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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › VGN.AX Virgin Australia Holdings LimitedOpen in the cockpit ↗

Virgin Australia Holdings LimitedVGN.AXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Australia · AUD·Industrials›Airlines

Australia's second-largest airline, operating domestic and short-haul international flights, recently re-listed on the ASX.

≈ Australia's Delta/JetBlue-scale carrierMomentum strong 75
Mkt cap
$1.48B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
26%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$2.39M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
6.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+44.9 pp
WACC 8.4%
Hurdle
-18 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
234 days
28 Jun 2027
Close · AUDA$2.85
1D-1.0%
1W+18.3%
1M+3.3%
3M+4.0%
6M+18.3%
YTD-18.6%
1Y-11.8%
ATR %4.0%
52w lowhigh19.5% off high

What Virgin Australia does

Australia's second-largest airline, operating domestic and short-haul international flights, recently re-listed on the ASX.

Earns from ticket sales and from Velocity, its frequent-flyer program, which is paid by banks and retailers for points and sits alongside the airline. It went through administration in 2020, was bought by Bain Capital, and relisted on the stock market in 2025.

In one line: Australia's Delta/JetBlue-scale carrier.

Products and services

  • Domestic flights
  • Short-haul international flights
  • Velocity Frequent Flyer program

Customers

  • Leisure/business air travelers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Aircraft leasing/ownership
  • Flight operations
  • Loyalty program (Velocity)

What could go right

  • Domestic air travel demand growth
  • Qatar Airways partnership/network expansion

What could go wrong

  • Fuel price volatility
  • Intense domestic competition with Qantas

Moat: narrow (brand, scale). Second-largest domestic airline slot/network position in a concentrated Australian aviation market.

Headquarters: Brisbane, Australia · Founded: 2000 · Employees: 8,000

Named competitors

  • Qantas Airways QAN.AX
  • Jetstar (Qantas Group) private or unlisted
  • Regional Express Holdings private or unlisted

Virgin Australia at a glance

Size Virgin Australia (VGN.AX) is an Australia Industrials company (Airlines) with a market value of $1.48B, the 144th largest of 316 Australia companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at A$2.85 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 18.3%, against +5.5% for the median peer and +4.1% for the Australia market (cap-weighted) — 5th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 9.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.8%); the operating margin is 11.2% (peer median 4.7%).

Valuation It trades at 6.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 15.1× (cheapest of 15).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is -18 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 44.9 points above its cost of capital (8.4% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 28 Jun 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026VGN.AX 119Peer median 105
Six months, rebased to 100: Virgin Australia against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Virgin Australia financials

Reported figures in AUD; fiscal year ends 2026-06-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2019FY2018
RevenueA$6.32BA$6.32BA$5.78BA$5.83BA$5.42B
Revenue growth—+9%-1%+8%—
Gross profitA$960MA$960MA$758MA$520MA$633M
EBITDAA$1.20BA$1.20BA$830MA$232MA$444M
Net incomeA$501MA$501MA$478M-A$349M-A$681M
Free cash flowA$302MA$302MA$533M-A$8.10MA$23.9M
Capital expenditureA$884MA$884MA$496MA$547MA$591M
Total debtn/aA$3.00BA$2.30BA$3.03BA$2.57B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Virgin Australia competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%+20%WIZZNAS000099JBLU002928ULCC2646020560603713FIA1SAERORJETAZULALGTVLRS6757SKYW6038852610ACVGN.AX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Virgin Australia is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%0×1,000×NAS000099002928ULCC2646603713FIA1SAEROSKYWVGN.AXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Virgin Australia is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%0%25%50%WIZZNAS000099ULCCFIA1SAERORJETVLRS6757SKYW603885ACVGN.AXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Virgin Australia is the large dot.

Virgin Australia competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (VGN.AX vs QAN.AX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Virgin Australia VGN.AX$1.48B+18%+9%11%6.6×-13.4%
Qantas Airways QAN.AX$9.79B+9%+8%7%10.9×n/a

How Virgin Australia compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Virgin Australia against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureVGN.AXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+3.3%+5.6%9th lowest of 21
6-month return+18.3%+5.5%5th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-19.5%-26.7%6th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+9.4%+10.8%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin11.2%4.7%7th highest of 21
Forward P/E6.6×15.1×cheapest of 15
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-13.4%1.1%4th least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+4.9%+27.7%lowest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-18.3 pp-29.9 pp6th most demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital+44.9 pp-1.2 pp2nd highest of 21
EV / EBITDA2.7×4.7×cheapest of 14
Net debt / EBITDA1.0×2.2×4th least indebted of 16

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Virgin Australia VGN.AXAustralia$1.48B+18%+9%11%6.6×-13.4%+4.9%
Wizz Air WIZZ.LUnited Kingdom$1.48B+8%+11%-2%n/a3.4%+49.5%
Norwegian Air Shuttle NAS.OLNorway$1.47B-11%+3%6%22.0×-16.5%+35.8%
CITIC Offshore Helicopter 000099.SZChina$1.41B-31%-9%12%30.3×1.8%+7.5%
JetBlue Airways JBLUUnited States$1.38B-28%+10%-6%n/an/an/a
China Express Airlines 002928.SZChina$1.34B-12%+4%-17%155.2×n/an/a
Frontier ULCCUnited States$1.71B+40%+24%-15%1,818.4×31.6%+24.4%
Starlux Airlines 2646.TWTaiwan$1.76B-6%+23%1%52.3×n/an/a
Asiana Airlines 020560.KSSouth Korea$1.21B+13%-17%-12%n/an/an/a
Milkyway Intelligent Supply Chain Service 603713.SSChina$1.90B+29%+15%8%16.8×n/an/a
Finnair FIA1S.HEFinland$1.14B+38%+11%4%9.4×-9.6%+30.2%
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V. Unsponsored ADR AEROUnited States$2.32B+1%+10%11%10.4×-6.6%+32.3%
Republic Airways RJETUnited States$942M-12%+438%11%n/a2.8%+25.2%
Azul S.A. Sponsored ADR AZULUnited States$915M+86%+12%14%13.3×n/an/a
Allegiant Travel ALGTUnited States$2.51B+11%+12%9%12.7×n/an/a
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV Sponsored ADR VLRSUnited States$850M+3%+19%-5%n/a-13.7%+23.8%
Tigerair Taiwan 6757.TWTaiwan$753M+8%+13%19%9.8×-20.2%+55.1%
SkyWest SKYWUnited States$3.02B-10%+7%14%7.5×2.2%+13.8%
Juneyao Airlines 603885.SSChina$3.42B-8%+8%1%69.5×0.4%+17.4%
China Airlines 2610.TWTaiwan$3.94B+17%+8%8%9.9×n/an/a
Air Canada AC.TOCanada$3.95B+10%+13%2%n/a14.3%+30.8%

Questions

Who are Virgin Australia's main competitors?
Named competitors: Qantas Airways (QAN.AX), Jetstar (Qantas Group) (private or unlisted), Regional Express Holdings (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Wizz Air (WIZZ.L), Norwegian Air Shuttle (NAS.OL), CITIC Offshore Helicopter (000099.SZ), JetBlue Airways (JBLU), China Express Airlines (002928.SZ), Frontier (ULCC).
Is Virgin Australia expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 6.6× against a peer median of 15.1×, cheapest of 15 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +5%, so the hurdle is -18 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Virgin Australia stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +18.3% against +5.5% for the median peer; over one year -11.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.