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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › DINO HF Sinclair CorporationOpen in the cockpit ↗

HF Sinclair CorporationDINOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Energy›Oil Refining/Marketing

US independent petroleum refiner (formerly HollyFrontier/Sinclair) also making renewable diesel and lubricants.

Momentum strong 78
Mkt cap
$16.7B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
94%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$282M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
5.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+24.6 pp
WACC 8.0%
Hurdle
-39 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB- / BBB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
110 days
24 Feb 2027
Close · USD$97.18
1D-0.6%
1W-15.5%
1M-19.5%
3M+14.0%
6M+34.2%
YTD+110.9%
1Y+83.4%
ATR %5.9%
Beta-0.21
52w lowhigh24.9% off high

What HF Sinclair does

US independent petroleum refiner (formerly HollyFrontier/Sinclair) also making renewable diesel and lubricants.

Buys crude oil and sells gasoline, diesel and jet fuel, earning the gap between product prices and crude cost (the crack spread); its refineries are mostly inland. Lubricants, built around Petro-Canada bought in 2017, give a steadier line, and renewable diesel turns vegetable oils and fats into fuel.

Products and services

  • Petroleum refining
  • Lubricants & specialty products (Petro-Canada Lubricants)
  • Renewable diesel
  • Marketing (Sinclair brand)

Customers

  • Wholesale fuel distributors/retailers
  • Industrial lubricant customers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Refining/marketing
  • Crude refining + renewable diesel +…
  • Rocky Mountain/Mid-Continent/Southwest…

What could go right

  • Wide inland refining crack spreads
  • Lubricants/specialty products growth

What could go wrong

  • Refining margin cyclicality
  • Renewable fuel credit price risk

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage). Regional refining scale in less-competitive inland markets supports steadier crack-spread capture.

Headquarters: Dallas, Texas, US · Employees: 5,165

Named competitors

HF Sinclair at a glance

Size HF Sinclair (DINO) is a United States Energy company (Oil Refining/Marketing) with a market value of $16.7B, the 561st largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $97.18 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 34.2%, against -5.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 12 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 29.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +15.4%); the operating margin is 13.9% (peer median 8.4%).

Valuation It trades at 5.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 6.8× (4th cheapest of 11).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -20% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +19%, so the hurdle is -39 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 24.6 points above its cost of capital (8.0% WACC).

Credit HF Sinclair has 5 bonds outstanding ($2.72B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BBB at a weighted spread of 111 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 24 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10015011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026DINO 133Peer median 96
Six months, rebased to 100: HF Sinclair against the median of its 11 peers (local-currency closes).

HF Sinclair financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$34.8B$26.9B$28.6B$32.0B$38.2B
Revenue growth—-6%-11%-16%—
Gross profit$5.37B$1.38B$742M$2.71B$4.52B
EBITDA$5.81B$1.83B$1.13B$3.00B$4.80B
Net income$3.50B$574M$175M$1.58B$2.89B
Free cash flow$3.27B$866M$646M$1.92B$3.26B
Capital expenditure$488M$449M$470M$385M$524M
Total debt$3.25B$3.23B$3.10B$3.18B$3.72B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

HF Sinclair competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-25%0%+25%+50%-40%-20%0%BPCL5020096770NESTE65055019010950HINDPETROPBFPKNALDDINO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. HF Sinclair is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%+30%10×20×BPCL5020096770NESTE65055019010950PBFPKNALDDINORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. HF Sinclair is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%-20%0%20%BPCL5020NESTE5019HINDPETROPKNALDDINOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. HF Sinclair is the large dot.

HF Sinclair competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (DINO vs VLO vs MPC vs PSX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
HF Sinclair DINO$16.7B+34%+29%14%5.0×-20.0%
Valero Energy VLO$96.6B+44%+25%12%5.6×-16.1%
Marathon Petroleum MPC$101B+53%+32%12%5.1×-16.8%
Phillips 66 PSX$95.8B+44%+29%10%6.6×-11.3%
PBF Energy PBF$8.16B+65%+32%8%2.6×n/a
CVR Energy CVI$3.83B+14%+34%11%5.2×-17.9%

How HF Sinclair compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

HF Sinclair against its 11 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureDINOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-19.5%-17.6%5th lowest of 12
6-month return+34.2%-5.0%3rd highest of 12
Distance from 52-week high-24.9%-23.9%6th lowest of 12
Revenue growth (TTM)+29.5%+15.4%2nd highest of 12
Operating margin13.9%8.4%2nd highest of 12
Forward P/E5.0×6.8×4th cheapest of 11
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-20.0%-7.7%least demanding of 9
Growth delivered (Del g)+19.1%+12.9%2nd highest of 9
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-39.2 pp-18.0 ppleast demanding of 9
ROIC minus cost of capital+24.6 pp+10.0 pp2nd highest of 12
EV / EBITDA2.9×4.8×2nd cheapest of 8
Net debt / EBITDA-0.0×1.7×2nd least indebted of 10
Bond spread111 bp135 bp2nd tightest of 4

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
HF Sinclair DINOUnited States$16.7B+34%+29%14%5.0×-20.0%+19.1%
Bharat Petroleum BPCL.NSIndia$14.7B+4%+22%3%23.1×5.7%+14.5%
Eneos 5020.TJapan$19.8B-11%+2%7%6.7×-10.6%+9.0%
SK Innovation 096770.KSSouth Korea$13.4B-25%+26%9%4.5×n/an/a
Neste NESTE.HEFinland$23.6B-5%+15%14%6.9×-6.5%+10.0%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporati 6505.TWTaiwan$24.7B+58%+2%10%10.4×-7.7%+8.6%
Idemitsu Kosan 5019.TJapan$9.54B-9%-3%6%7.1×-12.8%+12.2%
S-Oil 010950.KSSouth Korea$9.00B-21%+19%10%3.5×n/an/a
Hindustan Petroleum HINDPETRO.NSIndia$8.67B-2%+17%0%n/a24.7%+13.6%
PBF Energy PBFUnited States$8.16B+65%+32%8%2.6×n/an/a
ORLEN Spolka Akcyjna PKN.WAPoland$38.5B-10%+2%13%5.2×-7.6%+25.5%
Ampol ALD.AXAustralia$5.95B+6%+15%6%10.8×-14.0%+15.4%

HF Sinclair bonds and credit

HF Sinclair has 5 bonds outstanding with $2.72B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BBB. Weighted yield 5.70%, a spread of 111 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are HF Sinclair's main competitors?
Named competitors: Valero Energy (VLO), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), PBF Energy (PBF), CVR Energy (CVI). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Bharat Petroleum (BPCL.NS), Eneos (5020.T), SK Innovation (096770.KS), Neste (NESTE.HE), Formosa Petrochemical Corporati (6505.TW), Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T).
Is HF Sinclair expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 5.0× against a peer median of 6.8×, 4th cheapest of 11 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -20% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +19%, so the hurdle is -39 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has HF Sinclair stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +34.2% against -5.0% for the median peer; over one year +83.4%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.