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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › WMG Warner Music Group Corp. Class AOpen in the cockpit ↗

Warner Music Group Corp. Class AWMGCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Communication Services›Commercial Printing/Forms

One of three major global recorded-music and publishing companies, home to labels like Atlantic and Warner Records.

Momentum strong 74
Mkt cap
$16.4B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$65.9M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
19.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+9.1 pp
WACC 10.1%
Hurdle
+1 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
13 days
19 Nov 2026
Close · USD$31.30
1D-1.9%
1W+2.2%
1M+8.3%
3M+18.5%
6M-6.2%
YTD+2.0%
1Y+5.0%
ATR %3.0%
Beta0.51
52w lowhigh11.6% off high

What Warner Music does

One of three major global recorded-music and publishing companies, home to labels like Atlantic and Warner Records.

Streaming platforms pay it each time its songs are played, so most revenue is recurring royalties from the catalogue, with new releases adding to it. Publishing earns when songs are streamed, played on radio or used in film and ads. Access Industries, Len Blavatnik's holding company, controls it.

Products and services

  • Recorded music
  • Music publishing
  • Artist & label services

Customers

  • Streaming platforms
  • Radio/TV licensees
  • Consumers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Media & entertainment
  • Music
  • Recorded music & publishing

What could go right

  • Global streaming subscriber growth
  • Catalogue acquisitions

What could go wrong

  • Streaming royalty-rate renegotiations
  • AI-generated music disintermediation

Moat: narrow (scale, IP / patents, brand). Owns a large catalogue and long-term artist contracts generating durable royalty streams.

Headquarters: New York, US · Founded: 1958 · Employees: 5,500

Named competitors

Warner Music at a glance

Size Warner Music (WMG) is a United States Communication Services company (Commercial Printing/Forms) with a market value of $16.4B, the 565th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $31.30 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 6.2%, against -2.4% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 10th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 12.9% over the last twelve months (peer median +10.8%); the operating margin is 18.8% (peer median 15.2%).

Valuation It trades at 19.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.6× (7th most expensive of 18).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is +1 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 9.1 points above its cost of capital (10.1% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $783M at 30 Jun 2026, down 44% on a year earlier — 0.1 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Short interest Short interest is 6.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 19 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

809010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 98WMG 95
Six months, rebased to 100: Warner Music against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Warner Music financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$7.30B$6.71B$6.43B$6.04B$5.92B
Revenue growth—+4%+6%+2%—
Gross profit$2.93B$2.70B$2.74B$2.53B$2.50B
EBITDA$1.79B$1.50B$1.54B$1.18B$1.08B
Net income$665M$361M$429M$424M$544M
Free cash flow$836M$539M$638M$560M$607M
Capital expenditure$651M$334M$303M$241M$326M
Total debt$4.92B$4.61B$4.29B$4.26B$4.01B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Warner Music competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-60%-40%-20%0%+20%-40%-20%0%+20%VIVNWSARDDTTIGOCHTRASTSOMCROKUNYTGSATSIRIPINSTLKFOXAFWONAECHODKNGWMG6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Warner Music is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%+60%0×20×40×VIVNWSARDDTTIGOCHTRCHTRPOMCROKUNYTSIRIPINSFOXAFWONAECHODKNGMTCHWMGRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Warner Music is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%+60%0%25%50%VIVNWSARDDTTIGOCHTRCHTRPOMCROKUNYTSIRIPINSTLKFWONADKNGWMGGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Warner Music is the large dot.

Warner Music competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (WMG vs UMG.AS vs SONY vs RSVR)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Warner Music WMG$16.4B-6%+13%19%19.0×9.3%
Universal Music UMG.AS$35.3B-15%+5%16%16.9×7.1%
Sony Group Corporation Sponsored ADR SONY$147B+34%-2%13%19.3×5.0%
Reservoir Media RSVR$673M0%+11%22%58.3×14.5%

How Warner Music compares with its peers

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Warner Music against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureWMGPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+8.3%-0.1%4th highest of 21
6-month return-6.2%-2.4%10th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-11.6%-21.9%7th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+12.9%+10.8%9th highest of 20
Operating margin18.8%15.2%9th highest of 21
Forward P/E19.0×13.6×7th most expensive of 18
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)9.3%2.7%6th most demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+8.5%+6.4%7th highest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+0.8 pp-7.3 pp3rd most demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital+9.1 pp+2.3 pp6th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA11.7×8.9×7th most expensive of 17
Net debt / EBITDA2.4×0.6×8th most indebted of 19

Peer table

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Warner Music WMGUnited States$16.4B-6%+13%19%19.0×9.3%+8.5%
Telefonica Brasil SA Sponsored ADR VIVUnited States$18.2B-27%+16%16%10.7×-3.6%+5.0%
News Corp (Class A) NWSAUnited States$14.7B-2%+1%13%18.4×8.0%-0.7%
Reddit RDDTUnited States$18.4B-39%+62%29%15.0×18.0%+57.3%
Millicom International Cellular TIGOUnited States$13.9B+3%+29%23%22.9×3.6%+6.9%
Charter Communications CHTRUnited States$20.8B-24%-2%24%3.1×-8.5%+2.6%
Charter Communications, Inc. Cum Red Pfd Shs Series A CHTRPUnited States$21.2Bn/a-2%24%0.6×-11.0%+2.6%
AST SpaceMobile ASTSUnited States$12.6B-57%+2,257%-410%n/an/an/a
Omnicom OMCUnited States$23.6B+13%+54%15%7.9×-6.9%+5.6%
Roku ROKUUnited States$23.9B+24%+21%8%39.1×39.6%+21.6%
New York Times NYTUnited States$11.0B-14%+11%17%21.9×8.9%+9.6%
Globalstar GSATUnited States$10.9B+3%+8%5%n/an/an/a
SiriusXM SIRIUnited States$10.9B+20%+1%22%10.4×-0.4%+1.3%
Pinterest PINSUnited States$10.9B-11%+15%6%8.8×16.2%+20.1%
PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Sponsored ADR TLKUnited States$10.3B-35%-3%24%9.5×-16.1%-1.1%
Fox Corporation (Class A) FOXAUnited States$26.4B+6%+9%23%11.8×-9.8%+5.8%
Liberty Media FWONAUnited States$27.3B+18%+12%12%51.0×29.0%+31.4%
EchoStar ECHOUnited States$27.5B-26%-20%11%25.5×n/an/a
Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Registered Series -A- LLYVAUnited States$9.64B+9%n/a-13%n/an/an/a
DraftKings DKNGUnited States$9.19B-27%+15%-3%55.1×9.7%+58.0%
Match MTCHUnited States$8.88B+6%0%30%13.6×1.8%+7.8%

Warner Music backlog

Warner Music reported $783M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Jun 2026, down 44% from a year earlier and down 11% from the previous quarter. That is 0.1 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.95.

Questions

Who are Warner Music's main competitors?
Named competitors: Universal Music Group (UMG.AS), Sony Music (Sony Group) (SONY), Believe SAS (private or unlisted), Reservoir Media (RSVR). The cockpit's measured peer set (sector in the same market, nearest in size) also includes Telefonica Brasil SA Sponsored ADR (VIV), News Corp (Class A) (NWSA), Reddit (RDDT), Millicom International Cellular (TIGO), Charter Communications (CHTR), Charter Communications, Inc. Cum Red Pfd Shs Series A (CHTRP).
Is Warner Music expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 19.0× against a peer median of 13.6×, 7th most expensive of 18 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +8%, so the hurdle is +1 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Warner Music stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -6.2% against -2.4% for the median peer; over one year +5.0%.
What is Warner Music's backlog?
Warner Music's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $783M at 30 Jun 2026, -44% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.