Loading…

Watsco, Inc.WSOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Industrials›Building Products

Largest distributor of HVAC equipment, parts and supplies in North America, serving contractors through a branch network.

Momentum weak 37
Mkt cap
$12.7B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$217M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
24.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+3.1 pp
WACC 9.8%
Hurdle
+6 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
103 days
17 Feb 2027
Close · USD$304.34
1D-2.2%
1W+0.3%
1M+7.8%
3M-6.8%
6M-27.6%
YTD-9.7%
1Y-15.0%
ATR %4.2%
Beta0.92
52w lowhigh33.7% off high

What Watsco does

Largest distributor of HVAC equipment, parts and supplies in North America, serving contractors through a branch network.

Buys equipment and parts from manufacturers and resells them from local branches to contractors, earning a distributor's margin; replacing aging systems rather than new construction drives most sales. Carrier is the key supplier, through joint ventures in which Carrier holds minority stakes. Buying local distributors is its main route to growth.

Products and services

  • HVAC equipment distribution
  • Parts and supplies
  • Digital ordering platforms for contractors

Customers

  • HVAC installation/service contractors

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • HVAC distribution
  • Wholesale distribution of air…

What could go right

  • Aging HVAC replacement cycle demand
  • Heat pump adoption driven by efficiency regulation

What could go wrong

  • New construction/remodeling cyclicality
  • Weather-dependent seasonal demand swings

Moat: narrow (scale, distribution, installed base). The largest branch network and OEM (Carrier) distribution relationships in a fragmented contractor market.

Headquarters: Miami, Florida, US · Founded: 1945 · Employees: 7,050

Named competitors

Watsco at a glance

Size Watsco (WSO) is a United States Industrials company (Building Products) with a market value of $12.7B, the 671st largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $304.34 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 27.6%, against +4.3% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 15 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 0.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +2.4%); the operating margin is 8.7% (peer median 14.9%).

Valuation It trades at 24.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 17.2× (2nd most expensive of 15).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +7%, so the hurdle is +6 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.1 points above its cost of capital (9.8% WACC).

Short interest Short interest is 13.1% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 17 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 106WSO 72
Six months, rebased to 100: Watsco against the median of its 14 peers (local-currency closes).

Watsco financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$7.44B$7.24B$7.62B$7.28B$7.27B
Revenue growth—-5%+5%0%—
Gross profit$2.02B$1.99B$2.00B$1.96B$2.00B
EBITDA$692M$738M$789M$807M$842M
Net income$436M$464M$499M$499M$550M
Free cash flow$667M$535M$743M$526M$536M
Capital expenditure$36.9M$34.5M$30.1M$35.5M$35.7M
Total debt$554M$479M$447M$405M$391M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Watsco competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%-20%0%+20%000958CSLMASAOSSSDSPXCFBIN53325929KNEBVGFFSGO5393002468WSO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Watsco is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%10×15×20×25×000958CSLMASSSDSPXCFBIN53325929KNEBVGFFSGO5393002468WSORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Watsco is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%CSLMASAOSSSDSPXCFBIN53325929002468WSOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Watsco is the large dot.

Watsco competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (WSO vs FERG)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Watsco WSO$12.7B-28%0%9%24.3×13.2%
Ferguson Enterprises FERG$45.2B-3%+8%10%19.4×9.9%

How Watsco compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Watsco against its 14 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureWSOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+7.8%+11.5%6th lowest of 15
6-month return-27.6%+4.3%2nd lowest of 15
Distance from 52-week high-33.7%-18.0%3rd lowest of 15
Revenue growth (TTM)+0.3%+2.4%5th lowest of 15
Operating margin8.7%14.9%3rd lowest of 14
Forward P/E24.3×17.2×2nd most expensive of 15
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)13.2%5.3%2nd most demanding of 14
Growth delivered (Del g)+7.4%+5.0%5th highest of 14
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+5.7 pp+1.1 pp2nd most demanding of 14
ROIC minus cost of capital+3.1 pp+11.8 pp5th lowest of 14
EV / EBITDA18.9×11.8×most expensive of 13
Net debt / EBITDA-0.1×1.1×6th least indebted of 13

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Watsco WSOUnited States$12.7B-28%0%9%24.3×13.2%+7.4%
SPIC Industry-Finance 000958.SZChina$14.0B-14%+102%n/a22.2×n/an/a
Carlisle Companies CSLUnited States$14.5B+4%+4%20%15.9×3.7%+4.8%
Masco MASUnited States$15.8B+15%+1%18%18.0×4.9%+1.0%
A. O. Smith AOSUnited States$8.67B+10%-1%18%17.3×4.5%+5.8%
Simpson Manufacturing SSDUnited States$8.07B+4%+5%20%20.9×13.2%+13.0%
SPX Technologies SPXCUnited States$7.15B-30%+20%17%15.3×15.7%+15.0%
Fortune Brands Innovations FBINUnited States$5.74B+27%-3%14%19.7×5.3%-6.0%
Toto 5332.TJapan$5.40B-1%+5%8%18.2×7.8%+5.0%
Sanwa 5929.TJapan$5.10B+8%+2%11%14.8×-2.6%+9.1%
KONE KNEBV.HEFinland$33.8B+15%+2%12%27.1×5.8%+2.5%
Griffon GFFUnited States$4.58B+15%-12%20%17.1×7.5%+4.0%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain SGO.PAFrance$40.7B-3%-2%10%12.1×5.1%+4.0%
Nichias 5393.TJapan$3.52B-5%+3%15%15.2×7.1%+5.1%
STO Express 002468.SZChina$3.40B-8%+26%5%10.2×-12.5%+20.8%

Questions

Who are Watsco's main competitors?
Named competitors: Ferguson Enterprises (FERG). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes SPIC Industry-Finance (000958.SZ), Carlisle Companies (CSL), Masco (MAS), A. O. Smith (AOS), Simpson Manufacturing (SSD), SPX Technologies (SPXC).
Is Watsco expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 24.3× against a peer median of 17.2×, 2nd most expensive of 15 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +7%, so the hurdle is +6 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Watsco stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -27.6% against +4.3% for the median peer; over one year -15.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.