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Saga plcSAGA.LCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United Kingdom · GBP·Consumer Discretionary›Other Consumer Services

UK company serving the over-50s market with cruises, holidays and insurance products.

≈ A UK AARP-adjacent travel and insurance company for seniorsMomentum leader 97
Mkt cap
$1.67B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
62%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$3.91M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
18.6×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+5.2 pp
WACC 14.2%
Hurdle
-2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
152 days
7 Apr 2027
Close · GBP£872.00
1D+1.2%
1W-0.3%
1M+15.5%
3M+23.2%
6M+56.3%
YTD+122.7%
1Y+236.7%
ATR %4.6%
52w lowhigh6.1% off high

What Saga does

UK company serving the over-50s market with cruises, holidays and insurance products.

Sells holidays and cruises directly to its customers, with cruises run on its own ships, and sells insurance as a broker, where an insurer takes the claims risk and Saga earns commission and a share of profit. Its customer list, built up since 1951, is the asset all its lines sell to.

In one line: A UK AARP-adjacent travel and insurance company for seniors.

Products and services

  • Saga Cruises
  • Saga Holidays (tours)
  • Insurance (home, motor, travel)

Customers

  • UK consumers aged 50+

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Senior-focused travel & insurance
  • Cruises, holidays, insurance broking

What could go right

  • Aging UK population/demographics
  • Cruise demand recovery

What could go wrong

  • High debt load from cruise-ship investment
  • Insurance underwriting margin volatility

Moat: narrow (brand, scale). Strong brand trust and a niche focus on the over-50s demographic built over decades.

Headquarters: Folkestone, UK · Founded: 1951 · Employees: 2,936

Named competitors

  • Direct Line Group private or unlisted
  • Aviva AV..L

Saga at a glance

Size Saga (SAGA.L) is a United Kingdom Consumer Discretionary company (Other Consumer Services) with a market value of $1.67B, the 179th largest of 363 United Kingdom companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at £872.00 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 56.3%, against -3.9% for the median peer and +3.6% for the United Kingdom market (cap-weighted) — highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 36.7% over the last twelve months (peer median +4.9%); the operating margin is 15.9% (peer median 15.1%).

Valuation It trades at 18.6× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.3× (6th most expensive of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 5.2 points above its cost of capital (14.2% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 7 Apr 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012515011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026SAGA.L 161Peer median 97
Six months, rebased to 100: Saga against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Saga financials

Reported figures in GBP; fiscal year ends 2026-01-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue£699M£660M£588M£565M£664M
Revenue growth—+12%+4%-15%—
Gross profit£338M£310M£270M£254M£403M
EBITDA£143M£132M£98.2M£74.0M£276M
Net income£22.7M£13.8M-£165M-£113M-£273M
Free cash flow£159M£101M£93.1M£57.0M-£34.7M
Capital expenditure£7.90M£16.1M£20.1M£26.7M£20.8M
Total debtn/a£651M£690M£828M£897M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Saga competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%+20%PRDOFLT6030994666DRVN0697BFITACADSTRA000430BYDPTON301215AFYASATSALVDMOSWTRNLRNWEBSAGA.L6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Saga is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%20×40×60×PRDOFLT6030994666DRVN0697BFITSTRABYDPTONAFYASATSOSWWEBSAGA.LRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Saga is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%20%40%PRDOFLT6030994666DRVN0697BFITACADSTRABYDPTONAFYAALVDMOSWTRNLRNWEBSAGA.LGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Saga is the large dot.

Saga competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (SAGA.L vs AV..L)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Saga SAGA.L$1.67B+56%+37%16%18.6×12.6%
Aviva AV..L$29.5B+18%+86%3%12.2×n/a

How Saga compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Saga against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureSAGA.LPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+15.5%+1.7%4th highest of 21
6-month return+56.3%-3.9%highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-6.1%-28.4%5th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+36.7%+4.9%highest of 21
Operating margin15.9%15.1%10th highest of 21
Forward P/E18.6×13.3×6th most expensive of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)12.6%2.6%4th most demanding of 19
Growth delivered (Del g)+14.3%+15.8%8th lowest of 19
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-1.8 pp-22.1 pp3rd most demanding of 19
ROIC minus cost of capital+5.2 pp+3.7 pp9th highest of 20
EV / EBITDA10.8×7.1×4th most expensive of 18
Net debt / EBITDA2.1×1.3×6th most indebted of 18

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Saga SAGA.LUnited Kingdom$1.67B+56%+37%16%18.6×12.6%+14.3%
Perdoceo Education PRDOUnited States$1.68B-25%+12%25%9.1×-16.0%+4.2%
Flight Centre Travel FLT.AXAustralia$1.72B+17%+3%7%11.4×8.5%+48.5%
Changbai Mountain Tourism 603099.SSChina$1.54B+8%+2%20%71.9×15.4%+39.7%
Park24 4666.TJapan$1.93B-2%+4%10%6.8×-5.2%+8.6%
Driven Brands DRVNUnited States$1.96B-11%-11%15%9.6×3.3%+15.5%
Shoucheng 0697.HKHong Kong$1.33B-27%-1%16%15.5×21.2%+15.3%
Basic-Fit BFIT.ASNetherlands$2.23B+2%+18%12%22.0×6.5%+30.4%
AcadeMedia ACAD.STSweden$1.22B+20%+8%7%9.9×-1.8%+8.7%
Strategic Education STRAUnited States$1.16B-35%+4%16%7.9×-12.6%+4.3%
Zhang Jia Jie Tourism 000430.SZChina$1.15B-22%+20%-81%n/an/an/a
Boyd Group Services BYD.TOCanada$2.48B-24%+16%5%22.1×9.4%+16.0%
Peloton Interactive PTONUnited States$2.50B-1%-2%9%18.7×7.2%-9.5%
CATARC Automotive Proving Ground 301215.SZChina$1.10B-12%+23%43%n/an/an/a
Afya AFYAUnited States$960M-25%+17%32%5.9×-16.3%+23.2%
Sats SATS.OLNorway$937M+10%+5%18%15.2×-5.9%+10.6%
Voyageurs du Monde ALVDM.PAFrance$896M+28%+4%8%18.1×1.8%+46.3%
OneSpaWorld OSWUnited States$3.12B+25%+10%10%24.5×19.5%+51.4%
Trainline TRN.LUnited Kingdom$887M-5%+1%27%7.9×-8.0%+46.5%
Stride LRNUnited States$3.15B-15%+2%19%9.5×-19.1%+10.4%
Webbeds WEB.AXAustralia$871M+45%+20%25%15.7×4.5%+50.3%

Questions

Who are Saga's main competitors?
Named competitors: Direct Line Group (private or unlisted), Aviva (AV..L). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Perdoceo Education (PRDO), Flight Centre Travel (FLT.AX), Changbai Mountain Tourism (603099.SS), Park24 (4666.T), Driven Brands (DRVN), Shoucheng (0697.HK).
Is Saga expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 18.6× against a peer median of 13.3×, 6th most expensive of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 13% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -2 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Saga stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +56.3% against -3.9% for the median peer; over one year +236.7%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.