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CostcoCOSTCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Consumer Staples›Specialty Stores

Membership-only warehouse club retailer selling groceries and general merchandise in bulk at low markups.

Momentum strong 76
Mkt cap
$467B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
100%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$2.45B
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
46.2×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+28.4 pp
WACC 9.0%
Hurdle
+11 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
AA / AA+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
34 days
10 Dec 2026
Close · USD$1,054
1D-1.1%
1W+4.1%
1M+11.1%
3M+10.6%
6M+4.4%
YTD+22.5%
1Y+13.0%
ATR %1.9%
Beta-0.17
52w lowhigh3.9% off high

What Costco does

Membership-only warehouse club retailer selling groceries and general merchandise in bulk at low markups.

Earns most of its profit from membership fees rather than merchandise sales, because it marks goods up very little, so the number of members and how many renew matter most. It carries a limited range of items, buys in bulk and sells much under its own Kirkland Signature label.

Products and services

  • Warehouse club merchandise sales
  • Membership fees
  • Kirkland Signature private label
  • Gasoline/pharmacy/optical ancillary services

Customers

  • Membership households and small businesses

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Consumer staples
  • Retail
  • Membership warehouse club

What could go right

  • Membership fee increases and renewal-rate stability
  • International warehouse expansion

What could go wrong

  • Slower new-warehouse growth in mature US markets
  • Gas price volatility affecting comparable sales

Moat: wide (cost advantage, scale, brand). High membership renewal rates and rock-bottom pricing on limited SKUs create loyalty that is very hard for rivals to replicate.

Headquarters: Issaquah, Washington, United States · Founded: 1983 · Employees: 355,000

Named competitors

Costco at a glance

Size Costco (COST) is a United States Consumer Staples company (Specialty Stores) with a market value of $467B, the 22nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $1,054 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 4.4%, against +13.0% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 3rd lowest of 8 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 10.1% over the last twelve months (peer median +6.4%); the operating margin is 3.9% (peer median 25.8%).

Valuation It trades at 46.2× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.6× (most expensive of 8).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 20% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +11 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 28.4 points above its cost of capital (9.0% WACC).

Credit Costco has 4 bonds outstanding ($5.00B), rated AA by the agencies and trading like AA+ at a weighted spread of 27 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 1.7% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 10 Dec 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 110COST 105
Six months, rebased to 100: Costco against the median of its 7 peers (local-currency closes).

Costco financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-08-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
Revenue$303B$303B$275B$254B$242B
Revenue growth—+10%+8%+5%—
Gross profit$38.9B$38.9B$35.3B$32.1B$29.7B
EBITDA$14.4B$14.4B$12.8B$11.5B$10.6B
Net income$9.23B$9.23B$8.10B$7.37B$6.29B
Free cash flow$9.38B$9.38B$7.84B$6.63B$6.75B
Capital expenditure$6.43B$6.43B$5.50B$4.71B$4.32B
Total debt$10.2B$10.2B$9.94B$9.95B$10.5B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Costco competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-10%0%+10%+20%0%+5%+10%KOPGPMWMTPEPBUDMOCOST6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Costco is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+2%+4%+6%+8%+10%20×30×40×KOPGPMWMTPEPBUDMOCOSTRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Costco is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%KOPGPMWMTPEPBUDMOCOSTGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Costco is the large dot.

Costco competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (COST vs WMT vs BJ vs TGT)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Costco COST$467B+4%+10%4%46.2×19.9%
Walmart WMT$996B-4%+6%4%41.8×14.7%
BJ's Wholesale Club BJ$13.8B+18%+9%4%22.4×-0.7%
Target TGT$72.0B+28%+2%6%17.1×4.1%

How Costco compares with its peers

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Costco against its 7 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureCOSTPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+11.1%+9.0%2nd highest of 8
6-month return+4.4%+13.0%3rd lowest of 8
Distance from 52-week high-3.9%-4.7%4th highest of 8
Revenue growth (TTM)+10.1%+6.4%highest of 8
Operating margin3.9%25.8%lowest of 8
Forward P/E46.2×22.6×most expensive of 8
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)19.9%-0.3%most demanding of 8
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.1%+5.0%highest of 8
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+10.8 pp-5.2 ppmost demanding of 8
ROIC minus cost of capital+28.4 pp+13.3 pp2nd highest of 8
Net debt / EBITDA-0.8×1.4×least indebted of 8
Bond spread27 bp53 bptightest of 8

Peer table

Peer set: Sector in the same market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Costco COSTUnited States$467B+4%+10%4%46.2×19.9%+9.1%
Coca-Cola Company (The) KOUnited States$412B+23%+8%32%27.6×2.8%+7.9%
Procter & Gamble PGUnited States$383B+13%+4%24%23.4×-0.3%+2.7%
Philip Morris International PMUnited States$308B+17%+8%38%22.6×-0.8%+7.2%
Walmart WMTUnited States$996B-4%+6%4%41.8×14.7%+5.0%
PepsiCo PEPUnited States$193B-8%+6%16%16.6×-5.5%+5.9%
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV Sponsored ADR BUDUnited States$168B+5%+7%26%18.9×2.7%+4.7%
Altria MOUnited States$127B+13%+2%75%12.9×-10.9%-0.7%

Costco bonds and credit

Costco has 4 bonds outstanding with $5.00B face value. The agencies rate it AA; its bonds trade like AA+. Weighted yield 4.86%, a spread of 27 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Costco's main competitors?
Named competitors: Walmart (Sam's Club) (WMT), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ), Target Corporation (TGT). The cockpit's measured peer set (sector in the same market, nearest in size) also includes Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO), Procter & Gamble (PG), Philip Morris International (PM), Walmart (WMT), PepsiCo (PEP), Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV Sponsored ADR (BUD).
Is Costco expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 46.2× against a peer median of 22.6×, most expensive of 8 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 20% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +9%, so the hurdle is +11 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Costco stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +4.4% against +13.0% for the median peer; over one year +13.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.