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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › BAVA.CO Bavarian Nordic A/SOpen in the cockpit ↗

Bavarian Nordic A/SBAVA.COCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Denmark · DKK·Health Care›Biotechnology

Makes vaccines, including the smallpox/mpox vaccine and travel vaccines such as rabies and cholera.

Momentum leader 80
Mkt cap
$2.93B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
85%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$7.69M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
17.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+2.3 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
-29 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
7 days
13 Nov 2026
Close · DKKDKK 241.00
1D-1.8%
1W-1.8%
1M+4.8%
3M+36.1%
6M+27.0%
YTD+26.3%
1Y+2.5%
ATR %2.5%
52w lowhigh6.2% off high

What Bavarian Nordic A/S does

Makes vaccines, including the smallpox/mpox vaccine and travel vaccines such as rabies and cholera.

A big share comes from government orders for the smallpox and mpox vaccine, awarded as contracts that deliver in lumps; travel vaccines sold to clinics are steadier. Its travel vaccines were bought from other pharma firms, GSK and Emergent, rather than developed in-house.

Products and services

  • Smallpox/mpox vaccine (Jynneos/Imvanex)
  • Rabies vaccine
  • Travel vaccines (cholera, TBE)
  • RSV/other vaccine pipeline

Customers

  • Government stockpile programs (US BARDA, European
  • Travel clinics/public health bodies

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Biopharmaceuticals
  • Vaccine manufacturing
  • Government/travel vaccine supplier

What could go right

  • Government pandemic-preparedness stockpiling
  • Mpox outbreak-driven demand

What could go wrong

  • Lumpy government order timing/revenue volatility
  • Manufacturing/supply chain execution risk

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, IP / patents). One of few approved mpox/smallpox vaccine makers with long-term government stockpile contracts.

Headquarters: Hellerup, Denmark · Founded: 1994 · Employees: 1,795

Named competitors

Bavarian Nordic A/S at a glance

Size Bavarian Nordic A/S (BAVA.CO) is a Denmark Health Care company (Biotechnology) with a market value of $2.93B, the 28th largest of 59 Denmark companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at DKK 241.00 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 27.0%, against -9.1% for the median peer and +8.8% for the Denmark market (cap-weighted) — 5th highest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 3.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.4%); the operating margin is 16.4% (peer median -14.0%).

Valuation It trades at 17.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 31.2× (3rd cheapest of 9).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +27%, so the hurdle is -29 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.3 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 13 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026BAVA.CO 124Peer median 92
Six months, rebased to 100: Bavarian Nordic A/S against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Bavarian Nordic A/S financials

Reported figures in DKK; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueDKK 6.26BDKK 6.17BDKK 5.71BDKK 7.06BDKK 3.15B
Revenue growth—+8%-19%+124%—
Gross profitDKK 3.08BDKK 2.92BDKK 2.73BDKK 4.52BDKK 1.65B
EBITDADKK 1.76BDKK 1.64BDKK 1.56BDKK 2.05BDKK 328M
Net incomeDKK 1.54BDKK 1.38BDKK 988MDKK 1.48B-DKK 347M
Free cash flowDKK 1.24BDKK 2.52BDKK 1.87BDKK 977M-DKK 141M
Capital expenditureDKK 299MDKK 1.36BDKK 1.69BDKK 977MDKK 1.38B
Total debtDKK 131MDKK 131MDKK 128MDKK 145MDKK 1.19B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Bavarian Nordic A/S competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+100%-25%0%+25%+50%9688RUBICON69196887ADMA028300XERSBEAM300142300255DNLIXNCRRCUS002007VIRPBAVA.CO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Bavarian Nordic A/S is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%0×200×400×RUBICONADMAXERS688278300142TLX002007VIRPBAVA.CORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Bavarian Nordic A/S is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%75%ADMAXERS688278300142002007VIRPBAVA.COGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Bavarian Nordic A/S is the large dot.

Bavarian Nordic A/S competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (BAVA.CO vs EBS vs SAN.PA vs GSK.L)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Bavarian Nordic A/S BAVA.CO$2.93B+27%-3%16%17.1×-2.0%
Emergent BioSolutions EBS$312M-27%-18%5%16.1×-0.1%
Sanofi SAN.PA$113B+14%+15%27%9.6×-5.4%
GSK GSK.L$102B0%+4%25%10.6×-0.1%
Valneva VLA.PA$534M-2%-27%-87%n/an/a

How Bavarian Nordic A/S compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Bavarian Nordic A/S against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureBAVA.COPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+4.8%-7.3%9th highest of 21
6-month return+27.0%-9.1%5th highest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-6.2%-31.8%3rd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-3.3%+5.4%6th lowest of 18
Operating margin16.4%-14.0%5th highest of 19
Forward P/E17.1×31.2×3rd cheapest of 9
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-2.0%11.4%least demanding of 7
Growth delivered (Del g)+27.4%+22.7%4th highest of 7
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-29.4 pp-19.4 pp4th least demanding of 7
ROIC minus cost of capital+2.3 pp-7.8 pp6th highest of 17
EV / EBITDA9.9×59.5×cheapest of 6
Net debt / EBITDA-1.3×2.0×least indebted of 7

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Bavarian Nordic A/S BAVA.CODenmark$2.93B+27%-3%16%17.1×-2.0%+27.4%
Zai Lab 9688.HKHong Kong$2.92B+13%+5%-59%n/an/an/a
Rubicon Research RUBICON.NSIndia$2.91B+74%+37%21%77.2×n/an/a
Caliway Biopharmaceuticals 6919.TWTaiwan$3.01B-37%-54%-6,983%n/an/an/a
Sunshine Lake Pharma 6887.HKHong Kong$2.85B-9%+20%-3%n/an/an/a
ADMA Biologics ADMAUnited States$2.85B+56%+8%42%15.7×-0.8%+64.6%
HLB 028300.KSSouth Korea$3.06B-49%+29%-96%n/an/an/a
Xeris Biopharma XERSUnited States$2.77B+133%+36%11%67.9×33.3%+70.2%
Xiamen Amoytop Biotech 688278.SSChina$2.76B-23%+18%27%16.2×0.5%+36.0%
Beam Therapeutics BEAMUnited States$2.73B-18%+163%-268%n/an/an/a
Walvax Biotechnology 300142.SZChina$2.71B-12%-23%5%381.7×31.3%-3.8%
Hebei Changshan Biochemical Pharmaceutical 300255.SZChina$2.68B-52%0%-25%n/an/an/a
Denali Therapeutics DNLIUnited States$3.22B+2%n/a-2,488%n/an/an/a
Telix Pharmaceuticals TLX.AXAustralia$3.22B-6%+27%-1%36.8×n/an/a
Xencor XNCRUnited States$2.66B+178%-29%-206%n/an/an/a
Arcus Biosciences RCUSUnited States$2.59B-28%-55%-415%n/an/an/a
Evopoint Biosciences 688837.SSChina$2.58Bn/an/an/an/an/an/a
XtalPi 2228.HKHong Kong$3.35B-34%+4%-127%n/an/an/a
Hualan Biological Engineering 002007.SZChina$3.37B-15%-11%17%25.5×16.7%-1.8%
Dyne Therapeutics DYNUnited States$3.37B+3%n/an/an/an/an/a
Virbac VIRP.PAFrance$3.38B+5%+4%15%17.2×6.2%+9.4%

Questions

Who are Bavarian Nordic A/S's main competitors?
Named competitors: Emergent BioSolutions (EBS), Sanofi (SAN.PA), GSK (GSK.L), Valneva (VLA.PA). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Zai Lab (9688.HK), Rubicon Research (RUBICON.NS), Caliway Biopharmaceuticals (6919.TW), Sunshine Lake Pharma (6887.HK), ADMA Biologics (ADMA), HLB (028300.KS).
Is Bavarian Nordic A/S expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 17.1× against a peer median of 31.2×, 3rd cheapest of 9 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +27%, so the hurdle is -29 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Bavarian Nordic A/S stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +27.0% against -9.1% for the median peer; over one year +2.5%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.