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Marathon PetroleumMPCCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Energy›Oil Refining/Marketing

US independent petroleum refiner and fuel marketer, also holding a majority stake in midstream MLP MPLX.

Momentum leader 86
Mkt cap
$101B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$1.00B
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
5.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+23.0 pp
WACC 7.0%
Hurdle
-31 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB / BBB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
88 days
2 Feb 2027
Close · USD$372.74
1D-1.2%
1W-16.2%
1M-19.6%
3M+16.4%
6M+52.8%
YTD+131.2%
1Y+103.0%
ATR %5.3%
Beta-0.27
52w lowhigh24.5% off high

What Marathon Petroleum does

US independent petroleum refiner and fuel marketer, also holding a majority stake in midstream MLP MPLX.

Earns the gap between what it pays for crude oil and what it sells gasoline and diesel for, the refining margin, plus fee-based pipelines and terminals through MPLX, whose cash flow is steadier. It sold its Speedway stores to 7-Eleven's owner in 2021 to focus on refining and midstream.

Products and services

  • Petroleum refining
  • Fuel marketing/wholesale
  • Midstream (MPLX stake)
  • Renewable diesel (JV)

Customers

  • Wholesale distributors/retailers
  • Midstream customers via MPLX

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Refining/marketing
  • Crude refining + retail/marketing +…
  • US refineries and legacy retail network

What could go right

  • Wide refining crack spreads
  • MPLX distribution growth

What could go wrong

  • Refining margin cyclicality
  • Regulatory/environmental compliance costs

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage). Large refining scale plus captive midstream logistics (MPLX) lower delivered cost versus smaller refiners.

Headquarters: Findlay, Ohio, US · Founded: 2011 · Employees: 18,500

Named competitors

Marathon Petroleum at a glance

Size Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is a United States Energy company (Oil Refining/Marketing) with a market value of $101B, the 121st largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $372.74 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 52.8%, against +6.5% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — highest of 8 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 31.8% over the last twelve months (peer median +7.2%); the operating margin is 12.4% (peer median 9.6%).

Valuation It trades at 5.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 8.4× (cheapest of 8).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -17% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -31 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 23.0 points above its cost of capital (7.0% WACC).

Credit Marathon Petroleum has 8 bonds outstanding ($5.39B), rated BBB by the agencies and trading like BBB+ at a weighted spread of 92 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 2.5% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 2 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10015020011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026MPC 148Peer median 107
Six months, rebased to 100: Marathon Petroleum against the median of its 7 peers (local-currency closes).

Marathon Petroleum financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$175B$133B$139B$148B$177B
Revenue growth—-4%-7%-16%—
Gross profit$25.5B$9.87B$9.03B$16.6B$22.6B
EBITDA$25.1B$9.87B$9.23B$16.9B$23.0B
Net income$14.6B$4.04B$3.44B$9.67B$14.5B
Free cash flow$20.8B$4.77B$6.13B$12.2B$13.9B
Capital expenditure$4.41B$3.49B$2.53B$1.89B$2.42B
Total debt$34.5B$34.4B$28.8B$28.5B$27.9B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Marathon Petroleum competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+20%+40%-20%-10%0%+10%6000280386VLOPSXENIRELIANCEPKNMPC6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Marathon Petroleum is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%+30%5×10×15×20×6000280386VLOPSXENIRELIANCEPKNMPCRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Marathon Petroleum is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%-20%0%20%6000280386VLOPSXENIRELIANCEPKNMPCGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Marathon Petroleum is the large dot.

Marathon Petroleum competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (MPC vs VLO vs PSX vs DINO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Marathon Petroleum MPC$101B+53%+32%12%5.1×-16.8%
Valero Energy VLO$96.6B+44%+25%12%5.6×-16.1%
Phillips 66 PSX$95.8B+44%+29%10%6.6×-11.3%
HF Sinclair DINO$16.7B+34%+29%14%5.0×-20.0%
PBF Energy PBF$8.16B+65%+32%8%2.6×n/a

How Marathon Petroleum compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Marathon Petroleum against its 7 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureMPCPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-19.6%+0.7%2nd lowest of 8
6-month return+52.8%+6.5%highest of 8
Distance from 52-week high-24.5%-18.1%3rd lowest of 8
Revenue growth (TTM)+31.8%+7.2%highest of 8
Operating margin12.4%9.6%2nd highest of 8
Forward P/E5.1×8.4×cheapest of 8
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-16.8%0.8%least demanding of 8
Growth delivered (Del g)+13.9%+13.6%4th highest of 8
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-30.7 pp-12.5 pp2nd least demanding of 8
ROIC minus cost of capital+23.0 pp+0.4 pp2nd highest of 8
EV / EBITDA5.1×6.3×3rd cheapest of 7
Net debt / EBITDA0.8×0.8×4th most indebted of 8
Bond spread92 bp88 bp2nd widest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Marathon Petroleum MPCUnited States$101B+53%+32%12%5.1×-16.8%+13.9%
China Petroleum & Chemical 600028.SSChina$99.2B+8%-10%2%15.8×9.0%+6.3%
Sinopec 0386.HKHong Kong$97.3B+7%+7%0%11.1×31.5%+5.8%
Valero Energy VLOUnited States$96.6B+44%+25%12%5.6×-16.1%+13.6%
Phillips 66 PSXUnited States$95.8B+44%+29%10%6.6×-11.3%+15.7%
Eni ENI.MIItaly$82.2B+6%+4%9%8.4×0.8%+13.3%
Reliance Industries RELIANCE.NSIndia$189B-8%+20%11%19.3×19.1%+17.8%
ORLEN Spolka Akcyjna PKN.WAPoland$38.5B-10%+2%13%5.2×-7.6%+25.5%

Marathon Petroleum bonds and credit

Marathon Petroleum has 8 bonds outstanding with $5.39B face value. The agencies rate it BBB; its bonds trade like BBB+. Weighted yield 5.79%, a spread of 92 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Marathon Petroleum's main competitors?
Named competitors: Valero Energy (VLO), Phillips 66 (PSX), HF Sinclair (DINO), PBF Energy (PBF). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes China Petroleum & Chemical (600028.SS), Sinopec (0386.HK), Valero Energy (VLO), Phillips 66 (PSX), Eni (ENI.MI), Reliance Industries (RELIANCE.NS).
Is Marathon Petroleum expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 5.1× against a peer median of 8.4×, cheapest of 8 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -17% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -31 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Marathon Petroleum stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +52.8% against +6.5% for the median peer; over one year +103.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.