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ATI IncATICompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Materials›Other Metals/Minerals

US specialty metals producer making titanium, nickel-based alloys and specialty steel for aerospace and defense.

Momentum weak 38
Mkt cap
$23.9B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$321M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
28.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.9 pp
WACC 10.0%
Hurdle
+12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB / BBB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
90 days
4 Feb 2027
Close · USD$175.79
1D+4.4%
1W+6.2%
1M-6.6%
3M-23.0%
6M+11.0%
YTD+53.2%
1Y+82.2%
ATR %6.3%
Beta1.56
52w lowhigh27.8% off high

What ATI does

US specialty metals producer making titanium, nickel-based alloys and specialty steel for aerospace and defense.

Sells specialty metals to aerospace engine and airframe makers under long-term supply agreements, so earnings follow aircraft and engine production and demand for jet-engine spares. It has largely exited commodity stainless steel to concentrate on these higher-value alloys.

Products and services

  • Titanium/titanium alloys
  • Nickel-based superalloys
  • Specialty steel/stainless

Customers

  • Aerospace engine/airframe makers (Boeing, Airbus,
  • Defense contractors

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials/specialty metals
  • Titanium/nickel alloy melting and…
  • Aerospace/defense supply chain

What could go right

  • Aerospace build-rate recovery (Boeing/Airbus)
  • Defense spending growth

What could go wrong

  • Aerospace build-rate/supply-chain disruption risk
  • Titanium/nickel raw material cost swings

Moat: narrow (customer qualification, process know-how, IP / patents). Qualifying alloys for aerospace engines takes years, locking in long-term supply agreements.

Headquarters: Dallas, Texas, US · Founded: 1996 · Employees: 7,600

Named competitors

ATI at a glance

Size ATI (ATI) is a United States Materials company (Other Metals/Minerals) with a market value of $23.9B, the 442nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $175.79 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 11.0%, against -19.7% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 9.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +24.9%); the operating margin is 17.5% (peer median 16.7%).

Valuation It trades at 28.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 12.7× (3rd most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 21% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.9 points above its cost of capital (10.0% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $4.30B at 27 Sep 2026, up 19% on a year earlier — 0.9 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit ATI has 4 bonds outstanding ($1.55B), rated BB by the agencies and trading like BBB- at a weighted spread of 125 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 3.5% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 4 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012014011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026ATI 109Peer median 77
Six months, rebased to 100: ATI against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

ATI financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$5.01B$4.59B$4.36B$4.17B$3.84B
Revenue growth—+5%+5%+9%—
Gross profit$1.23B$1,000M$882M$806M$682M
EBITDA$1.06B$812M$699M$632M$537M
Net income$556M$404M$368M$411M$324M
Free cash flow$421M$334M$168M-$115M$94.0M
Capital expenditure$309M$281M$239M$201M$131M
Total debt$1.86B$1.86B$1.98B$2.27B$1.75B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

ATI competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-30%-20%-10%0%HINDALCOHINDZINCFMTECK-BLUN0012805016BOL0101300358KGHANTOCRSS3200065757131208AAL601168000630ATI6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. ATI is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%10×20×30×HINDALCOHINDZINCFMTECK-BLUN0012805016BOL0101300358KGHANTOCRSS320006571208AAL601168000630ATIRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. ATI is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%-10%0%+10%+20%-20%0%20%HINDZINCTECK-BLUN5016BOLANTOCRSS3257131208AAL601168ATIGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. ATI is the large dot.

ATI competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (ATI vs CRS vs HWM vs ACX.MC)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
ATI ATI$23.9B+11%+9%18%28.0×20.6%
Carpenter Technology CRS$13.8B-35%+10%23%20.0×17.4%
Howmet Aerospace HWM$81.8B-24%+22%28%32.6×24.1%
Acerinox ACX.MC$4.00B+2%0%4%15.8×18.6%
Aperam APAM.AS$2.63B-32%-4%2%13.6×12.9%
Outokumpu OUT1V.HE$1.99B-31%-7%-1%20.3×14.0%

How ATI compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

ATI against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureATIPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-6.6%-14.3%5th highest of 21
6-month return+11.0%-19.7%highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-27.8%-35.8%6th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+9.4%+24.9%3rd lowest of 21
Operating margin17.5%16.7%10th highest of 21
Forward P/E28.0×12.7×3rd most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)20.6%6.3%2nd most demanding of 14
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.0%+10.7%5th lowest of 14
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+11.6 pp+0.9 pp3rd most demanding of 14
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.9 pp+3.5 pp5th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA24.1×8.8×2nd most expensive of 16
Net debt / EBITDA1.3×0.7×6th most indebted of 17
Bond spread125 bp135 bp3rd tightest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
ATI ATIUnited States$23.9B+11%+9%18%28.0×20.6%+9.0%
Hindalco Industries HINDALCO.NSIndia$22.7B-9%+20%11%8.6×n/an/a
Hindustan Zinc HINDZINC.NSIndia$25.4B-11%+57%51%11.8×1.4%+11.7%
First Quantum Minerals FM.TOCanada$19.5B-1%+28%23%15.2×n/an/a
Teck Resources TECK-B.TOCanada$29.9B+3%+44%34%16.2×4.6%+3.7%
Lundin Mining LUN.TOCanada$18.1B-18%+29%36%14.1×15.2%+13.9%
China National Uranium 001280.SZChina$17.9B-29%+15%14%47.7×n/an/a
JX Advanced Metals 5016.TJapan$14.6B-49%+30%11%12.7×22.2%-18.6%
Boliden BOL.STSweden$14.6B-4%+23%16%11.3×0.6%+10.7%
Korea Zinc 010130.KSSouth Korea$14.4B-39%+53%8%16.2×n/an/a
Jiangxi Copper 0358.HKHong Kong$14.3B-36%+22%4%4.7×n/an/a
KGHM Polska Miedz KGH.WAPoland$14.1B-27%+27%20%6.4×1.6%+9.2%
Antofagasta ANTO.LUnited Kingdom$41.3B-21%+20%44%20.8×17.7%+10.3%
Carpenter Technology CRSUnited States$13.8B-35%+10%23%20.0×17.4%+16.2%
South32 S32.AXAustralia$13.7B-1%-4%15%12.7×6.3%+3.2%
China Tungsten & Hightech Materials 000657.SZChina$13.2B-34%+66%16%21.0×n/an/a
Sumitomo Metal Mining 5713.TJapan$13.2B-19%+22%14%8.1×8.5%+13.5%
MMG 1208.HKHong Kong$11.2B-27%+48%43%6.3×-11.3%+15.6%
Anglo American AAL.LUnited Kingdom$53.7B-5%-14%23%29.6×17.0%-6.7%
Western Mining 601168.SSChina$9.85B-7%+18%17%8.2×-5.6%+16.5%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals 000630.SZChina$9.83B-20%+46%6%10.5×n/an/a

ATI bonds and credit

ATI has 4 bonds outstanding with $1.55B face value. The agencies rate it BB; its bonds trade like BBB-. Weighted yield 5.82%, a spread of 125 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

ATI backlog

ATI reported $4.30B of remaining performance obligations at 27 Sep 2026, up 19% from a year earlier and down 2% from the previous quarter. That is 0.9 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.93.

Questions

Who are ATI's main competitors?
Named competitors: Carpenter Technology (CRS), Howmet Aerospace (HWM), Precision Castparts (Berkshire) (private or unlisted), VSMPO-AVISMA (private or unlisted), Acerinox (ACX.MC), Aperam (APAM.AS). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Hindalco Industries (HINDALCO.NS), Hindustan Zinc (HINDZINC.NS), First Quantum Minerals (FM.TO), Teck Resources (TECK-B.TO), Lundin Mining (LUN.TO), China National Uranium (001280.SZ).
Is ATI expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 28.0× against a peer median of 12.7×, 3rd most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 21% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +12 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has ATI stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +11.0% against -19.7% for the median peer; over one year +82.2%.
What is ATI's backlog?
ATI's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $4.30B at 27 Sep 2026, +19% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.