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Fair IsaacFICOCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Information Technology›Financial Publishing/Services

Creates the FICO credit score used by US lenders and sells decision-analytics/fraud software to banks and insurers.

Momentum laggard 16
Mkt cap
$15.2B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
97%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$658M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
15.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+73.0 pp
WACC 10.0%
Hurdle
-7 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB+ / BB-
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
83 days
28 Jan 2027
Close · USD$704.55
1D-0.4%
1W-0.9%
1M-0.4%
3M-32.9%
6M-37.4%
YTD-58.3%
1Y-56.8%
ATR %6.7%
Beta0.32
52w lowhigh62.1% off high

What Fair Isaac does

Creates the FICO credit score used by US lenders and sells decision-analytics/fraud software to banks and insurers.

Credit bureaus pay it a fee each time a lender buys a FICO score, so the score earns per credit check rather than for software. Scores carry the company's profit, while software is sold to banks on subscription or licence terms.

Products and services

  • FICO Score
  • Decision management software (fraud, collections)
  • Platform/AI decisioning

Customers

  • Banks & credit card issuers
  • Mortgage lenders
  • Insurers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Financial information services
  • Credit scoring
  • Decision-analytics software

What could go right

  • US consumer lending volume
  • Software platform cross-sell to lenders

What could go wrong

  • Regulatory pressure on scoring model access/pricing
  • Alternative-data scoring competitors

Moat: wide (network effects, switching costs, brand). FICO Score is the de facto US lending standard baked into underwriting and securitization rules.

Headquarters: Bozeman, Montana, US · Founded: 1956

Named competitors

Fair Isaac at a glance

Size Fair Isaac (FICO) is a United States Information Technology company (Financial Publishing/Services) with a market value of $15.2B, the 592nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $704.55 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 37.4%, against +25.6% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 4th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 24.1% over the last twelve months (peer median +16.8%); the operating margin is 52.1% (peer median 16.2%).

Valuation It trades at 15.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.6× (6th cheapest of 19).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 7% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 73.0 points above its cost of capital (10.0% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $702M at 30 Sep 2026, up 7% on a year earlier — 0.3 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Credit Fair Isaac has 3 bonds outstanding ($3.40B), rated BB+ by the agencies and trading like BB- at a weighted spread of 246 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 11.2% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 28 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

507510012511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 126FICO 65
Six months, rebased to 100: Fair Isaac against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Fair Isaac financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
Revenue$2.39B$2.53B$1.99B$1.72B$1.51B
Revenue growth—+27%+16%+13%—
Gross profit$2.04B$2.18B$1.64B$1.37B$1.20B
EBITDA$1.26B$1.31B$951M$747M$656M
Net income$815M$835M$652M$513M$429M
Free cash flow$939M$1.07B$739M$607M$465M
Capital expenditure$40.7M$37.7M$39.4M$25.6M$4.24M
Total debt$5.60B$5.28B$3.09B$2.25B$1.90B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Fair Isaac competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-25%0%+25%+50%-40%-20%0%+20%ZBRALSCCTSEMCHKPMANHNTNXDOCUMTSIIONQTEMGDDYTYLCACIBSYCRCLGWRESNXFFIVGENFICO6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Fair Isaac is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+20%+40%+60%20×40×60×ZBRALSCCTSEMCHKPMANHNTNXDOCUMTSIGDDYTYLCACINVTBSYCRCLGWRESNXGENFICORevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Fair Isaac is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%ZBRATSEMCHKPMANHNTNXDOCUMTSIGDDYTYLCACICRCLGWREFFIVGENFICOGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Fair Isaac is the large dot.

Fair Isaac competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (FICO vs EFX vs TRU vs EXPN.L)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Fair Isaac FICO$15.2B-37%+24%52%15.7×7.3%
Equifax EFX$22.2B+8%+11%19%20.9×16.9%
TransUnion TRU$15.5B+13%+13%15%15.9×20.3%
Experian EXPN.L$36.1B+16%+7%25%20.5×14.6%
ACI Worldwide ACIW$6.06B+32%+7%19%22.9×11.8%
Pegasystems PEGA$5.30B-10%+1%12%13.8×8.8%

How Fair Isaac compares with its peers

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Fair Isaac against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureFICOPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-0.4%-8.9%10th highest of 21
6-month return-37.4%+25.6%4th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-62.1%-25.0%lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+24.1%+16.8%8th highest of 21
Operating margin52.1%16.2%highest of 21
Forward P/E15.7×19.6×6th cheapest of 19
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)7.3%19.5%5th least demanding of 17
Growth delivered (Del g)+14.0%+13.2%8th highest of 17
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-6.7 pp+5.6 pp5th least demanding of 17
ROIC minus cost of capital+73.0 pp+1.4 pphighest of 18
EV / EBITDA16.1×26.5×7th cheapest of 18
Net debt / EBITDA4.0×0.4×3rd most indebted of 19
Bond spread246 bp112 bpwidest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Fair Isaac FICOUnited States$15.2B-37%+24%52%15.7×7.3%+14.0%
Zebra Technologies ZBRAUnited States$15.2B+42%+17%17%14.9×14.8%+4.1%
Lattice Semiconductor LSCCUnited States$14.9B-17%+63%13%26.2×n/an/a
Tower Semiconductor TSEMUnited States$15.6B-35%+22%19%21.6×25.9%+4.4%
Check Point Software Technologies CHKPUnited States$14.7B+25%+3%28%13.4×-1.7%+5.7%
Manhattan Associates MANHUnited States$14.7B+77%+8%25%42.0×29.4%+13.0%
NTNX NTNXUnited States$15.9B+27%+12%11%25.0×23.0%+15.4%
DocuSign DOCUUnited States$14.5B+62%+9%12%15.9×12.9%+17.2%
MACOM Technology Solutions MTSIUnited States$16.1B-41%+28%18%23.2×49.4%+12.8%
IonQ IONQUnited States$14.0B-34%+371%-392%n/an/an/a
Tempus AI TEMUnited States$13.9B+53%+37%-18%n/an/an/a
GoDaddy GDDYUnited States$13.9B+26%+7%26%12.9×-2.2%+8.4%
Tyler Technologies TYLUnited States$16.7B+30%+8%16%28.1×22.9%+15.9%
CACI International CACIUnited States$13.6B+27%+10%10%17.6×7.3%+9.6%
NVT NVTUnited States$17.2B-38%+48%18%16.4×16.2%+14.3%
Bentley Systems BSYUnited States$13.5B+36%+13%24%31.4×22.8%+13.4%
Circle Internet CRCLUnited States$17.3B-40%+26%13%68.1×23.2%+52.7%
Guidewire Software GWREUnited States$13.3B+17%+23%10%38.5×39.4%+14.7%
TD SYNNEX SNXUnited States$17.4B-9%+24%3%9.3×n/an/a
F5, Inc. FFIVUnited States$17.7B-12%+11%24%17.1×9.7%+5.6%
Gen Digital GENUnited States$17.7B+32%+17%43%9.6×1.8%+14.4%

Fair Isaac bonds and credit

Fair Isaac has 3 bonds outstanding with $3.40B face value. The agencies rate it BB+; its bonds trade like BB-. Weighted yield 7.12%, a spread of 246 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Fair Isaac backlog

Fair Isaac reported $702M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026, up 7% from a year earlier and up 3% from the previous quarter. That is 0.3 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 1.03.

Questions

Who are Fair Isaac's main competitors?
Named competitors: VantageScore (private or unlisted), Equifax (EFX), TransUnion (TRU), SAS Institute (private) (private or unlisted), Experian (EXPN.L), ACI Worldwide (ACIW). The cockpit's measured peer set (sector in the same market, nearest in size) also includes Zebra Technologies (ZBRA), Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC), Tower Semiconductor (TSEM), Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP), Manhattan Associates (MANH), NTNX (NTNX).
Is Fair Isaac expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 15.7× against a peer median of 19.6×, 6th cheapest of 19 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 7% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +14%, so the hurdle is -7 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Fair Isaac stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -37.4% against +25.6% for the median peer; over one year -56.8%.
What is Fair Isaac's backlog?
Fair Isaac's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $702M at 30 Sep 2026, +7% on a year earlier.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.