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Finnair OyjFIA1S.HECompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Finland · EUR·Industrials›Airlines

Finland's flag carrier airline, connecting Helsinki with Europe, Asia and North America.

Momentum leader 93
Mkt cap
$1.14B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
44%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$1.12M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
9.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-0.4 pp
WACC 7.5%
Hurdle
-40 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB+ / BB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
103 days
17 Feb 2027
Close · EUR€4.97
1D+9.7%
1W+22.0%
1M+17.0%
3M+1.4%
6M+37.7%
YTD+58.3%
1Y+77.5%
ATR %3.9%
52w lowhigh10.0% off high

What Finnair does

Finland's flag carrier airline, connecting Helsinki with Europe, Asia and North America.

Earns from ticket sales, with the Helsinki hub linking Europe and Asia as the central business and cargo and loyalty as add-ons. Since 2022, closure of Russian airspace to Finnair has made its Asia routes longer and costlier than those of rivals who can still fly over Russia. The Finnish state is the majority shareholder.

Products and services

  • Passenger flights (Europe-Asia hub)
  • Cargo services
  • Ancillary services (loyalty, travel retail)

Customers

  • Leisure and business air travelers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Transportation
  • Airlines
  • Passenger + cargo air transport

What could go right

  • Asia-Europe travel demand recovery
  • Helsinki's short polar-route advantage to Asia

What could go wrong

  • Jet fuel price volatility
  • Russian airspace closure lengthening Asia routes

Moat: none (distribution). Operates in a highly competitive, capital-intensive airline industry with limited pricing power.

Headquarters: Vantaa, Finland · Founded: 1923 · Employees: 5,684

Named competitors

  • SAS private or unlisted
  • Lufthansa LHA.DE
  • Turkish Airlines private or unlisted

Finnair at a glance

Size Finnair (FIA1S.HE) is a Finland Industrials company (Airlines) with a market value of $1.14B, the 34th largest of 65 Finland companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at €4.97 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 37.7%, against +5.5% for the median peer and -2.9% for the Finland market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 10.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.3%); the operating margin is 3.6% (peer median 6.3%).

Valuation It trades at 9.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.3× (4th cheapest of 16).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -10% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +30%, so the hurdle is -40 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 0.4 points below its cost of capital (7.5% WACC).

Credit Finnair has 2 bonds outstanding ($891M), rated BB+ by the agencies and trading like BB- at a weighted spread of 181 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 17 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012014011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026FIA1S.HE 137Peer median 105
Six months, rebased to 100: Finnair against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Finnair financials

Reported figures in EUR; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue€3.44B€3.11B€3.05B€2.99B€2.36B
Revenue growth—+2%+2%+27%—
Gross profit€367M€183M€211M€304M-€94.6M
EBITDA€461M€319M€317M€450M€22.1M
Net income€134M€18.4M€37.0M€254M-€476M
Free cash flow€475M€193M€380M-€800,000€151M
Capital expenditure€260M€209M€291M€404M€88.6M
Total debt€1.68B€1.78B€1.87B€2.03B€3.23B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Finnair competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%+20%020560002928RJETJBLU000099AZULNASWIZZVGNVLRSULCC67572646603713AEROALGTCHRSKYW603885089590FIA1S.HE6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Finnair is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%0×1,000×002928000099AZULNASVGNULCC2646603713CHRSKYWFIA1S.HERevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Finnair is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%0%25%50%RJET000099NASWIZZVGNVLRSULCC6757AEROCHR603885FIA1S.HEGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Finnair is the large dot.

Finnair competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (FIA1S.HE vs LHA.DE)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Finnair FIA1S.HE$1.14B+38%+11%4%9.4×-9.6%
Deutsche Lufthansa LHA.DE$11.4B+7%+8%-1%9.7×n/a

How Finnair compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Finnair against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureFIA1S.HEPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+17.0%+6.4%5th highest of 21
6-month return+37.7%+5.5%3rd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-10.0%-26.2%3rd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+10.9%+10.3%10th highest of 21
Operating margin3.6%6.3%10th lowest of 21
Forward P/E9.4×13.3×4th cheapest of 16
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-9.6%1.1%5th least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+30.2%+24.1%5th highest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-39.9 pp-20.3 pp4th least demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital-0.4 pp-1.5 pp10th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA2.9×5.1×3rd cheapest of 14
Net debt / EBITDA0.7×3.5×2nd least indebted of 16
Bond spread181 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Finnair FIA1S.HEFinland$1.14B+38%+11%4%9.4×-9.6%+30.2%
Asiana Airlines 020560.KSSouth Korea$1.21B+13%-17%-12%n/an/an/a
China Express Airlines 002928.SZChina$1.34B-12%+4%-17%155.2×n/an/a
Republic Airways RJETUnited States$942M-12%+438%11%n/a2.8%+25.2%
JetBlue Airways JBLUUnited States$1.38B-28%+10%-6%n/an/an/a
CITIC Offshore Helicopter 000099.SZChina$1.41B-31%-9%12%30.3×1.8%+7.5%
Azul S.A. Sponsored ADR AZULUnited States$915M+86%+12%14%13.3×n/an/a
Norwegian Air Shuttle NAS.OLNorway$1.47B-11%+3%6%22.0×-16.5%+35.8%
Wizz Air WIZZ.LUnited Kingdom$1.48B+8%+11%-2%n/a3.4%+49.5%
Virgin Australia VGN.AXAustralia$1.48B+18%+9%11%6.6×-13.4%+4.9%
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV Sponsored ADR VLRSUnited States$850M+3%+19%-5%n/a-13.7%+23.8%
Frontier ULCCUnited States$1.71B+40%+24%-15%1,818.4×31.6%+24.4%
Tigerair Taiwan 6757.TWTaiwan$753M+8%+13%19%9.8×-20.2%+55.1%
Starlux Airlines 2646.TWTaiwan$1.76B-6%+23%1%52.3×n/an/a
Milkyway Intelligent Supply Chain Service 603713.SSChina$1.90B+29%+15%8%16.8×n/an/a
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V. Unsponsored ADR AEROUnited States$2.32B+1%+10%11%10.4×-6.6%+32.3%
Allegiant Travel ALGTUnited States$2.51B+11%+12%9%12.7×n/an/a
Chorus Aviation CHR.TOCanada$505M+30%-4%7%13.2×2.2%+6.8%
SkyWest SKYWUnited States$3.02B-10%+7%14%7.5×2.2%+13.8%
Juneyao Airlines 603885.SSChina$3.42B-8%+8%1%69.5×0.4%+17.4%
Jejuair 089590.KSSouth Korea$379M+20%+12%-1%8.9×n/an/a

Finnair bonds and credit

Finnair has 2 bonds outstanding with $891M face value. The agencies rate it BB+; its bonds trade like BB-. Weighted yield 4.78%, a spread of 181 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Finnair's main competitors?
Named competitors: SAS (private or unlisted), Lufthansa (LHA.DE), Turkish Airlines (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Asiana Airlines (020560.KS), China Express Airlines (002928.SZ), Republic Airways (RJET), JetBlue Airways (JBLU), CITIC Offshore Helicopter (000099.SZ), Azul S.A. Sponsored ADR (AZUL).
Is Finnair expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 9.4× against a peer median of 13.3×, 4th cheapest of 16 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -10% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +30%, so the hurdle is -40 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Finnair stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +37.7% against +5.5% for the median peer; over one year +77.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.