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Antofagasta plcANTO.LCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United Kingdom · GBP·Materials›Other Metals/Minerals

Chilean copper mining company operating several large open-pit and underground copper mines, plus a water/transport infrastructure business.

≈ A Chilean copper miner, like a smaller Freeport-McMoRanMomentum laggard 5
Mkt cap
$41.3B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
33%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$49.5M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
20.8×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-0.7 pp
WACC 13.8%
Hurdle
+7 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BBB / BBB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
109 days
23 Feb 2027
Close · GBP£3,113
1D-0.4%
1W-0.4%
1M-13.7%
3M-22.5%
6M-21.3%
YTD-5.1%
1Y+14.3%
ATR %5.6%
52w lowhigh30.4% off high

What Antofagasta does

Chilean copper mining company operating several large open-pit and underground copper mines, plus a water/transport infrastructure business.

Sells copper concentrate, a semi-processed product, to smelters, mainly in Asia, at prices linked to the London copper price less processing charges, so profit follows copper prices and its own costs. By-product molybdenum and gold reduce net costs. The Luksic family of Chile controls the group, which also owns a Chilean railway serving its mines.

In one line: A Chilean copper miner, like a smaller Freeport-McMoRan.

Products and services

  • Copper mining
  • Molybdenum/gold by-products
  • Water desalination/transport infrastructure

Customers

  • Global copper smelters/traders
  • Industrial manufacturers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Mining
  • Copper mining & related infrastructure

What could go right

  • Copper demand growth (electrification, EVs)
  • New mine/expansion project ramp-up

What could go wrong

  • Copper-price cyclicality
  • Chilean water scarcity/regulatory/community risk

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base). Owns long-life, low-cost Chilean copper deposits, but is fundamentally a price-taker on global copper prices.

Headquarters: Santiago, Chile · Founded: 1888 · Employees: 38,072

Named competitors

Antofagasta at a glance

Size Antofagasta (ANTO.L) is a United Kingdom Materials company (Other Metals/Minerals) with a market value of $41.3B, the 24th largest of 363 United Kingdom companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at £3,113 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 21.3%, against -14.4% for the median peer and +3.6% for the United Kingdom market (cap-weighted) — 8th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 20.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +22.5%); the operating margin is 44.2% (peer median 18.7%).

Valuation It trades at 20.8× forward earnings against a peer median of 14.2× (6th most expensive of 21).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is +7 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 0.7 points below its cost of capital (13.8% WACC).

Credit Antofagasta has 4 bonds outstanding ($2.35B), rated BBB by the agencies and trading like BBB at a weighted spread of 110 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 23 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 85ANTO.L 72
Six months, rebased to 100: Antofagasta against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Antofagasta financials

Reported figures in GBP; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue£6.93B£6.54B£5.18B£5.09B£4.76B
Revenue growth—+26%+2%+7%—
Gross profit£3.56B£3.13B£1.83B£2.01B£1.87B
EBITDA£4.25B£3.95B£2.59B£2.48B£2.34B
Net income£1.23B£1.01B£649M£672M£1.24B
Free cash flow£32.0M-£286M£43.0M£258M£62.3M
Capital expenditure£2.74B£2.80B£1.89B£1.71B£1.53B
Total debtn/a£5.69B£4.75B£3.20B£2.72B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Antofagasta competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%-30%-20%-10%0%AALTECK-BHINDZINCATIHINDALCOFCXFMLUN0012805016BOL0101300358KGHCRSS320006575713SCCORIOANTO.L6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Antofagasta is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%10×20×30×AALTECK-BHINDZINCATIHINDALCOFCXFMLUN0012805016BOL0101300358KGHCRSS32000657SCCORIOANTO.LRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Antofagasta is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%-10%0%+10%+20%-20%0%20%AALTECK-BHINDZINCATIFCXLUN5016BOLCRSS325713SCCORIOANTO.LGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Antofagasta is the large dot.

Antofagasta competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (ANTO.L vs FCX vs SCCO vs BHP.AX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Antofagasta ANTO.L$41.3B-21%+20%44%20.8×17.7%
Freeport-McMoRan FCX$85.3B-4%0%24%14.3×16.3%
Southern Copper SCCO$143B-9%+39%59%21.5×6.8%
BHP BHP.AX$203B-6%+9%39%15.7×-1.0%
Glencore GLEN.L$78.0B-14%+27%2%10.9×n/a

How Antofagasta compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Antofagasta against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureANTO.LPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-13.7%-11.7%10th lowest of 21
6-month return-21.3%-14.4%8th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-30.4%-31.0%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+20.2%+22.5%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin44.2%18.7%3rd highest of 21
Forward P/E20.8×14.2×6th most expensive of 21
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)17.7%7.7%3rd most demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+10.3%+9.9%8th highest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+7.4 pp+1.1 pp4th most demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital-0.7 pp+3.1 pp8th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA8.7×9.9×7th cheapest of 18
Net debt / EBITDA0.7×0.7×10th least indebted of 19
Bond spread110 bp113 bp3rd tightest of 8

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Antofagasta ANTO.LUnited Kingdom$41.3B-21%+20%44%20.8×17.7%+10.3%
Anglo American AAL.LUnited Kingdom$53.7B-5%-14%23%29.6×17.0%-6.7%
Teck Resources TECK-B.TOCanada$29.9B+3%+44%34%16.2×4.6%+3.7%
Hindustan Zinc HINDZINC.NSIndia$25.4B-11%+57%51%11.8×1.4%+11.7%
ATI ATIUnited States$23.9B+11%+9%18%28.0×20.6%+9.0%
Hindalco Industries HINDALCO.NSIndia$22.7B-9%+20%11%8.6×n/an/a
Freeport-McMoRan FCXUnited States$85.3B-4%0%24%14.3×16.3%+12.6%
First Quantum Minerals FM.TOCanada$19.5B-1%+28%23%15.2×n/an/a
Lundin Mining LUN.TOCanada$18.1B-18%+29%36%14.1×15.2%+13.9%
China National Uranium 001280.SZChina$17.9B-29%+15%14%47.7×n/an/a
JX Advanced Metals 5016.TJapan$14.6B-49%+30%11%12.7×22.2%-18.6%
Boliden BOL.STSweden$14.6B-4%+23%16%11.3×0.6%+10.7%
Korea Zinc 010130.KSSouth Korea$14.4B-39%+53%8%16.2×n/an/a
Jiangxi Copper 0358.HKHong Kong$14.3B-36%+22%4%4.7×n/an/a
KGHM Polska Miedz KGH.WAPoland$14.1B-27%+27%20%6.4×1.6%+9.2%
Carpenter Technology CRSUnited States$13.8B-35%+10%23%20.0×17.4%+16.2%
South32 S32.AXAustralia$13.7B-1%-4%15%12.7×6.3%+3.2%
China Tungsten & Hightech Materials 000657.SZChina$13.2B-34%+66%16%21.0×n/an/a
Sumitomo Metal Mining 5713.TJapan$13.2B-19%+22%14%8.1×8.5%+13.5%
Southern Copper SCCOUnited States$143B-9%+39%59%21.5×6.8%+10.9%
Rio Tinto RIO.LUnited Kingdom$144B-21%+11%27%10.3×5.6%+4.7%

Antofagasta bonds and credit

Antofagasta has 4 bonds outstanding with $2.35B face value. The agencies rate it BBB; its bonds trade like BBB. Weighted yield 5.83%, a spread of 110 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Antofagasta's main competitors?
Named competitors: Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Southern Copper (SCCO), BHP Group (BHP.AX), Codelco (private or unlisted), Glencore (GLEN.L). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Anglo American (AAL.L), Teck Resources (TECK-B.TO), Hindustan Zinc (HINDZINC.NS), ATI (ATI), Hindalco Industries (HINDALCO.NS), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX).
Is Antofagasta expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 20.8× against a peer median of 14.2×, 6th most expensive of 21 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 18% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is +7 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Antofagasta stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -21.3% against -14.4% for the median peer; over one year +14.3%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.