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HelloFresh SEHFG.DECompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Germany · EUR·Consumer Discretionary›Internet Retail
Momentum weak 32
Mkt cap
$483M
US dollars, full cap
Free float
87%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$3.99M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
9.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-4.9 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
+12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB / B
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
116 days
2 Mar 2027
Close · EUR€2.99
1D-10.4%
1W+10.8%
1M+18.9%
3M-13.8%
6M-27.9%
YTD-51.5%
1Y-47.4%
ATR %6.4%
52w lowhigh52.2% off high

What HelloFresh does

Employees: 18,637

HelloFresh at a glance

Size HelloFresh (HFG.DE) is a Germany Consumer Discretionary company (Internet Retail) with a market value of $483M, the 177th largest of 205 Germany companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at €2.99 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 27.9%, against +5.8% for the median peer and +2.6% for the Germany market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 12.6% over the last twelve months (peer median -3.4%); the operating margin is 0.0% (peer median 2.2%).

Valuation It trades at 9.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 24.7× (cheapest of 15).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 24% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 4.9 points below its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Credit HelloFresh has 1 bond outstanding ($390M), rated BB by the agencies and trading like B at a weighted spread of 746 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 2 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 111HFG.DE 70
Six months, rebased to 100: HelloFresh against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

HelloFresh financials

Reported figures in EUR; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue€6.36B€6.76B€7.66B€7.60B€7.61B
Revenue growth—-12%+1%0%—
Gross profit€3.56B€3.93B€4.51B€4.70B€4.82B
EBITDA€278M€237M€97.1M€358M€363M
Net income-€34.8M-€92.6M-€136M€19.4M€127M
Free cash flow€132M€224M€156M€133M-€58.6M
Capital expenditure€141M€130M€166M€306M€418M
Total debt€751M€708M€914M€714M€666M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

HelloFresh competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-25%0%+25%+50%0%+20%KITSMSTCLTD3010889997GRPN3182ASC6011132678AOARAMI0026403964300792WOOFTHG300592002127AHGHFG.DE6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. HelloFresh is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%0×100×KITS301088GRPN31826011132678AOARAMI3964300792WOOF300592002127HFG.DERevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. HelloFresh is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+50%+100%0%50%100%KITSMSTCLTD301088GRPN3182ASCAOARAMI300592HFG.DEGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. HelloFresh is the large dot.

HelloFresh competitors and peer comparison

How HelloFresh compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

HelloFresh against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureHFG.DEPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+18.9%-0.8%3rd highest of 21
6-month return-27.9%+5.8%4th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-52.2%-25.5%2nd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-12.6%-3.4%6th lowest of 21
Operating margin0.0%2.2%6th lowest of 21
Forward P/E9.7×24.7×cheapest of 15
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)24.1%6.6%6th most demanding of 16
Growth delivered (Del g)+12.5%-3.7%7th highest of 16
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+11.6 pp+6.7 pp7th most demanding of 16
ROIC minus cost of capital-4.9 pp-2.4 pp7th lowest of 18
Net debt / EBITDA1.8×1.8×7th least indebted of 13
Bond spread746 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
HelloFresh HFG.DEGermany$483M-28%-13%0%9.7×24.1%+12.5%
Kits Eyecare KITS.TOCanada$462M+64%+21%4%85.5×28.3%+21.9%
MSTC MSTCLTD.NSIndia$439M+30%+21%58%n/a34.9%-13.9%
Rumere 301088.SZChina$422M-16%-25%1%20.3×30.8%-6.9%
Belluna 9997.TJapan$629M+22%+5%8%n/an/an/a
Groupon GRPNUnited States$630M-13%+2%2%33.7×27.5%-18.9%
Oisix 3182.TJapan$368M+17%-5%3%12.1×-6.6%+20.2%
ASOS ASC.LUnited Kingdom$670M+88%-15%-1%n/a1.2%-5.5%
Yiwu Huading Nylon 601113.SSChina$670M-28%-5%1%41.2×n/an/a
ASKUL 2678.TJapan$682M+2%-20%-5%29.2×n/an/a
AO World AO..LUnited Kingdom$687M+6%+11%4%13.3×3.0%-5.3%
Aramis ARAMI.PAFrance$327M+22%-2%1%185.8×4.9%+23.4%
Global Top E-Commerce 002640.SZChina$757M-12%-6%1%n/a33.4%-19.8%
Aucnet 3964.TJapan$824M+12%+12%15%15.5×0.1%+21.6%
Hangzhou Onechance Tech Crop 300792.SZChina$839M-32%-19%9%46.2×19.9%-3.7%
Petco Health & Wellness WOOFUnited States$848M+5%-1%3%12.5×6.6%+3.9%
THG THG.LUnited Kingdom$877M+30%+10%-1%n/an/an/a
Huakai Yibai Technology 300592.SZChina$966M+27%-11%7%15.7×3.4%+132.3%
IndiaMART InterMESH INDIAMART.NSIndia$985M-26%+12%34%17.0×8.2%+18.6%
NanJi E-Commerce 002127.SZChina$1.05B-1%-28%-12%29.9×6.4%-9.0%
Akso Health Group Sponsored ADR AHGUnited States$1.14B-34%-6%-29%n/an/an/a

HelloFresh bonds and credit

HelloFresh has 1 bond outstanding with $390M face value. The agencies rate it BB; its bonds trade like B. Weighted yield 10.47%, a spread of 746 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Which companies are HelloFresh's closest peers?
The cockpit's peer set: Kits Eyecare (KITS.TO), MSTC (MSTCLTD.NS), Rumere (301088.SZ), Belluna (9997.T), Groupon (GRPN), Oisix (3182.T), ASOS (ASC.L), Yiwu Huading Nylon (601113.SS).
Is HelloFresh expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 9.7× against a peer median of 24.7×, cheapest of 15 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 24% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +13%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has HelloFresh stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -27.9% against +5.8% for the median peer; over one year -47.4%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.