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BHP Group LtdBHP.AXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Australia · AUD·Materials›Steel

One of the world's largest diversified miners, producing iron ore, copper, metallurgical coal and potash (via Jansen) globally.

≈ No single US peer — closest is a diversified Freeport-McMoRan plus Nucor's ore supplierMomentum weak 34
Mkt cap
$203B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$336M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
15.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+14.6 pp
WACC 8.8%
Hurdle
-4 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
NR / AA-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
101 days
15 Feb 2027
Close · AUDA$57.62
1D-2.3%
1W+0.1%
1M-5.8%
3M-9.9%
6M-6.3%
YTD+26.7%
1Y+35.1%
ATR %2.8%
52w lowhigh16.2% off high

What BHP does

One of the world's largest diversified miners, producing iron ore, copper, metallurgical coal and potash (via Jansen) globally.

Earns by selling commodities at world-market prices, so profit follows price swings; iron ore carries the group, with copper the growth line and China the biggest buyer. In 2022 it dropped its dual London-Australia structure and merged its oil and gas arm into Woodside to focus on metals and fertiliser.

In one line: No single US peer — closest is a diversified Freeport-McMoRan plus Nucor's ore supplier.

Products and services

  • Iron ore (Western Australia)
  • Copper (Escondida, Chile and others)
  • Metallurgical coal (Queensland)
  • Potash (Jansen, Canada, ramping)

Customers

  • Steelmakers (China, Asia)
  • Copper smelters/traders
  • Fertiliser producers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Diversified mining
  • Iron ore + copper + coal + potash

What could go right

  • China/global steel and copper demand
  • Potash diversification (Jansen)

What could go wrong

  • Iron-ore/copper price cyclicality
  • China demand slowdown risk

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage, installed base). Tier-1, low-cost iron-ore and copper assets give a structural cost advantage over most peers.

Headquarters: Melbourne, Australia · Founded: 1885 · Employees: 84,309

Named competitors

BHP at a glance

Size BHP (BHP.AX) is an Australia Materials company (Steel) with a market value of $203B, the largest of 316 Australia companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at A$57.62 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 6.3%, against -2.1% for the median peer and +4.1% for the Australia market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 9.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.2%); the operating margin is 39.3% (peer median 8.9%).

Valuation It trades at 15.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.4× (7th most expensive of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -1% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is -4 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 14.6 points above its cost of capital (8.8% WACC).

Credit BHP has 13 bonds outstanding ($13.7B), rated NR by the agencies and trading like AA- at a weighted spread of 62 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 15 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 98BHP.AX 93
Six months, rebased to 100: BHP against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

BHP financials

Reported figures in AUD; fiscal year ends 2026-06-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
RevenueA$86.5BA$86.7BA$79.2BA$84.9BA$80.0B
Revenue growth—+10%-7%+6%—
Gross profitA$34.0BA$45.4BA$36.9BA$43.9BA$41.1B
EBITDAA$43.1BA$47.1BA$38.2BA$43.2BA$40.3B
Net incomeA$14.6BA$14.5BA$13.9BA$12.0BA$19.2B
Free cash flowA$17.0BA$17.6BA$14.4BA$18.1BA$17.8B
Capital expenditureA$14.6BA$15.1BA$15.1BA$14.1BA$10.5B
Total debtn/aA$39.1BA$37.4BA$31.0BA$33.6B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

BHP competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%-10%0%+10%NUEMTVALEJSWSTEELFMGSTLDTENTATASTEEL5401RS600019005490600010JINDALSTELLLOYDSMETX0007082002GGBTKABHP.AX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. BHP is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%+150%20×40×60×NUEMTVALEJSWSTEELSTLDTENRS600010JINDALSTELLLOYDSMETX0007082002BHP.AXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. BHP is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%0%20%NUEVALEJSWSTEELFMGSTLDTENTATASTEELRS600019600010000708GGBBHP.AXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. BHP is the large dot.

BHP competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (BHP.AX vs RIO.L vs VALE vs FMG.AX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
BHP BHP.AX$203B-6%+9%39%15.7×-1.0%
Rio Tinto RIO.L$144B-21%+11%27%10.3×5.6%
Vale S.A. Sponsored ADR VALE$45.4B-30%+11%25%7.7×-14.0%
Fortescue FMG.AX$32.4B-33%+4%32%12.3×-5.7%
Freeport-McMoRan FCX$85.3B-4%0%24%14.3×16.3%

How BHP compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

BHP against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureBHP.AXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-5.8%-2.5%6th lowest of 21
6-month return-6.3%-2.1%9th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-16.2%-19.2%9th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+9.2%+8.2%11th highest of 21
Operating margin39.3%8.9%highest of 21
Forward P/E15.7×13.4×7th most expensive of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-1.0%7.4%5th least demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+2.6%+8.1%5th lowest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-3.6 pp-2.1 pp6th least demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital+14.6 pp-0.5 pphighest of 21
EV / EBITDA7.3×10.1×6th cheapest of 16
Net debt / EBITDA0.3×1.0×5th least indebted of 17
Bond spread62 bp91 bptightest of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
BHP BHP.AXAustralia$203B-6%+9%39%15.7×-1.0%+2.6%
Nucor NUEUnited States$55.6B+8%+22%13%10.2×12.0%+10.0%
ArcelorMittal MT.ASNetherlands$45.7B0%-3%4%23.7×n/an/a
Vale S.A. Sponsored ADR VALEUnited States$45.4B-30%+11%25%7.7×-14.0%-0.9%
JSW Steel JSWSTEEL.NSIndia$35.1B+6%+14%13%18.5×21.1%+18.4%
Fortescue FMG.AXAustralia$32.4B-33%+4%32%12.3×-5.7%-3.5%
Steel Dynamics STLDUnited States$31.7B-5%+26%12%9.7×11.7%+13.6%
Tenaris TEN.MIItaly$30.2B-1%-5%19%15.9×6.1%+18.6%
Tata Steel TATASTEEL.NSIndia$24.6B-14%+11%9%14.0×8.7%+8.2%
Nippon Steel 5401.TJapan$22.3B+15%+28%4%11.2×n/an/a
Reliance RSUnited States$21.2B+13%+25%9%14.9×9.1%+10.2%
Baoshan Iron & Steel 600019.SSChina$19.9B-3%+6%3%14.4×-9.6%+2.4%
POSCO 005490.KSSouth Korea$14.4B-42%+4%3%11.2×n/an/a
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union 600010.SSChina$13.5B-26%-6%3%66.3×14.7%+2.5%
Jindal Steel JINDALSTEL.NSIndia$12.6B-7%+26%10%21.2×n/an/a
Lloyds Metals & Energy LLOYDSME.NSIndia$10.6B+3%+171%33%13.4×n/an/a
Ternium S.A. Sponsored ADR TXUnited States$9.65B+5%-1%8%6.7×n/an/a
Citic Pacific Special Steel 000708.SZChina$9.52B-18%0%6%10.8×-7.8%+7.2%
China Steel 2002.TWTaiwan$8.65B0%-7%0%41.5×n/an/a
Gerdau S.A. Pfd Sponsored ADR Repr 1 Pfd Sh GGBUnited States$8.41B-10%+10%9%7.9×2.3%+8.0%
thyssenkrupp TKA.DEGermany$8.33B+10%-2%1%n/an/an/a

BHP bonds and credit

BHP has 13 bonds outstanding with $13.7B face value. The agencies rate it NR; its bonds trade like AA-. Weighted yield 5.48%, a spread of 62 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are BHP's main competitors?
Named competitors: Rio Tinto (RIO.L), Vale (VALE), Fortescue (FMG.AX), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Nucor (NUE), ArcelorMittal (MT.AS), Vale S.A. Sponsored ADR (VALE), JSW Steel (JSWSTEEL.NS), Fortescue (FMG.AX), Steel Dynamics (STLD).
Is BHP expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 15.7× against a peer median of 13.4×, 7th most expensive of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -1% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is -4 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has BHP stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -6.3% against -2.1% for the median peer; over one year +35.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.