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Wynn Macau Ltd.1128.HKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Hong Kong · HKD·Consumer Discretionary›Casinos/Gaming

Wynn Resorts' Macau subsidiary, operating the Wynn Macau and Wynn Palace luxury casino resorts.

Momentum weak 29
Mkt cap
$2.99B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
28%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$4.27M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
8.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+12.9 pp
WACC 7.4%
Hurdle
-34 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB- / —
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
136 days
22 Mar 2027
Close · HKDHK$4.42
1D-5.0%
1W-1.6%
1M-12.0%
3M-23.1%
6M-24.1%
YTD-25.6%
1Y-35.0%
ATR %3.7%
52w lowhigh36.8% off high

What Wynn Macau does

Wynn Resorts' Macau subsidiary, operating the Wynn Macau and Wynn Palace luxury casino resorts.

Keeps the house's share of what gamblers wager at its tables and slot machines, and pays a large part of that to the Macau government as gaming tax, so visitor numbers and spending per visit are what matter. Wynn Resorts, the US casino group, holds the controlling stake. It holds one of the six concessions, renewed in 2022 for ten years from 2023.

Products and services

  • Wynn Macau casino/resort
  • Wynn Palace casino/resort
  • Luxury retail & hospitality

Customers

  • VIP & premium mass gamblers
  • Luxury tourists

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Gaming & hospitality
  • Casino resort operator
  • Macau gaming concession

What could go right

  • Mainland visitation recovery
  • Premium/VIP gaming demand

What could go wrong

  • China travel/regulatory risk
  • Concession renewal & capex commitments

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, brand). One of six licensed Macau gaming concessionaires with a premium/luxury brand positioning.

Headquarters: Macau, China · Founded: 2002 · Employees: 11,700

Named competitors

Wynn Macau at a glance

Size Wynn Macau (1128.HK) is a Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary company (Casinos/Gaming) with a market value of $2.99B, the 338th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$4.42 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 24.1%, against -11.0% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 19 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 9.4% over the last twelve months (peer median +3.0%); the operating margin is 29.4% (peer median 16.8%).

Valuation It trades at 8.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 11.7× (cheapest of 18).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +31%, so the hurdle is -34 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 12.9 points above its cost of capital (7.4% WACC).

Credit Wynn Macau has 1 bond outstanding ($750M), rated BB- by the agencies.

Next results Next results expected around 22 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

809010011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 891128.HK 76
Six months, rebased to 100: Wynn Macau against the median of its 18 peers (local-currency closes).

Wynn Macau financials

Reported figures in HKD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueHK$17.1BHK$16.2BHK$16.5BHK$14.2BHK$3.48B
Revenue growth—-2%+16%+308%—
Gross profitHK$8.45BHK$7.32BHK$8.06BHK$6.01B-HK$3.24B
EBITDAHK$7.61BHK$7.12BHK$7.86BHK$6.18B-HK$2.31B
Net incomeHK$2.95BHK$1.63BHK$3.20BHK$1.17B-HK$7.34B
Free cash flowHK$3.06BHK$3.30BHK$4.19BHK$3.63B-HK$4.83B
Capital expenditureHK$2.02BHK$1.94BHK$1.31BHK$714MHK$349M
Total debtn/aHK$45.2BHK$45.0BHK$52.8BHK$48.4B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Wynn Macau competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-60%-40%-20%0%+20%-40%-20%0%RSIPENNENT035250FDJU2282BRSLSGHCCZRBETS-BLTMCMGMWYNN192891661128.HK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Wynn Macau is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%10×15×20×25×RSIPENNENT0352502282BRSLBYDSGHCLNWLTMCMGMWYNN192891661128.HKRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Wynn Macau is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%20%40%RSIPENNENTFDJU2282SGHCCZRLNWBETS-BLTMCMGMWYNN967219281128.HKGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Wynn Macau is the large dot.

Wynn Macau competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (1128.HK vs 1928.HK vs 2282.HK vs 0027.HK)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Wynn Macau 1128.HK$2.99B-24%+9%29%8.7×-2.4%
Sands China 1928.HK$11.4B-30%+9%26%12.9×2.5%
MGM China 2282.HK$4.85B-12%+11%31%9.3×-3.1%
Galaxy Ent 0027.HK$19.4B+8%+8%32%14.2×2.8%
SJM 0880.HK$974M-49%-16%6%n/an/a
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd. Sponsored ADR MLCO$1.79B-16%+6%12%7.5×-6.2%

How Wynn Macau compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Wynn Macau against its 18 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure1128.HKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-12.0%+4.0%2nd lowest of 19
6-month return-24.1%-11.0%4th lowest of 19
Distance from 52-week high-36.8%-31.3%9th lowest of 19
Revenue growth (TTM)+9.4%+3.0%5th highest of 19
Operating margin29.4%16.8%3rd highest of 19
Forward P/E8.7×11.7×cheapest of 18
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-2.4%0.8%6th least demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+31.1%+21.3%5th highest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-33.5 pp-19.5 pp4th least demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital+12.9 pp+6.6 pp4th highest of 19
EV / EBITDA7.5×8.1×8th cheapest of 18
Net debt / EBITDA4.4×2.7×5th most indebted of 19

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Wynn Macau 1128.HKHong Kong$2.99B-24%+9%29%8.7×-2.4%+31.1%
Rush Street Interactive RSIUnited States$2.83B-56%+39%11%16.9×13.5%+32.4%
PENN Entertainment PENNUnited States$2.34B+4%+6%6%12.3×15.2%+14.2%
Entain ENT.LUnited Kingdom$4.05B-11%0%11%8.9×3.2%+8.1%
Kangwonland 035250.KSSouth Korea$2.13B-16%+2%15%11.0×n/an/a
FDJ United FDJU.PAFrance$4.49B-5%+3%15%10.6×-2.8%+13.9%
MGM China 2282.HKHong Kong$4.85B-12%+11%31%9.3×-3.1%+48.5%
Brightstar Lottery BRSLUnited States$1.82B-24%+1%25%15.2×n/an/a
Boyd Gaming BYDUnited States$5.41B-11%0%19%10.1×n/an/a
Super Group (SGHC) SGHCUnited States$5.77B-13%+14%23%11.7×-0.2%+16.6%
Caesars Entertainment CZRUnited States$5.96B+4%+3%17%n/a5.8%+25.9%
Light & Wonder, Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 1 Sh LNW.AXAustralia$6.22B+1%0%27%9.4×-8.5%+15.8%
Betsson BETS-B.STSweden$1.34B+10%0%14%10.4×-18.0%+15.7%
Lottomatica LTMC.MIItaly$7.17B+4%+4%21%15.4×-1.4%+42.7%
MGM Resorts MGMUnited States$8.18B-17%+3%6%24.0×16.0%+27.7%
Wynn Resorts WYNNUnited States$8.56B-19%+6%16%20.8×1.7%+27.8%
Tokyotokeiba 9672.TJapan$868M-11%+3%37%11.7×-10.8%+7.7%
Sands China 1928.HKHong Kong$11.4B-30%+9%26%12.9×2.5%+34.0%
GENDA 9166.TJapan$754M+20%+47%3%16.4×n/an/a

Wynn Macau bonds and credit

Wynn Macau has 1 bond outstanding with $750M face value. The agencies rate it BB-.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Wynn Macau's main competitors?
Named competitors: Sands China (1928.HK), MGM China (2282.HK), Galaxy Entertainment (0027.HK), SJM Holdings (0880.HK), Melco Resorts (MLCO). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Rush Street Interactive (RSI), PENN Entertainment (PENN), Entain (ENT.L), Kangwonland (035250.KS), FDJ United (FDJU.PA), MGM China (2282.HK).
Is Wynn Macau expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 8.7× against a peer median of 11.7×, cheapest of 18 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -2% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +31%, so the hurdle is -34 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Wynn Macau stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -24.1% against -11.0% for the median peer; over one year -35.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.