme milestones. B-21, the Sentinel missile program (a replacement for the Minuteman ICBM) and space and missile-defence systems are anchors. It bought Orbital ATK in 2018, gaining solid rocket motors and space hardware.

Products and services

  • B-21 stealth bomber program
  • Missile defense/interceptor systems
  • Space systems/satellites
  • Autonomous systems/drones

Customers

  • US Department of Defense
  • US intelligence/space agencies

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Aerospace & defense
  • Stealth aircraft, missile defense…

What could go right

  • B-21 production ramp
  • Space/missile-defense budget growth

What could go wrong

  • Classified program cost-overrun/schedule risk
  • US defense budget/appropriations timing

Moat: wide (scale, IP / patents, regulatory licence). Sole-source classified B-21 bomber program and deep space/intelligence contractor relationships.

Headquarters: Falls Church, Virginia, US · Founded: 1994 · Employees: 95,000

Named competitors

Northrop Grumman at a glance

Size Northrop Grumman (NOC) is a United States Industrials company (Aerospace & Defense) with a market value of $74.6B, the 180th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $525.01 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 4.5%, against -0.6% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 7th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 6.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.1%); the operating margin is 10.6% (peer median 11.7%).

Valuation It trades at 17.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 26.8× (2nd cheapest of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.1 points above its cost of capital (6.2% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $110B at 30 Sep 2026, up 20% on a year earlier — 2.5 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Northrop Grumman has 18 bonds outstanding ($15.1B), rated BBB+ by the agencies and trading like A at a weighted spread of 72 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 1.6% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 28 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 101NOC 96
Six months, rebased to 100: Northrop Grumman against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Northrop Grumman financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$43.6B$42.0B$41.0B$39.3B$36.6B
Revenue growth—+2%+4%+7%—
Gross profit$8.73B$8.31B$8.36B$6.55B$7.47B
EBITDA$6.15B$5.75B$5.74B$3.88B$4.94B
Net income$4.52B$4.18B$4.17B$2.06B$4.90B
Free cash flow$3.83B$3.31B$2.62B$2.10B$1.47B
Capital expenditure$1.44B$1.45B$1.77B$1.77B$1.44B
Total debt$17.4B$17.9B$18.4B$16.0B$15.0B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Northrop Grumman competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-20%0%BAHWMTDGGDHOLHXRHMLMTBASAFRRHEIHALSAAB-BESLTAIRKOGRKLBLDONOC6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Northrop Grumman is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%0×100,000×BAHWMTDGGDRHMBASAFSAAB-BKOGNOCRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Northrop Grumman is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%BAHWMTDGGDHOLHXRHMLMTSAFRRHEIHALSAAB-BAIRKOGLDONOCGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Northrop Grumman is the large dot.

Northrop Grumman competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (NOC vs LMT vs RTX vs BA)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Northrop Grumman NOC$74.6B-4%+7%11%17.8×0.2%
Lockheed Martin LMT$131B+12%+8%12%17.6×-6.9%
RTX RTX$256B+8%+12%11%24.4×8.4%
Boeing BA$137B-27%+18%0%179,875.5×n/a
L3Harris LHX$48.4B-13%+7%12%20.1×7.0%

How Northrop Grumman compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Northrop Grumman against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureNOCPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+8.4%+3.1%6th highest of 21
6-month return-4.5%-0.6%7th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-32.2%-21.0%6th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+6.5%+10.1%4th lowest of 20
Operating margin10.6%11.7%10th lowest of 21
Forward P/E17.8×26.8×2nd cheapest of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)0.2%10.1%4th least demanding of 18
Growth delivered (Del g)+2.7%+8.0%lowest of 18
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-2.4 pp+3.3 pp7th least demanding of 18
ROIC minus cost of capital+5.1 pp+9.0 pp9th lowest of 20
EV / EBITDA14.3×18.6×3rd cheapest of 19
Net debt / EBITDA2.2×1.2×5th most indebted of 20
Bond spread72 bp74 bp7th tightest of 15

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Northrop Grumman NOCUnited States$74.6B-4%+7%11%17.8×0.2%+2.7%
BAE Systems BA..LUnited Kingdom$72.6B-4%+7%9%22.0×2.8%+8.0%
Howmet Aerospace HWMUnited States$81.8B-24%+22%28%32.6×24.1%+9.4%
TransDigm TDGUnited States$66.2B-1%+17%47%25.5×9.7%+11.6%
General Dynamics GDUnited States$95.7B+3%+10%10%19.4×-2.5%+6.7%
Thales HO.PAFrance$51.1B-1%+7%11%20.6×-2.8%+7.6%
Honeywell Aerospace HONAUnited States$48.5Bn/an/a20%18.8×n/an/a
L3Harris LHXUnited States$48.4B-13%+7%12%20.1×7.0%+3.7%
Rheinmetall RHM.DEGermany$42.5B-29%-2%18%22.0×6.5%+12.9%
Lockheed Martin LMTUnited States$131B+12%+8%12%17.6×-6.9%+2.8%
Boeing BAUnited States$137B-27%+18%0%179,875.5×n/an/a
Safran SAF.PAFrance$138B+4%+14%13%28.5×22.2%+13.4%
Rolls-Royce RR..LUnited Kingdom$140B+6%+19%18%28.5×24.6%+13.0%
HEICO HEIUnited States$39.2B+14%+21%24%47.8×24.5%+20.2%
Hindustan Aeronautics HAL.NSIndia$35.2B+4%+7%23%33.6×42.7%+7.2%
Saab SAAB-B.STSweden$33.3B+19%+28%10%40.2×6.0%+17.4%
Elbit Systems ESLTUnited States$32.0B-13%+12%9%46.5×10.1%+11.5%
Airbus AIR.PAFrance$174B+14%+6%8%26.8×22.6%+8.0%
Kongsberg Gruppen KOG.OLNorway$31.8B+13%-28%17%46.3×21.7%+4.3%
Rocket Lab RKLBUnited States$31.8B-50%+53%-29%n/an/an/a
Leonardo LDO.MIItaly$31.0B-4%+10%7%20.2×14.3%+7.8%

Northrop Grumman bonds and credit

Northrop Grumman has 18 bonds outstanding with $15.1B face value. The agencies rate it BBB+; its bonds trade like A. Weighted yield 5.63%, a spread of 72 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Northrop Grumman backlog

Northrop Grumman reported $110B of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026, up 20% from a year earlier and up 5% from the previous quarter. That is 2.5 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.44.

Questions

Who are Northrop Grumman's main competitors?
Named competitors: Lockheed Martin (LMT), RTX (RTX), Boeing (defense/space) (BA), L3Harris (LHX). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes BAE Systems (BA..L), Howmet Aerospace (HWM), TransDigm (TDG), General Dynamics (GD), Thales (HO.PA), Honeywell Aerospace (HONA).
Is Northrop Grumman expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 17.8× against a peer median of 26.8×, 2nd cheapest of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 0% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Northrop Grumman stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -4.5% against -0.6% for the median peer; over one year -7.3%.
What is Northrop Grumman's backlog?
Northrop Grumman's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $110B at 30 Sep 2026, +20% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.