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Valero EnergyVLOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Energy›Oil Refining/Marketing

US independent petroleum refiner producing gasoline, diesel and renewable fuels, with no upstream oil production.

Momentum strong 79
Mkt cap
$96.6B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$1.23B
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
5.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+33.7 pp
WACC 7.5%
Hurdle
-30 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB / BBB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
83 days
28 Jan 2027
Close · USD$346.45
1D-1.4%
1W-13.3%
1M-21.9%
3M+10.0%
6M+44.4%
YTD+115.1%
1Y+107.1%
ATR %5.5%
Beta-0.36
52w lowhigh24.9% off high

What Valero Energy does

US independent petroleum refiner producing gasoline, diesel and renewable fuels, with no upstream oil production.

Earns the gap between its crude cost and the prices of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel, selling wholesale rather than through its own stations. Its Gulf Coast refineries are built to run cheaper heavy crude. The Diamond Green Diesel joint venture with Darling Ingredients makes renewable diesel.

Products and services

  • Petroleum refining
  • Renewable diesel (Diamond Green Diesel JV)
  • Ethanol production
  • Marketing/wholesale

Customers

  • Wholesale fuel distributors/retailers
  • Airlines/trucking (jet/diesel)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Refining/marketing
  • Crude refining + renewable…
  • US, Canada, UK, Caribbean refineries

What could go right

  • Wide refining crack spreads
  • Renewable fuel credit demand

What could go wrong

  • Refining margin cyclicality
  • Renewable fuel policy/credit price risk

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage). Large, complex refineries process cheaper heavy/sour crude at lower cost than simpler competitors.

Headquarters: San Antonio, Texas, US · Founded: 1980 · Employees: 9,811

Named competitors

Valero Energy at a glance

Size Valero Energy (VLO) is a United States Energy company (Oil Refining/Marketing) with a market value of $96.6B, the 129th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $346.45 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 44.4%, against +7.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 9 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 25.1% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.6%); the operating margin is 12.0% (peer median 9.6%).

Valuation It trades at 5.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 9.4× (3rd cheapest of 9).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -16% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -30 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 33.7 points above its cost of capital (7.5% WACC).

Credit Valero Energy has 15 bonds outstanding ($8.54B), rated BBB by the agencies and trading like BBB+ at a weighted spread of 85 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 2.8% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 28 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10015011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026VLO 140Peer median 108
Six months, rebased to 100: Valero Energy against the median of its 8 peers (local-currency closes).

Valero Energy financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$154B$123B$130B$145B$177B
Revenue growth—-5%-10%-18%—
Gross profit$19.6B$5.43B$4.71B$12.7B$18.0B
EBITDA$21.5B$7.53B$6.48B$14.4B$19.4B
Net income$12.9B$2.34B$2.76B$8.81B$11.5B
Free cash flow$15.1B$5.03B$5.78B$8.32B$10.9B
Capital expenditure$1.64B$1.89B$2.06B$1.92B$2.74B
Total debt$11.0B$11.7B$11.5B$12.6B$12.7B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Valero Energy competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+20%+40%+60%-20%-10%0%+10%0386PSX600028MPCENIRELIANCEPKN6505VLO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Valero Energy is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%+30%5×10×15×20×0386PSX600028MPCENIRELIANCEPKN6505VLORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Valero Energy is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%-20%0%20%0386PSX600028MPCENIRELIANCEPKN6505VLOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Valero Energy is the large dot.

Valero Energy competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (VLO vs MPC vs PSX vs DINO)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Valero Energy VLO$96.6B+44%+25%12%5.6×-16.1%
Marathon Petroleum MPC$101B+53%+32%12%5.1×-16.8%
Phillips 66 PSX$95.8B+44%+29%10%6.6×-11.3%
HF Sinclair DINO$16.7B+34%+29%14%5.0×-20.0%
PBF Energy PBF$8.16B+65%+32%8%2.6×n/a
ExxonMobil XOM$677B+16%+21%14%11.8×-5.9%

How Valero Energy compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Valero Energy against its 8 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureVLOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-21.9%-6.0%lowest of 9
6-month return+44.4%+7.1%3rd highest of 9
Distance from 52-week high-24.9%-19.4%3rd lowest of 9
Revenue growth (TTM)+25.1%+5.6%3rd highest of 9
Operating margin12.0%9.6%3rd highest of 9
Forward P/E5.6×9.4×3rd cheapest of 9
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-16.1%-3.4%2nd least demanding of 9
Growth delivered (Del g)+13.6%+13.6%5th highest of 9
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-29.7 pp-14.4 pp3rd least demanding of 9
ROIC minus cost of capital+33.7 pp+4.1 pphighest of 9
EV / EBITDA4.7×6.8×2nd cheapest of 8
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×0.8×2nd least indebted of 9
Bond spread85 bp91 bp2nd tightest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Valero Energy VLOUnited States$96.6B+44%+25%12%5.6×-16.1%+13.6%
Sinopec 0386.HKHong Kong$97.3B+7%+7%0%11.1×31.5%+5.8%
Phillips 66 PSXUnited States$95.8B+44%+29%10%6.6×-11.3%+15.7%
China Petroleum & Chemical 600028.SSChina$99.2B+8%-10%2%15.8×9.0%+6.3%
Marathon Petroleum MPCUnited States$101B+53%+32%12%5.1×-16.8%+13.9%
Eni ENI.MIItaly$82.2B+6%+4%9%8.4×0.8%+13.3%
Reliance Industries RELIANCE.NSIndia$189B-8%+20%11%19.3×19.1%+17.8%
ORLEN Spolka Akcyjna PKN.WAPoland$38.5B-10%+2%13%5.2×-7.6%+25.5%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporati 6505.TWTaiwan$24.7B+58%+2%10%10.4×-7.7%+8.6%

Valero Energy bonds and credit

Valero Energy has 15 bonds outstanding with $8.54B face value. The agencies rate it BBB; its bonds trade like BBB+. Weighted yield 5.66%, a spread of 85 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Valero Energy's main competitors?
Named competitors: Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), HF Sinclair (DINO), PBF Energy (PBF), Exxon Mobil (refining) (XOM). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Sinopec (0386.HK), Phillips 66 (PSX), China Petroleum & Chemical (600028.SS), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Eni (ENI.MI), Reliance Industries (RELIANCE.NS).
Is Valero Energy expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 5.6× against a peer median of 9.4×, 3rd cheapest of 9 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -16% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -30 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Valero Energy stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +44.4% against +7.1% for the median peer; over one year +107.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.