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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.Open in the cockpit ↗

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.BBAICompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Information Technology›Packaged Software

AI-powered decision-analytics software for defense, intelligence and government agencies, plus select commercial customers.

Momentum laggard 13
Mkt cap
$1.07B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$49.4M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
n/m
no positive forecast
ROIC−WACC
-37.2 pp
WACC 19.6%
Hurdle
n/a
no reverse DCF
Next earnings
125 days
11 Mar 2027
Close · USD$2.22
1D0.0%
1W-14.6%
1M-8.3%
3M-31.3%
6M-46.9%
YTD-58.9%
1Y-63.8%
ATR %7.7%
Beta3.15
52w lowhigh70.0% off high

What BigBear.ai does

AI-powered decision-analytics software for defense, intelligence and government agencies, plus select commercial customers.

Paid mostly through multi-year government contracts, billing for staff time and delivered work, so revenue follows contract awards and renewals more than software licence sales. A small number of federal customers account for a large share. The 2024 purchase of Pangiam added biometric screening for airports and borders.

Products and services

  • ConductorOS AI orchestration
  • Vision (computer vision/ISR)
  • Analytics/forecasting tools

Customers

  • US Department of Defense
  • Intelligence community
  • Federal agencies

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Government/defense AI
  • Data fusion & analytics software
  • Decision-support platforms

What could go right

  • Rising defense AI budgets
  • New federal contract wins

What could go wrong

  • Federal budget/contract timing risk
  • History of net losses

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, customer qualification). Security clearances and incumbency on federal contracts are hard for new entrants to match.

Headquarters: McLean, Virginia, US · Founded: 2008 · Employees: 579

Named competitors

BigBear.ai at a glance

Size BigBear.ai (BBAI) is a United States Information Technology company (Packaged Software) with a market value of $1.07B, the 2204th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $2.22 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 46.9%, against -16.2% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 5th lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 1.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +8.5%); the operating margin is -65.6% (peer median 3.5%).

Valuation It trades at 5.7× enterprise value to sales against a peer median of 5.2× (10th most expensive of 20).

Capital Return on invested capital runs 37.2 points below its cost of capital (19.6% WACC).

Backlog Backlog (remaining performance obligations) was $5.70M at 30 Sep 2026 — 0.0 years of trailing revenue. Backlog detail →

Short interest Short interest is 28.5% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 11 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

507510012511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 79BBAI 51
Six months, rebased to 100: BigBear.ai against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

BigBear.ai financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$142M$128M$158M$155M$155M
Revenue growth—-19%+2%0%—
Gross profit$42.9M$28.5M$45.2M$40.6M$43.0M
EBITDA-$68.5M-$68.1M-$33.8M-$27.6M-$42.2M
Net income-$180M-$294M-$296M-$70.7M-$122M
Free cash flow-$72.7M-$47.2M-$38.6M-$18.3M-$49.7M
Capital expenditure$1.13M$4.37M$11.1M$3.83M$769,000
Total debt$22.5M$115M$146M$162M$200M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

BigBear.ai competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%0%+50%-10%0%+10%+20%BLACKBUCK688227300872BVS288930046730034860399074SWGTMRDVTRSKD25262391002605BSOFT3007663006780354301248BBAI6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. BigBear.ai is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+50%+100%0×20×40×BLACKBUCK688227300872BVS288930046730034860399074SWRDVT2526300766300678301248BBAIRevenue growth (TTM) →EV / Sales →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. BigBear.ai is the large dot.

BigBear.ai competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (BBAI vs PLTR vs AI vs BAH)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginEV / SalesReq g
BigBear.ai BBAI$1.07B-47%-1%-66%5.7×n/a
Palantir Technologies PLTR$386B+16%+87%46%51.6×56.6%
C3.ai AI$1.84B+18%-38%-198%5.1×n/a
Booz Allen Hamilton BAH$10.1B+11%-6%9%1.3×-7.0%
Leidos LDOS$16.2B+2%+3%12%1.2×-6.4%

How BigBear.ai compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

BigBear.ai against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureBBAIPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-8.3%-3.6%8th lowest of 21
6-month return-46.9%-16.2%5th lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-70.0%-40.2%3rd lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-1.5%+8.5%6th lowest of 21
Operating margin-65.6%3.5%lowest of 21
EV / Sales5.7×5.2×10th most expensive of 20
ROIC minus cost of capital-37.2 pp-4.6 pp3rd lowest of 19

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginEV / SalesReq gDelivered g
BigBear.ai BBAIUnited States$1.07B-47%-1%-66%5.7×n/an/a
Blackbuck BLACKBUCK.NSIndia$1.08B-1%+50%14%11.5×34.8%+54.8%
Bingo Software 688227.SSChina$1.08B-56%-7%-11%14.3×n/an/a
Tansun Technology 300872.SZChina$1.08B-11%-10%-12%4.5×n/an/a
Bravura Solutions BVS.AXAustralia$1.06B+50%-10%25%5.2×4.1%+3.1%
PATEO CONNECT Technology (Shanghai) 2889.HKHong Kong$1.05B-65%+72%-24%1.9×n/an/a
Sichuan Xun You Network Technology 300467.SZChina$1.05B-22%+2%1%21.8×n/an/a
Shenzhen Sunline Tech 300348.SZChina$1.10B-22%+19%-1%3.4×n/an/a
Suzhou MedicalSystem Technology 603990.SSChina$1.04B+44%-15%5%23.0×n/an/a
74Software 74SW.PAFrance$1.11B-5%+11%14%1.7×-1.7%+18.9%
ZoomInfo Technologies GTMUnited States$1.02B-45%+3%23%1.9×-9.7%+21.3%
Red Violet RDVTUnited States$1.12B+41%+20%18%10.9×39.4%+21.1%
Riskified RSKDUnited States$1.13B+78%+10%-4%2.5×12.6%+15.3%
Hangzhou Diagens Biotechnology 2526.HKHong Kong$1.13B-68%+134%-49%45.9×n/an/a
Tuya 2391.HKHong Kong$1.00B-33%+7%5%n/an/an/a
Shanghai Yaoji Technology 002605.SZChina$1.14B-11%-3%20%3.1×6.4%+1.0%
Birlasoft BSOFT.NSIndia$998M-7%+4%15%1.3×7.9%+8.4%
Merit Interactive 300766.SZChina$1.17B-30%+30%-2%12.4×n/an/a
Chengdu Information Technology of Chinese Academy of Sciences 300678.SZChina$969M-24%+100%0%6.3×n/an/a
Chinasoft International 0354.HKHong Kong$1.18B0%+3%2%0.6×17.8%+3.1%
Nexwise Intelligence China 301248.SZChina$967M-47%+11%13%11.1×n/an/a

BigBear.ai backlog

BigBear.ai reported $5.70M of remaining performance obligations at 30 Sep 2026 and down 38% from the previous quarter. That is 0.0 years of trailing revenue already under contract. Book-to-bill last quarter: 0.92.

Questions

Who are BigBear.ai's main competitors?
Named competitors: Palantir Technologies (PLTR), C3.ai (AI), Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH), Leidos (LDOS). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Blackbuck (BLACKBUCK.NS), Bingo Software (688227.SS), Tansun Technology (300872.SZ), Bravura Solutions (BVS.AX), PATEO CONNECT Technology (Shanghai) (2889.HK), Sichuan Xun You Network Technology (300467.SZ).
Is BigBear.ai expensive compared with its peers?
On ev / sales it trades at 5.7× against a peer median of 5.2×, 10th most expensive of 20 in its peer set.
How has BigBear.ai stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -46.9% against -16.2% for the median peer; over one year -63.8%.
What is BigBear.ai's backlog?
BigBear.ai's remaining performance obligations (contracted revenue not yet recognised) were $5.70M at 30 Sep 2026.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.