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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › LYC.AX Lynas Rare Earths LimitedOpen in the cockpit ↗

Lynas Rare Earths LimitedLYC.AXCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Australia · AUD·Materials›Other Metals/Minerals

The largest rare-earths producer outside China, mining and processing neodymium-praseodymium and other rare earths in Australia and Malaysia.

≈ The West's answer to China's rare-earth dominance (no direct US peer)Momentum laggard 14
Mkt cap
$8.58B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
89%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$56.4M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
26.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-3.5 pp
WACC 10.0%
Hurdle
+19 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
105 days
19 Feb 2027
Close · AUDA$12.31
1D-4.9%
1W+1.7%
1M-0.7%
3M-26.3%
6M-38.1%
YTD-1.1%
1Y-13.1%
ATR %5.5%
52w lowhigh45.0% off high

What Lynas Rare Earths does

The largest rare-earths producer outside China, mining and processing neodymium-praseodymium and other rare earths in Australia and Malaysia.

Earns from selling rare-earth products at market-linked prices, with NdPr oxide, the key magnet input, carrying the company. It mines in Western Australia and refines in Malaysia, where its operating licence is a recurring regulatory matter. Japanese backers helped fund construction, and it has won US government support for processing capacity.

In one line: The West's answer to China's rare-earth dominance (no direct US peer).

Products and services

  • Rare-earth concentrate (Mt Weld, WA)
  • NdPr oxide (separation, Malaysia)
  • Heavy rare earths (new Kalgoorlie facility)

Customers

  • Magnet manufacturers (EV motors, wind turbines)
  • Electronics/defence supply chains
  • Government stockpile programmes (US, allies)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Rare earths mining & processing
  • Mining to separation to oxides

What could go right

  • EV/wind-turbine magnet demand
  • Government supply-chain de-risking from China

What could go wrong

  • Rare-earth price volatility (China supply decisions)
  • Execution risk on new processing capacity

Moat: narrow (scale, regulatory licence, installed base). Only scaled non-Chinese rare-earth producer with an integrated mine-to-oxide supply chain.

Headquarters: Perth, Australia · Founded: 1983 · Employees: 1,156

Named competitors

Lynas Rare Earths at a glance

Size Lynas Rare Earths (LYC.AX) is an Australia Materials company (Other Metals/Minerals) with a market value of $8.58B, the 40th largest of 316 Australia companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at A$12.31 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 38.1%, against -17.7% for the median peer and +4.1% for the Australia market (cap-weighted) — 5th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 75.7% over the last twelve months (peer median +42.2%); the operating margin is 24.7% (peer median 29.5%).

Valuation It trades at 26.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.2× (4th most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 34% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +15%, so the hurdle is +19 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.5 points below its cost of capital (10.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 19 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

608010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 80LYC.AX 69
Six months, rebased to 100: Lynas Rare Earths against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Lynas Rare Earths financials

Reported figures in AUD; fiscal year ends 2026-06-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
RevenueA$978MA$978MA$557MA$463MA$739M
Revenue growth—+76%+20%-37%—
Gross profitA$341MA$341MA$86.9MA$118MA$326M
EBITDAA$391MA$391MA$118MA$128MA$347M
Net incomeA$222MA$222MA$7.99MA$84.5MA$311M
Free cash flowA$168MA$168M-A$314M-A$511M-A$184M
Capital expenditureA$178MA$178MA$431MA$579MA$596M
Total debtn/aA$338MA$202MA$184MA$190M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Lynas Rare Earths competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-20%-10%0%600549IVN601958603799HBM0008310006306011683939002428NDA1208NMDCAUGODSVPLSMP000426SFRCSLYC.AX6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Lynas Rare Earths is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%+150%0×100×200×600549IVN601958603799HBM0008310006303939002428NDAAUGODSVPLSMPCSLYC.AXRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Lynas Rare Earths is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%601958HBM0008316011681208NMDCAUGOPLS000426SFRCSLYC.AXGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Lynas Rare Earths is the large dot.

Lynas Rare Earths competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (LYC.AX vs 600111.SS vs MP vs ILU.AX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Lynas Rare Earths LYC.AX$8.58B-38%+76%25%26.7×34.3%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech 600111.SS$19.6B-31%+29%11%28.5×24.6%
MP Materials MP$6.31B-47%+72%-17%248.7×n/a
Iluka Resources ILU.AX$1.77B-30%-20%-29%n/an/a
Arafura Rare Earths ARU.AX$610M-56%n/an/an/an/a

How Lynas Rare Earths compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Lynas Rare Earths against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureLYC.AXPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-0.7%-15.2%2nd highest of 21
6-month return-38.1%-17.7%5th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-45.0%-41.0%10th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+75.7%+42.2%6th highest of 21
Operating margin24.7%29.5%10th lowest of 21
Forward P/E26.7×13.2×4th most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)34.3%5.2%2nd most demanding of 14
Growth delivered (Del g)+14.9%+16.7%3rd lowest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+19.4 pp-19.3 pp2nd most demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital-3.5 pp+5.8 pp5th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA29.4×7.3×2nd most expensive of 12
Net debt / EBITDA-2.2×-0.2×2nd least indebted of 13

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Lynas Rare Earths LYC.AXAustralia$8.58B-38%+76%25%26.7×34.3%+14.9%
Xiamen Tungsten 600549.SSChina$8.55B-37%+67%10%13.2×n/an/a
Ivanhoe Mines IVN.TOCanada$8.43B-26%+109%7%18.9×n/an/a
Jinduicheng Molybdenum 601958.SSChina$8.06B-15%+7%32%13.6×4.2%+13.7%
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt 603799.SSChina$9.30B-50%+38%12%9.3×n/an/a
Hudbay Minerals HBM.TOCanada$9.35B-10%+13%32%12.0×18.1%+15.8%
China Rare Earth Resources And Technology 000831.SZChina$7.57B-7%-2%15%103.1×53.1%+14.0%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals 000630.SZChina$9.83B-20%+46%6%10.5×n/an/a
Western Mining 601168.SSChina$9.85B-7%+18%17%8.2×-5.6%+16.5%
Wanguo Gold 3939.HKHong Kong$7.31B+6%+79%67%20.2×1.7%+17.0%
Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium Industry 002428.SZChina$7.09B+3%+54%13%230.8×n/an/a
Aurubis NDA.DEGermany$6.73B-35%+23%6%15.1×n/an/a
MMG 1208.HKHong Kong$11.2B-27%+48%43%6.3×-11.3%+15.6%
NMDC NMDC.NSIndia$6.55B-22%+27%27%7.4×5.2%+15.8%
Aura Minerals AUGOUnited States$6.52B-5%+89%53%10.6×-6.0%+25.2%
Discovery Mining DSV.TOCanada$6.44B+19%+684%38%17.6×19.9%n/a
PLS PLS.AXAustralia$6.33B-56%+152%43%10.6×2.5%+61.6%
MP Materials MPUnited States$6.31B-47%+72%-17%248.7×n/an/a
Inner Mongolia Xingye Silver and Tin Mining 000426.SZChina$6.23B-42%+38%49%13.1×7.8%+42.6%
Sandfire Resources SFR.AXAustralia$6.20B-4%+32%32%13.3×9.2%+25.8%
Capstone Copper CS.TOCanada$6.01B-8%+30%32%9.4×9.8%+40.2%

Questions

Who are Lynas Rare Earths's main competitors?
Named competitors: China Northern Rare Earth (600111.SS), MP Materials (MP), Iluka Resources (rare-earth refinery) (ILU.AX), Arafura Rare Earths (ARU.AX). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Xiamen Tungsten (600549.SS), Ivanhoe Mines (IVN.TO), Jinduicheng Molybdenum (601958.SS), Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt (603799.SS), Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO), China Rare Earth Resources And Technology (000831.SZ).
Is Lynas Rare Earths expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 26.7× against a peer median of 13.2×, 4th most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 34% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +15%, so the hurdle is +19 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Lynas Rare Earths stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -38.1% against -17.7% for the median peer; over one year -13.1%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.