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South32 Ltd.S32.AXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Australia · AUD·Materials›Other Metals/Minerals

Diversified global miner spun off from BHP, producing aluminium, alumina, manganese, zinc, copper and nickel.

≈ Australia's Alcoa/Freeport hybridMomentum weak 31
Mkt cap
$13.7B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$53.6M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.5 pp
WACC 8.9%
Hurdle
+3 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
104 days
18 Feb 2027
Close · AUDA$4.44
1D-2.4%
1W+2.3%
1M-10.5%
3M-13.6%
6M-1.1%
YTD+24.7%
1Y+39.2%
ATR %3.7%
52w lowhigh16.7% off high

What South32 does

Diversified global miner spun off from BHP, producing aluminium, alumina, manganese, zinc, copper and nickel.

Sells metals at world benchmark prices, so earnings follow price cycles and power costs, with aluminium and alumina carrying much of the profit. Copper exposure comes from a minority interest in Chile's Sierra Gorda mine, and its largest growth project is Hermosa in Arizona, targeting zinc and manganese.

In one line: Australia's Alcoa/Freeport hybrid.

Products and services

  • Aluminium/alumina
  • Manganese
  • Zinc/lead/silver
  • Copper/nickel (growth commodities)

Customers

  • Metal smelters/refiners
  • Steel/battery/EV supply chains
  • Commodity traders

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Mining
  • Diversified base metals & minerals
  • Multiple commodity mining operations

What could go right

  • Battery metals demand growth
  • Commodity price cycles

What could go wrong

  • Commodity price cyclicality
  • Operational/geopolitical risk in African/South American assets

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base). Long-life, low-cost mines in multiple commodities, though not a low-cost leader in any single one.

Headquarters: Perth, Australia · Founded: 2015 · Employees: 6,867

Named competitors

South32 at a glance

Size South32 (S32.AX) is an Australia Materials company (Other Metals/Minerals) with a market value of $13.7B, the 29th largest of 316 Australia companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at A$4.44 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 1.1%, against -27.2% for the median peer and +4.1% for the Australia market (cap-weighted) — 2nd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 3.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +28.6%); the operating margin is 14.5% (peer median 14.8%).

Valuation It trades at 12.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 12.3× (10th most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is +3 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.5 points below its cost of capital (8.9% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 18 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026S32.AX 100Peer median 70
Six months, rebased to 100: South32 against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

South32 financials

Reported figures in AUD; fiscal year ends 2026-06-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
RevenueA$8.57BA$8.58BA$8.92BA$8.36BA$8.39B
Revenue growth—-4%+7%0%—
Gross profitA$1.25BA$1.54BA$1.54BA$700MA$920M
EBITDAA$1.88BA$1.77BA$1.89BA$1.12BA$1.65B
Net incomeA$1.57BA$1.58BA$401M-A$310M-A$257M
Free cash flowA$2.33BA$2.41BA$522MA$117MA$596M
Capital expenditureA$1.61BA$1.67BA$1.55BA$1.71BA$1.42B
Total debtn/aA$2.67BA$2.49BA$2.34BA$2.62B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

South32 competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-30%-20%-10%0%CRSKGH6003620006575713010130BOL50161208001280LUN601168000630FMHBM603799LYC600549IVNHINDALCOS32.AX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. South32 is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%+80%10×20×CRSKGH6003620006575713010130BOL50161208001280LUN000630FMHBM603799LYC600549IVNS32.AXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. South32 is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%-20%0%20%CRSKGH5713BOL50161208LUN601168LYCS32.AXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. South32 is the large dot.

South32 competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (S32.AX vs BHP.AX vs RIO.L vs GLEN.L)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
South32 S32.AX$13.7B-1%-4%15%12.7×6.3%
BHP BHP.AX$203B-6%+9%39%15.7×-1.0%
Rio Tinto RIO.L$144B-21%+11%27%10.3×5.6%
Glencore GLEN.L$78.0B-14%+27%2%10.9×n/a
Anglo American AAL.L$53.7B-5%-14%23%29.6×17.0%

How South32 compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

South32 against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureS32.AXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-10.5%-15.9%7th highest of 21
6-month return-1.1%-27.2%2nd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-16.7%-44.8%highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-3.9%+28.6%lowest of 21
Operating margin14.5%14.8%11th highest of 21
Forward P/E12.7×12.3×10th most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)6.3%11.9%5th least demanding of 11
Growth delivered (Del g)+3.2%+14.4%2nd lowest of 11
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+3.1 pp-1.9 pp3rd most demanding of 11
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.5 pp+2.0 pp7th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA10.3×9.2×7th most expensive of 14
Net debt / EBITDA-0.2×0.9×2nd least indebted of 15

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
South32 S32.AXAustralia$13.7B-1%-4%15%12.7×6.3%+3.2%
Carpenter Technology CRSUnited States$13.8B-35%+10%23%20.0×17.4%+16.2%
KGHM Polska Miedz KGH.WAPoland$14.1B-27%+27%20%6.4×1.6%+9.2%
Jiangxi Copper 600362.SSChina$14.3B-29%+14%4%7.2×n/an/a
China Tungsten & Hightech Materials 000657.SZChina$13.2B-34%+66%16%21.0×n/an/a
Sumitomo Metal Mining 5713.TJapan$13.2B-19%+22%14%8.1×8.5%+13.5%
Korea Zinc 010130.KSSouth Korea$14.4B-39%+53%8%16.2×n/an/a
Boliden BOL.STSweden$14.6B-4%+23%16%11.3×0.6%+10.7%
JX Advanced Metals 5016.TJapan$14.6B-49%+30%11%12.7×22.2%-18.6%
MMG 1208.HKHong Kong$11.2B-27%+48%43%6.3×-11.3%+15.6%
China National Uranium 001280.SZChina$17.9B-29%+15%14%47.7×n/an/a
Lundin Mining LUN.TOCanada$18.1B-18%+29%36%14.1×15.2%+13.9%
Western Mining 601168.SSChina$9.85B-7%+18%17%8.2×-5.6%+16.5%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals 000630.SZChina$9.83B-20%+46%6%10.5×n/an/a
First Quantum Minerals FM.TOCanada$19.5B-1%+28%23%15.2×n/an/a
Hudbay Minerals HBM.TOCanada$9.35B-10%+13%32%12.0×18.1%+15.8%
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt 603799.SSChina$9.30B-50%+38%12%9.3×n/an/a
Lynas Rare Earths LYC.AXAustralia$8.58B-38%+76%25%26.7×34.3%+14.9%
Xiamen Tungsten 600549.SSChina$8.55B-37%+67%10%13.2×n/an/a
Ivanhoe Mines IVN.TOCanada$8.43B-26%+109%7%18.9×n/an/a
Hindalco Industries HINDALCO.NSIndia$22.7B-9%+20%11%8.6×n/an/a

Questions

Who are South32's main competitors?
Named competitors: BHP Group (BHP.AX), Rio Tinto (RIO.L), Glencore (GLEN.L), Anglo American (AAL.L). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Carpenter Technology (CRS), KGHM Polska Miedz (KGH.WA), Jiangxi Copper (600362.SS), China Tungsten & Hightech Materials (000657.SZ), Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713.T), Korea Zinc (010130.KS).
Is South32 expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.7× against a peer median of 12.3×, 10th most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +3%, so the hurdle is +3 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has South32 stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -1.1% against -27.2% for the median peer; over one year +39.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.