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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 7630.T Ichibanya Co., Ltd.Open in the cockpit ↗

Ichibanya Co., Ltd.7630.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Consumer Discretionary›Restaurants

Operates CoCo Ichibanya, the world's largest curry-rice restaurant chain, majority-owned by House Foods Group.

≈ A curry-rice Chipotle with a customizable bowl formatMomentum leader 84
Mkt cap
$1.06B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
42%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$3.23M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
57.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.3 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
+4 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
45 days
21 Dec 2026
Close · JPY¥1,043
1D-3.8%
1W-1.0%
1M-0.8%
3M+11.9%
6M+20.6%
YTD+14.4%
1Y+12.2%
ATR %2.4%
52w lowhigh12.4% off high

What Ichibanya does

Operates CoCo Ichibanya, the world's largest curry-rice restaurant chain, majority-owned by House Foods Group.

Most outlets are run by franchisees, so the company earns from supplying them curry roux, rice and other ingredients and from fees and royalties. House Foods Group, a curry-roux maker, is its largest shareholder.

In one line: A curry-rice Chipotle with a customizable bowl format.

Products and services

  • CoCo Ichibanya restaurants

Customers

  • Consumers in Japan and overseas (Asia, US)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Restaurants
  • Curry rice quick dining

What could go right

  • Overseas curry-chain expansion

What could go wrong

  • Rice/ingredient cost inflation
  • Labor shortage

Moat: narrow (brand, scale). Largest curry-chain scale and customizable-bowl format built strong brand loyalty.

Headquarters: Toyokawa, Aichi, Japan · Founded: 1978 · Employees: 1,298

Named competitors

Ichibanya at a glance

Size Ichibanya (7630.T) is a Japan Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $1.06B, the 711th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥1,043 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 20.6%, against +12.3% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 9th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 8.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +6.0%); the operating margin is 6.2% (peer median 5.4%).

Valuation It trades at 57.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.4× (2nd most expensive of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.3 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 21 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 20267630.T 122Peer median 115
Six months, rebased to 100: Ichibanya against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Ichibanya financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2026-02-28. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥68.7B¥65.5B¥61.0B¥55.1B¥48.3B
Revenue growth—+7%+11%+14%—
Gross profit¥33.6B¥30.7B¥29.0B¥25.4B¥21.6B
EBITDA¥6.73B¥7.02B¥6.91B¥6.52B¥5.24B
Net income¥2.27B¥2.56B¥3.17B¥2.69B¥2.54B
Free cash flown/a¥2.36B¥2.88B¥4.60B¥2.71B
Capital expendituren/a¥3.64B¥3.12B¥2.21B¥1.40B
Total debt¥1.19B¥1.80B¥1.51B¥386M¥744M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Ichibanya competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-25%0%+25%+50%+75%-10%0%+10%WESTLIFE3087BH99360999BJRIDOM8179354360304326958153JDWBLMN2589SGCBRLARCOCKF7630.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Ichibanya is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+10%+20%+30%0×100×200×300×WESTLIFE308799360999BJRI354360304326958153BLMNFWRG2589CBRL7630.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Ichibanya is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%WESTLIFE3087BH99360999BJRIDOM817935432695JDW2589CBRLARCOCKF7630.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Ichibanya is the large dot.

Ichibanya competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (7630.T vs 9861.T vs 7550.T)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Ichibanya 7630.T$1.06B+21%+8%6%57.3×12.2%
Yoshinoya 9861.T$1.84B+42%+10%4%45.5×11.2%
Zensho 7550.T$12.2B+41%+12%7%34.3×6.1%

How Ichibanya compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Ichibanya against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure7630.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-0.8%+8.2%6th lowest of 21
6-month return+20.6%+12.3%9th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-12.4%-14.9%11th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+8.4%+6.0%7th highest of 21
Operating margin6.2%5.4%9th highest of 21
Forward P/E57.3×19.4×2nd most expensive of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)12.2%5.0%6th most demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+8.2%+11.5%7th lowest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+4.0 pp-6.1 pp7th most demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.3 pp+1.1 pp2nd highest of 20
EV / EBITDA23.2×10.4×2nd most expensive of 17
Net debt / EBITDA-1.7×3.0×4th least indebted of 18

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Ichibanya 7630.TJapan$1.06B+21%+8%6%57.3×12.2%+8.2%
Westlife Foodworld WESTLIFE.NSIndia$1.08B+31%+10%5%343.5×49.0%+21.7%
Doutor Nichires 3087.TJapan$1.03B+33%+8%7%16.3×-4.7%+10.6%
Biglari BHUnited States$1.01B+5%+8%5%n/a22.1%-1.8%
Ohsho Food Service 9936.TJapan$1.11B-1%0%7%27.5×4.2%+7.7%
Xiaocaiyuan International 0999.HKHong Kong$1.17B+16%+3%15%13.1×-9.6%+15.8%
BJ's Restaurants BJRIUnited States$1.18B+30%+4%3%22.5×26.8%+12.4%
Domino's Pizza DOM.LUnited Kingdom$1.19B+24%+6%15%13.1×9.5%+6.3%
Royal 8179.TJapan$887M+5%+7%5%24.6×5.7%+14.4%
KOMEDA 3543.TJapan$859M-4%+13%17%19.2×-0.7%+14.7%
Guangzhou Restaurant 603043.SSChina$1.31B0%+9%11%17.3×-3.5%+10.4%
Kura Sushi 2695.TJapan$848M-2%+4%1%48.1×21.5%+12.5%
Mos Food Services 8153.TJapan$845M+10%+6%5%30.3×2.2%+7.4%
J D Wetherspoon JDW.LUnited Kingdom$1.33B+69%+5%5%19.6×7.7%+23.7%
Bloomin' Brands BLMNUnited States$835M+23%-2%3%10.5×10.6%+4.5%
First Watch Restaurant FWRGUnited States$794M+6%+16%3%53.3×n/an/a
Auntea Jenny (Shanghai) Industrial 2589.HKHong Kong$784M-61%+36%15%8.5×-7.1%+23.7%
Sweetgreen SGUnited States$1.43B+72%-1%-18%n/an/an/a
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store CBRLUnited States$1.45B+106%-5%0%30.3×14.0%+3.3%
Arcos Dorados ARCOUnited States$1.45B-23%+11%6%9.1×-3.5%+18.7%
Collins Foods CKF.AXAustralia$762M+15%+5%8%16.3×1.4%+8.4%

Questions

Who are Ichibanya's main competitors?
Named competitors: Yoshinoya Holdings (9861.T), Zensho Holdings (7550.T). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Westlife Foodworld (WESTLIFE.NS), Doutor Nichires (3087.T), Biglari (BH), Ohsho Food Service (9936.T), Xiaocaiyuan International (0999.HK), BJ's Restaurants (BJRI).
Is Ichibanya expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 57.3× against a peer median of 19.4×, 2nd most expensive of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 12% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is +4 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Ichibanya stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +20.6% against +12.3% for the median peer; over one year +12.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.