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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 9861.T Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.Open in the cockpit ↗

Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd.9861.TCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Japan · JPY·Consumer Discretionary›Restaurants

Operates Yoshinoya, Japan's iconic beef-bowl (gyudon) fast-food chain, plus Hanamaru Udon.

≈ Japan's answer to a beef-bowl McDonald'sMomentum leader 96
Mkt cap
$1.84B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
95%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$18.1M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
45.5×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+3.6 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
+5 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
68 days
13 Jan 2027
Close · JPY¥4,496
1D-7.0%
1W+4.3%
1M+22.3%
3M+17.8%
6M+42.3%
YTD+46.4%
1Y+43.3%
ATR %3.3%
52w lowhigh8.2% off high

What Yoshinoya does

Operates Yoshinoya, Japan's iconic beef-bowl (gyudon) fast-food chain, plus Hanamaru Udon.

Beef, mostly imported, and rice are the main costs, so beef prices and the exchange rate matter; it runs company-owned and franchised stores in Japan and abroad.

In one line: Japan's answer to a beef-bowl McDonald's.

Products and services

  • Yoshinoya gyudon restaurants
  • Hanamaru Udon

Customers

  • Value/quick-service diners in Japan and overseas

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer discretionary
  • Restaurants
  • Quick-service dining

What could go right

  • Value dining demand

What could go wrong

  • Beef price volatility
  • Wage inflation

Moat: narrow (brand, scale). Iconic beef-bowl brand with decades of recognition and a dense store network.

Headquarters: Tokyo, Japan · Founded: 1899 · Employees: 3,361

Named competitors

Yoshinoya at a glance

Size Yoshinoya (9861.T) is a Japan Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $1.84B, the 510th largest of 1,379 Japan companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at ¥4,496 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 42.3%, against +22.4% for the median peer and +1.8% for the Japan market (cap-weighted) — 8th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 9.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +4.1%); the operating margin is 4.0% (peer median 6.6%).

Valuation It trades at 45.5× forward earnings against a peer median of 21.0× (5th most expensive of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 11% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is +5 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.6 points above its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 13 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012014011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 20269861.T 141Peer median 121
Six months, rebased to 100: Yoshinoya against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Yoshinoya financials

Reported figures in JPY; fiscal year ends 2026-02-28. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue¥237B¥226B¥205B¥187B¥168B
Revenue growth—+10%+9%+12%—
Gross profit¥139B¥132B¥124B¥115B¥102B
EBITDA¥17.5B¥16.1B¥14.5B¥14.5B¥9.81B
Net income¥5.83B¥4.67B¥3.80B¥5.61B¥7.23B
Free cash flown/a¥4.62B¥15.0M¥10.7B¥1.17B
Capital expendituren/a¥10.6B¥13.6B¥9.70B¥6.32B
Total debt¥32.1B¥28.8B¥28.3B¥28.6B¥33.6B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Yoshinoya competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

0%+20%+40%+60%0%+20%SSPGGYGDEVYANITRAVELFOODWEN76163097DMPARCO3387CBRLSG7581JDWMAB6030433397DOMBJRI09999861.T6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Yoshinoya is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%0×100×200×300×SSPGGYGDEVYANITRAVELFOODWEN3097DMPARCO3387CBRL7581JDW60304333979861.TRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Yoshinoya is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%SSPGGYGDEVYANITRAVELFOODWEN76163097DMPARCO3387CBRL7581JDWMAB603043BJRI09999861.TGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Yoshinoya is the large dot.

Yoshinoya competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (9861.T vs 7550.T vs 9887.T vs 7581.T)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Yoshinoya 9861.T$1.84B+42%+10%4%45.5×11.2%
Zensho 7550.T$12.2B+41%+12%7%34.3×6.1%
Matsuya Foods 9887.T$733M+7%+18%4%n/an/a
Saizeriya 7581.T$2.52B+60%+17%5%26.9×4.6%

How Yoshinoya compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Yoshinoya against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure9861.TPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+22.3%+4.2%3rd highest of 21
6-month return+42.3%+22.4%8th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-8.2%-10.2%10th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+9.5%+4.1%7th highest of 21
Operating margin4.0%6.6%6th lowest of 21
Forward P/E45.5×21.0×5th most expensive of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)11.2%7.7%9th most demanding of 20
Growth delivered (Del g)+5.8%+15.6%4th lowest of 20
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+5.4 pp-2.6 pp5th most demanding of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital+3.6 pp+0.1 pp7th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA17.0×10.7×4th most expensive of 18
Net debt / EBITDA0.3×3.1×5th least indebted of 19

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Yoshinoya 9861.TJapan$1.84B+42%+10%4%45.5×11.2%+5.8%
SSP SSPG.LUnited Kingdom$1.87B+17%+5%7%13.9×2.6%+20.5%
Guzman y Gomez GYG.AXAustralia$1.82B+55%+19%17%51.0×32.7%+34.2%
Devyani International DEVYANI.NSIndia$1.68B+8%+14%4%323.9×52.1%+37.6%
Travel Food Services TRAVELFOOD.NSIndia$1.63B-6%-2%30%31.7×13.0%+15.6%
Wendy's WENUnited States$1.55B+12%-1%13%17.9×2.4%+4.7%
Colowide 7616.TJapan$1.51B+21%+16%4%n/a13.6%+12.3%
Monogatari 3097.TJapan$1.50B+43%+22%8%25.4×2.0%+18.8%
Domino's Pizza Enterprises DMP.AXAustralia$1.48B+48%-11%5%16.9×17.9%-1.4%
Arcos Dorados ARCOUnited States$1.45B-23%+11%6%9.1×-3.5%+18.7%
create restaurants 3387.TJapan$2.34B+14%+3%5%65.7×17.8%+17.3%
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store CBRLUnited States$1.45B+106%-5%0%30.3×14.0%+3.3%
Sweetgreen SGUnited States$1.43B+72%-1%-18%n/an/an/a
Saizeriya 7581.TJapan$2.52B+60%+17%5%26.9×4.6%+19.0%
J D Wetherspoon JDW.LUnited Kingdom$1.33B+69%+5%5%19.6×7.7%+23.7%
Mitchells & Butlers MAB.LUnited Kingdom$2.56B+25%+3%12%10.2×4.7%+12.9%
Guangzhou Restaurant 603043.SSChina$1.31B0%+9%11%17.3×-3.5%+10.4%
TORIDOLL 3397.TJapan$2.68B+19%+3%7%57.7×5.9%+15.6%
Domino's Pizza DOM.LUnited Kingdom$1.19B+24%+6%15%13.1×9.5%+6.3%
BJ's Restaurants BJRIUnited States$1.18B+30%+4%3%22.5×26.8%+12.4%
Xiaocaiyuan International 0999.HKHong Kong$1.17B+16%+3%15%13.1×-9.6%+15.8%

Questions

Who are Yoshinoya's main competitors?
Named competitors: Zensho Holdings (Sukiya) (7550.T), Matsuya Foods (9887.T), Saizeriya (7581.T). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes SSP (SSPG.L), Guzman y Gomez (GYG.AX), Devyani International (DEVYANI.NS), Travel Food Services (TRAVELFOOD.NS), Wendy's (WEN), Colowide (7616.T).
Is Yoshinoya expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 45.5× against a peer median of 21.0×, 5th most expensive of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 11% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is +5 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Yoshinoya stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +42.3% against +22.4% for the median peer; over one year +43.3%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.