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BAE Systems plcBA..LCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United Kingdom · GBP·Industrials›Aerospace & Defense

Britain's largest defense contractor, building combat aircraft, submarines, warships, armored vehicles and electronic systems.

Momentum laggard 17
Mkt cap
$72.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
96%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$117M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
22.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+4.8 pp
WACC 6.6%
Hurdle
-5 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
A- / A+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
111 days
25 Feb 2027
Close · GBP£1,846
1D-1.8%
1W-10.8%
1M+0.5%
3M-17.7%
6M-4.2%
YTD+7.7%
1Y+2.2%
ATR %3.2%
52w lowhigh21.8% off high

What BAE Systems does

Britain's largest defense contractor, building combat aircraft, submarines, warships, armored vehicles and electronic systems.

Earns from large, multi-year government contracts to build, then support, aircraft, ships and vehicles, so revenue runs from a long backlog. Its largest markets are the US, UK and Saudi Arabia. It is a partner in the F-35 and Typhoon programs and prime contractor on the UK's nuclear submarines.

Products and services

  • Air (Typhoon, F-35 structures)
  • Maritime (submarines, warships)
  • Land & Armaments (combat vehicles)
  • Electronic Systems & cyber

Customers

  • UK Ministry of Defence
  • US Department of Defense
  • NATO/allied governments

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Aerospace & Defense
  • Prime contracting
  • Air, land, maritime & cyber systems

What could go right

  • Rising NATO/allied defense budgets
  • Long-dated backlog conversion

What could go wrong

  • Programme delay/cost-overrun risk
  • Government budget cycle dependence

Moat: wide (regulatory licence, installed base, scale). Sole-source prime on sovereign defense programmes (submarines, Typhoon) with decades-long sustainment contracts.

Headquarters: London, UK · Founded: 1999 · Employees: 104,000

Named competitors

BAE Systems at a glance

Size BAE Systems (BA..L) is a United Kingdom Industrials company (Aerospace & Defense) with a market value of $72.6B, the 14th largest of 363 United Kingdom companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at £1,846 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 4.2%, against -1.5% for the median peer and +3.6% for the United Kingdom market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 7.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +12.0%); the operating margin is 9.1% (peer median 12.2%).

Valuation It trades at 22.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 28.5× (9th cheapest of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is -5 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.8 points above its cost of capital (6.6% WACC).

Credit BAE Systems has 6 bonds outstanding ($5.35B), rated A- by the agencies and trading like A+ at a weighted spread of 69 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 25 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 100BA..L 96
Six months, rebased to 100: BAE Systems against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

BAE Systems financials

Reported figures in GBP; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue£29.4B£28.3B£26.3B£23.1B£21.3B
Revenue growth—+8%+14%+9%—
Gross profit£2.67B£7.48B£6.89B£6.33B£5.91B
EBITDA£3.84B£3.77B£3.46B£3.02B£2.81B
Net income£2.11B£2.06B£1.96B£1.86B£1.59B
Free cash flow£4.52B£2.38B£2.68B£2.84B£2.10B
Capital expenditure£1.12B£1.10B£1.16B£957M£693M
Total debtn/a£9.05B£10.3B£6.53B£6.86B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

BAE Systems competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%-20%0%NOCTDGHWMGDHOLHXRHMLMTHEIBASAFRRHALSAAB-BESLTKOGRKLBLDOBA..L6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. BAE Systems is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%0×100,000×NOCTDGHWMGDRHMBASAAB-BKOGBA..LRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. BAE Systems is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%NOCTDGHWMGDHOLHXRHMLMTHEISAFRRHALSAAB-BKOGLDOBELBA..LGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. BAE Systems is the large dot.

BAE Systems competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (BA..L vs LMT vs RTX vs GD)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
BAE Systems BA..L$72.6B-4%+7%9%22.0×2.8%
Lockheed Martin LMT$131B+12%+8%12%17.6×-6.9%
RTX RTX$256B+8%+12%11%24.4×8.4%
General Dynamics GD$95.7B+3%+10%10%19.4×-2.5%
Leonardo LDO.MI$31.0B-4%+10%7%20.2×14.3%
Rheinmetall RHM.DE$42.5B-29%-2%18%22.0×6.5%
Thales HO.PA$51.1B-1%+7%11%20.6×-2.8%

How BAE Systems compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

BAE Systems against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureBA..LPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+0.5%+4.0%8th lowest of 21
6-month return-4.2%-1.5%9th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-21.8%-21.0%10th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+7.2%+12.0%5th lowest of 20
Operating margin9.1%12.2%4th lowest of 21
Forward P/E22.0×28.5×9th cheapest of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)2.8%10.1%5th least demanding of 18
Growth delivered (Del g)+8.0%+9.4%9th lowest of 18
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-5.2 pp+3.3 pp6th least demanding of 18
ROIC minus cost of capital+4.8 pp+9.3 pp7th lowest of 20
EV / EBITDA15.3×19.4×7th cheapest of 19
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×1.2×10th most indebted of 20
Bond spread69 bp76 bp5th tightest of 14

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
BAE Systems BA..LUnited Kingdom$72.6B-4%+7%9%22.0×2.8%+8.0%
Northrop Grumman NOCUnited States$74.6B-4%+7%11%17.8×0.2%+2.7%
TransDigm TDGUnited States$66.2B-1%+17%47%25.5×9.7%+11.6%
Howmet Aerospace HWMUnited States$81.8B-24%+22%28%32.6×24.1%+9.4%
General Dynamics GDUnited States$95.7B+3%+10%10%19.4×-2.5%+6.7%
Thales HO.PAFrance$51.1B-1%+7%11%20.6×-2.8%+7.6%
Honeywell Aerospace HONAUnited States$48.5Bn/an/a20%18.8×n/an/a
L3Harris LHXUnited States$48.4B-13%+7%12%20.1×7.0%+3.7%
Rheinmetall RHM.DEGermany$42.5B-29%-2%18%22.0×6.5%+12.9%
Lockheed Martin LMTUnited States$131B+12%+8%12%17.6×-6.9%+2.8%
HEICO HEIUnited States$39.2B+14%+21%24%47.8×24.5%+20.2%
Boeing BAUnited States$137B-27%+18%0%179,875.5×n/an/a
Safran SAF.PAFrance$138B+4%+14%13%28.5×22.2%+13.4%
Rolls-Royce RR..LUnited Kingdom$140B+6%+19%18%28.5×24.6%+13.0%
Hindustan Aeronautics HAL.NSIndia$35.2B+4%+7%23%33.6×42.7%+7.2%
Saab SAAB-B.STSweden$33.3B+19%+28%10%40.2×6.0%+17.4%
Elbit Systems ESLTUnited States$32.0B-13%+12%9%46.5×10.1%+11.5%
Kongsberg Gruppen KOG.OLNorway$31.8B+13%-28%17%46.3×21.7%+4.3%
Rocket Lab RKLBUnited States$31.8B-50%+53%-29%n/an/an/a
Leonardo LDO.MIItaly$31.0B-4%+10%7%20.2×14.3%+7.8%
Bharat Electronics BEL.NSIndia$30.6B-10%+20%26%41.5×38.2%+14.3%

BAE Systems bonds and credit

BAE Systems has 6 bonds outstanding with $5.35B face value. The agencies rate it A-; its bonds trade like A+. Weighted yield 5.51%, a spread of 69 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are BAE Systems's main competitors?
Named competitors: Lockheed Martin (LMT), RTX (RTX), General Dynamics (GD), Leonardo (LDO.MI), Rheinmetall (RHM.DE), Thales (HO.PA). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Northrop Grumman (NOC), TransDigm (TDG), Howmet Aerospace (HWM), General Dynamics (GD), Thales (HO.PA), Honeywell Aerospace (HONA).
Is BAE Systems expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 22.0× against a peer median of 28.5×, 9th cheapest of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 3% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is -5 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has BAE Systems stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -4.2% against -1.5% for the median peer; over one year +2.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.