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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › CHDN Churchill Downs IncorporatedOpen in the cockpit ↗

Churchill Downs IncorporatedCHDNCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Communication Services›Movies/Entertainment

Operator of the Kentucky Derby and Churchill Downs racetrack, plus other racetracks, historical horse racing (HHR) gaming venues and online wagering (TwinSpires).

Momentum leader 87
Mkt cap
$6.71B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
93%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$101M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
13.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+3.0 pp
WACC 7.3%
Hurdle
-20 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
B+ / BBB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
110 days
24 Feb 2027
Close · USD$97.94
1D-0.2%
1W+3.3%
1M+28.6%
3M+13.4%
6M+11.1%
YTD-13.9%
1Y-1.1%
ATR %3.5%
Beta0.37
52w lowhigh17.2% off high

What Churchill Downs does

Operator of the Kentucky Derby and Churchill Downs racetrack, plus other racetracks, historical horse racing (HHR) gaming venues and online wagering (TwinSpires).

Earns a share of each wager on horse racing, called takeout, whether bet at the track or through TwinSpires online, and keeps a share of what players lose on gaming machines, where historical racing machines, slot-style games using results of past races, are now a major source. The Kentucky Derby is the biggest annual event; other tracks and casinos spread earnings through the year.

Products and services

  • Live and Historical Racing (Churchill Downs + HHR gaming)
  • TwinSpires (online horse-race wagering)
  • Gaming (casinos)

Customers

  • Horse-racing fans/bettors
  • Casino/HHR gaming patrons
  • Online wagering customers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Communication Services/Gaming
  • Horse racing and gaming
  • Racetrack, HHR gaming, online wagering

What could go right

  • Kentucky Derby media-rights/attendance growth
  • HHR gaming venue expansion into new states

What could go wrong

  • State-by-state HHR gaming regulatory/legal risk
  • Horse-racing industry secular attendance decline outside marquee events

Moat: narrow (brand, regulatory licence, scale). The Kentucky Derby is an irreplaceable annual cultural/sporting event, and HHR gaming licenses are state-restricted.

Headquarters: Louisville, Kentucky, USA · Founded: 1875 · Employees: 9,000

Named competitors

Churchill Downs at a glance

Size Churchill Downs (CHDN) is a United States Communication Services company (Movies/Entertainment) with a market value of $6.71B, the 980th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $97.94 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 11.1%, against +10.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 10th highest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 4.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.5%); the operating margin is 25.8% (peer median 9.5%).

Valuation It trades at 13.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 30.3× (3rd cheapest of 17).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +23%, so the hurdle is -20 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.0 points above its cost of capital (7.3% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $218M at 30 Sep 2026, down 12% on a year earlier — 0.1 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Churchill Downs has 1 bond outstanding ($600M), rated B+ by the agencies and trading like BBB- at a weighted spread of 124 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 7.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 24 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026CHDN 114Peer median 112
Six months, rebased to 100: Churchill Downs against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Churchill Downs financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$3.00B$2.93B$2.73B$2.46B$1.81B
Revenue growth—+7%+11%+36%—
Gross profit$1.03B$983M$938M$796M$566M
EBITDA$1.02B$976M$906M$769M$521M
Net income$451M$380M$424M$417M$439M
Free cash flow$530M$495M$226M-$70.7M$113M
Capital expenditure$226M$275M$547M$676M$424M
Total debt$4.73B$5.20B$4.97B$4.90B$4.65B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Churchill Downs competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+50%+100%0%+20%EVDG13300251TLCBFTDKNG9602LLYVACNK600977LION4816BNJMSGEBATRAITV002739AMCCHDN6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Churchill Downs is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-50%0%0×50×100×150×EVDG13300251TLCBFTDKNGCNK600977LIONMANUBNJMSGEITVCHDNRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Churchill Downs is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%EVDMSGKG13TLCBFTDKNG9602CNK600977LION4816MANUBNJMSGEITVCHDNGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Churchill Downs is the large dot.

Churchill Downs competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CHDN vs PENN vs BYD vs FLUT)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Churchill Downs CHDN$6.71B+11%+4%26%13.6×2.3%
PENN Entertainment PENN$2.34B+4%+6%6%12.3×15.2%
Boyd Gaming BYD$5.41B-11%0%19%10.1×n/a
Flutter Entertainment FLUT$14.2B-19%+12%2%14.3×26.3%
Bally's BALY$625M-4%+20%0%n/an/a

How Churchill Downs compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Churchill Downs against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCHDNPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+28.6%+9.2%highest of 20
6-month return+11.1%+10.9%10th highest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-17.2%-14.8%9th lowest of 20
Revenue growth (TTM)+4.2%+5.5%10th lowest of 20
Operating margin25.8%9.5%2nd highest of 21
Forward P/E13.6×30.3×3rd cheapest of 17
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)2.3%6.7%6th least demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+22.7%+16.7%6th highest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-20.4 pp-14.8 pp8th least demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital+3.0 pp+1.1 pp9th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA11.0×11.8×7th cheapest of 13
Net debt / EBITDA4.4×2.8×6th most indebted of 16
Bond spread124 bp147 bptightest of 4

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Churchill Downs CHDNUnited States$6.71B+11%+4%26%13.6×2.3%+22.7%
CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA EVD.DEGermany$6.68B+11%+14%15%18.4×6.8%+64.3%
MSG Knickerbockers MSGKUnited States$7.51Bn/a+11%3%n/a61.1%+22.6%
Genting Singapore G13.SISingapore$5.76B-10%+2%15%19.1×-5.0%+18.2%
Beijing Enlight Media 300251.SZChina$5.49B-16%-71%-57%179.5×n/an/a
Lottery TLC.AXAustralia$8.47B+4%-5%16%33.3×9.9%+3.8%
Benefit Systems BFT.WAPoland$5.18B+54%+40%19%23.7×13.4%+34.3%
DraftKings DKNGUnited States$9.19B-27%+15%-3%55.1×9.7%+58.0%
Toho 9602.TJapan$9.44B+22%+4%16%28.4×7.9%+13.4%
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Registered Series -A- LLYVAUnited States$9.64B+9%n/a-13%n/an/an/a
Cinemark CNKUnited States$4.51B+44%+13%15%14.8×2.4%+35.3%
China Film 600977.SSChina$4.48B+16%0%-9%141.5×-7.1%+10.4%
Lionsgate Studios LIONUnited States$4.24B+16%-8%6%52.8×18.6%-8.0%
Toei Animation 4816.TJapan$4.17B+23%-2%31%27.9×0.5%+12.7%
Manchester United MANUUnited States$3.90B+15%+5%-2%142.1×18.3%+6.5%
Banijay BNJ.ASNetherlands$3.83B-13%+7%14%8.0×-4.5%+18.1%
Madison Square Garden Entertainment MSGEUnited States$3.65B+18%+16%17%32.1×5.0%+66.9%
Atlanta Braves BATRAUnited States$3.23B+1%+6%-9%n/an/an/a
Itv ITV.LUnited Kingdom$3.23B-16%+2%13%8.3×-2.8%+4.8%
Ruyi Film Entertainment 002739.SZChina$2.94B-9%-8%3%34.1×6.7%+15.4%
AMC Entertainment AMCUnited States$2.80B+109%+6%5%n/an/an/a

Churchill Downs bonds and credit

Churchill Downs has 1 bond outstanding with $600M face value. The agencies rate it B+; its bonds trade like BBB-. Weighted yield 5.75%, a spread of 124 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Churchill Downs backlog

Churchill Downs reported $218M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026, down 12% from a year earlier and up 11% from the previous quarter. That is 0.1 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.03.

Questions

Who are Churchill Downs's main competitors?
Named competitors: Penn Entertainment (PENN), Boyd Gaming (BYD), Flutter Entertainment (FLUT), Bally's Corporation (BALY). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes CTS Eventim AG & Co. KGaA (EVD.DE), MSG Knickerbockers (MSGK), Genting Singapore (G13.SI), Beijing Enlight Media (300251.SZ), Lottery (TLC.AX), Benefit Systems (BFT.WA).
Is Churchill Downs expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 13.6× against a peer median of 30.3×, 3rd cheapest of 17 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +23%, so the hurdle is -20 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Churchill Downs stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +11.1% against +10.9% for the median peer; over one year -1.1%.
What is Churchill Downs's backlog?
Churchill Downs's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $218M at 30 Sep 2026, -12% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.