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Fortescue LtdFMG.AXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Australia · AUD·Materials›Steel

Major Australian iron-ore miner in the Pilbara, also investing heavily in green hydrogen and renewable energy projects.

≈ Australia's Cleveland-Cliffs, with a green-energy pivotMomentum weak 20
Mkt cap
$32.4B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
51%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$88.6M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.8 pp
WACC 9.5%
Hurdle
-2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB+ / BB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
110 days
24 Feb 2027
Close · AUDA$15.18
1D-2.0%
1W+6.4%
1M-3.9%
3M-15.8%
6M-32.6%
YTD-31.0%
1Y-23.8%
ATR %2.9%
52w lowhigh35.1% off high

What Fortescue does

Major Australian iron-ore miner in the Pilbara, also investing heavily in green hydrogen and renewable energy projects.

Ships iron ore from its Pilbara mines in Western Australia over its own rail and port, sold mostly to China at prices tied to index benchmarks, with a discount because its ore is lower grade than the benchmark. Founder Andrew Forrest is the largest shareholder. It has since cut back several hydrogen projects.

In one line: Australia's Cleveland-Cliffs, with a green-energy pivot.

Products and services

  • Iron ore mining and export
  • Green hydrogen/ammonia projects (early stage)
  • Renewable energy projects

Customers

  • Chinese steelmakers (main iron ore buyers)
  • Global steel industry

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Mining
  • Iron ore mining
  • Green hydrogen/renewables (Fortescue…

What could go right

  • Chinese steel demand/iron ore price cycles
  • Green hydrogen cost-down and offtake deals

What could go wrong

  • Iron ore price volatility (China demand dependence)
  • Capital-intensive, unproven hydrogen bet

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage, installed base). Low-cost, high-volume Pilbara iron ore operations with owned rail and port infrastructure.

Headquarters: Perth, Australia · Founded: 2003 · Employees: 20,000

Named competitors

Fortescue at a glance

Size Fortescue (FMG.AX) is an Australia Materials company (Steel) with a market value of $32.4B, the 13th largest of 316 Australia companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at A$15.18 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 32.6%, against -1.1% for the median peer and +4.1% for the Australia market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 4.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.2%); the operating margin is 31.8% (peer median 8.9%).

Valuation It trades at 12.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.7× (9th cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -3%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.8 points above its cost of capital (9.5% WACC).

Credit Fortescue has 4 bonds outstanding ($2.85B), rated BB+ by the agencies and trading like BB+ at a weighted spread of 184 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 24 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 99FMG.AX 66
Six months, rebased to 100: Fortescue against the median of its 19 peers (local-currency closes).

Fortescue financials

Reported figures in AUD; fiscal year ends 2026-06-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
RevenueA$25.0BA$25.0BA$24.0BA$27.8BA$25.1B
Revenue growth—+4%-14%+11%—
Gross profitA$9.37BA$9.32BA$9.44BA$14.4BA$13.2B
EBITDAA$12.2BA$12.2BA$11.8BA$16.2BA$14.5B
Net incomeA$4.28BA$4.24BA$5.21BA$8.67BA$7.13B
Free cash flowA$5.04BA$5.22BA$4.90BA$7.70BA$6.69B
Capital expenditureA$4.63BA$4.80BA$5.04BA$4.32BA$4.31B
Total debtn/aA$8.56BA$8.30BA$8.09BA$7.99B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Fortescue competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-10%0%+10%STLDTENJSWSTEELTATASTEELVALEMT5401RS600019NUE005490600010JINDALSTELLLOYDSMETX0007082002GGBTKAFMG.AX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Fortescue is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%+150%20×40×60×STLDTENJSWSTEELVALEMT5401RS600019005490600010JINDALSTELLLOYDSME2002FMG.AXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Fortescue is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%0%20%STLDTENJSWSTEELTATASTEELVALERS600019600010000708GGBFMG.AXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Fortescue is the large dot.

Fortescue competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (FMG.AX vs BHP.AX vs RIO.L vs VALE)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Fortescue FMG.AX$32.4B-33%+4%32%12.3×-5.7%
BHP BHP.AX$203B-6%+9%39%15.7×-1.0%
Rio Tinto RIO.L$144B-21%+11%27%10.3×5.6%
Vale S.A. Sponsored ADR VALE$45.4B-30%+11%25%7.7×-14.0%

How Fortescue compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Fortescue against its 19 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureFMG.AXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-3.9%-1.9%9th lowest of 20
6-month return-32.6%-1.1%2nd lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-35.1%-18.4%4th lowest of 20
Revenue growth (TTM)+4.2%+10.2%8th lowest of 20
Operating margin31.8%8.9%2nd highest of 20
Forward P/E12.3×13.7×9th cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-5.7%8.7%4th least demanding of 12
Growth delivered (Del g)-3.5%+8.2%lowest of 12
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-2.2 pp-2.0 pp6th least demanding of 12
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.8 pp-2.1 pphighest of 20
EV / EBITDA3.9×10.2×cheapest of 15
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×1.0×3rd least indebted of 16
Bond spread184 bp84 bpwidest of 6

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Fortescue FMG.AXAustralia$32.4B-33%+4%32%12.3×-5.7%-3.5%
Steel Dynamics STLDUnited States$31.7B-5%+26%12%9.7×11.7%+13.6%
Tenaris TEN.MIItaly$30.2B-1%-5%19%15.9×6.1%+18.6%
JSW Steel JSWSTEEL.NSIndia$35.1B+6%+14%13%18.5×21.1%+18.4%
Tata Steel TATASTEEL.NSIndia$24.6B-14%+11%9%14.0×8.7%+8.2%
Vale S.A. Sponsored ADR VALEUnited States$45.4B-30%+11%25%7.7×-14.0%-0.9%
ArcelorMittal MT.ASNetherlands$45.7B0%-3%4%23.7×n/an/a
Nippon Steel 5401.TJapan$22.3B+15%+28%4%11.2×n/an/a
Reliance RSUnited States$21.2B+13%+25%9%14.9×9.1%+10.2%
Baoshan Iron & Steel 600019.SSChina$19.9B-3%+6%3%14.4×-9.6%+2.4%
Nucor NUEUnited States$55.6B+8%+22%13%10.2×12.0%+10.0%
POSCO 005490.KSSouth Korea$14.4B-42%+4%3%11.2×n/an/a
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union 600010.SSChina$13.5B-26%-6%3%66.3×14.7%+2.5%
Jindal Steel JINDALSTEL.NSIndia$12.6B-7%+26%10%21.2×n/an/a
Lloyds Metals & Energy LLOYDSME.NSIndia$10.6B+3%+171%33%13.4×n/an/a
Ternium S.A. Sponsored ADR TXUnited States$9.65B+5%-1%8%6.7×n/an/a
Citic Pacific Special Steel 000708.SZChina$9.52B-18%0%6%10.8×-7.8%+7.2%
China Steel 2002.TWTaiwan$8.65B0%-7%0%41.5×n/an/a
Gerdau S.A. Pfd Sponsored ADR Repr 1 Pfd Sh GGBUnited States$8.41B-10%+10%9%7.9×2.3%+8.0%
thyssenkrupp TKA.DEGermany$8.33B+10%-2%1%n/an/an/a

Fortescue bonds and credit

Fortescue has 4 bonds outstanding with $2.85B face value. The agencies rate it BB+; its bonds trade like BB+. Weighted yield 6.48%, a spread of 184 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Fortescue's main competitors?
Named competitors: BHP Group (BHP.AX), Rio Tinto (RIO.L), Vale (VALE). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Steel Dynamics (STLD), Tenaris (TEN.MI), JSW Steel (JSWSTEEL.NS), Tata Steel (TATASTEEL.NS), Vale S.A. Sponsored ADR (VALE), ArcelorMittal (MT.AS).
Is Fortescue expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.3× against a peer median of 13.7×, 9th cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is -3%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Fortescue stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -32.6% against -1.1% for the median peer; over one year -23.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.