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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › CCL Carnival CorporationOpen in the cockpit ↗

Carnival CorporationCCLCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Discretionary›Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines

World's largest cruise operator, running Carnival, Princess, Holland America and other cruise brands.

Momentum strong 78
Mkt cap
$39.8B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
93%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$565M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-3.6 pp
WACC 12.7%
Hurdle
-22 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB- / BB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
42 days
18 Dec 2026
Close · USD$29.58
1D0.0%
1W+2.6%
1M+13.2%
3M+6.6%
6M+12.8%
YTD-2.1%
1Y+11.2%
ATR %3.9%
Beta2.05
52w lowhigh12.1% off high

What Carnival does

World's largest cruise operator, running Carnival, Princess, Holland America and other cruise brands.

Sells cruises well ahead of sailing, so deposits arrive early, then adds onboard spending on drinks, casino, spa and shore excursions. Ship occupancy and fare levels decide results. Since the 2020 shutdown it has sold or retired older ships and worked to repair its balance sheet.

Products and services

  • Carnival Cruise Line
  • Princess Cruises
  • Holland America Line
  • Private destinations

Customers

  • Leisure travelers/vacationers across price segment

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Travel & leisure
  • Cruise ship operation
  • Onboard & shore excursion services

What could go right

  • Cruise demand growth and pricing recovery
  • New capacity/destination additions

What could go wrong

  • High debt load/leverage sensitivity to demand shocks
  • Fuel price volatility

Moat: narrow (scale, brand, installed base). Largest global fleet and multi-brand portfolio spanning mass-market to premium cruise segments.

Headquarters: Miami, Florida, US · Founded: 1972

Named competitors

Carnival at a glance

Size Carnival (CCL) is a United States Consumer Discretionary company (Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines) with a market value of $39.8B, the 300th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $29.58 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 12.8%, against +18.1% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 5th lowest of 10 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 5.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +9.7%); the operating margin is 16.0% (peer median 23.3%).

Valuation It trades at 12.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 24.4× (cheapest of 10).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 14% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +37%, so the hurdle is -22 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.6 points below its cost of capital (12.7% WACC).

Credit Carnival has 11 bonds outstanding ($13.4B), rated BBB- by the agencies and trading like BB+ at a weighted spread of 134 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.1% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 18 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 118CCL 117
Six months, rebased to 100: Carnival against the median of its 9 peers (local-currency closes).

Carnival financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-11-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$27.6B$26.6B$25.0B$21.6B$12.2B
Revenue growth—+6%+16%+77%—
Gross profit$7.98B$7.78B$6.83B$4.91B-$1.42B
EBITDA$7.31B$7.18B$6.13B$4.33B-$1.49B
Net income$3.14B$2.76B$1.92B-$74.0M-$6.09B
Free cash flow$3.12B$2.61B$1.30B$997M-$6.61B
Capital expenditure$3.65B$3.61B$4.63B$3.28B$4.94B
Total debt$25.2B$28.0B$28.9B$31.9B$35.9B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Carnival competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

+10%+20%+30%+10%+15%+20%VIKIHGRCLH1179MARABNBINDHOTELACCCL6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Carnival is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+5%+10%+15%+20%20×40×VIKIHGRCLH1179MARABNBINDHOTELACCCLRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Carnival is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

+20%+40%20%40%VIKIHGRCLH1179MARABNBINDHOTELACCCLGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Carnival is the large dot.

Carnival competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (CCL vs RCL vs NCLH vs VIK)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Carnival CCL$39.8B+13%+5%16%12.4×14.5%
Royal Caribbean RCL$87.5B+19%+10%27%16.4×23.2%
Norwegian Cruise Line NCLH$8.23B+5%+5%14%13.8×n/a
Viking VIK$39.1B+6%+20%23%24.4×19.2%

How Carnival compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Carnival against its 9 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCCLPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+13.2%+15.6%4th lowest of 10
6-month return+12.8%+18.1%5th lowest of 10
Distance from 52-week high-12.1%-3.9%2nd lowest of 10
Revenue growth (TTM)+5.2%+9.7%4th lowest of 10
Operating margin16.0%23.3%4th lowest of 10
Forward P/E12.4×24.4×cheapest of 10
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)14.5%19.2%4th least demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)+36.6%+27.7%3rd highest of 10
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-22.1 pp-3.9 pp2nd least demanding of 10
ROIC minus cost of capital-3.6 pp+4.3 pp2nd lowest of 9
EV / EBITDA8.7×21.4×cheapest of 10
Net debt / EBITDA3.3×2.7×4th most indebted of 10
Bond spread134 bp103 bp2nd widest of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Carnival CCLUnited States$39.8B+13%+5%16%12.4×14.5%+36.6%
Viking VIKUnited States$39.1B+6%+20%23%24.4×19.2%+27.0%
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC Sponsored ADR IHGUnited States$25.3B+19%+3%24%23.8×12.7%+16.6%
Royal Caribbean RCLUnited States$87.5B+19%+10%27%16.4×23.2%+52.0%
Hyatt Hotels HUnited States$17.2B+10%+3%9%42.4×27.9%+27.7%
H World 1179.HKHong Kong$15.3B+3%+13%27%18.8×6.2%+19.1%
Marriott International MARUnited States$107B+18%+6%16%32.1×17.9%+19.9%
Airbnb ABNBUnited States$114B+34%+14%21%30.7×26.0%+29.5%
Indian Hotels INDHOTEL.NSIndia$13.4B+33%+15%26%55.6×42.0%+43.8%
Accor AC.PAFrance$12.8B+12%0%16%22.9×14.4%+28.3%

Carnival bonds and credit

Carnival has 11 bonds outstanding with $13.4B face value. The agencies rate it BBB-; its bonds trade like BB+. Weighted yield 5.56%, a spread of 134 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Carnival's main competitors?
Named competitors: Royal Caribbean Group (RCL), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Viking Holdings (VIK). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Viking (VIK), InterContinental Hotels Group PLC Sponsored ADR (IHG), Royal Caribbean (RCL), Hyatt Hotels (H), H World (1179.HK), Marriott International (MAR).
Is Carnival expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.4× against a peer median of 24.4×, cheapest of 10 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 14% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +37%, so the hurdle is -22 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Carnival stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +12.8% against +18.1% for the median peer; over one year +11.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.