Loading…

ASML Holding NVASML.ASCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

Netherlands · EUR·Information Technology›Semiconductors

World's sole supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines that print the finest circuit patterns on advanced computer chips.

Momentum laggard 11
Mkt cap
$550B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$1.12B
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
31.1×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+85.8 pp
WACC 14.2%
Hurdle
+10 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
A1 / AAA
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
82 days
27 Jan 2027
Close · EUR€1,284
1D+2.7%
1W-9.1%
1M-21.3%
3M-17.4%
6M-6.1%
YTD+39.3%
1Y+44.7%
ATR %4.8%
52w lowhigh26.3% off high

What ASML does

World's sole supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines that print the finest circuit patterns on advanced computer chips.

Sells each machine as a very large one-off purchase, then earns a steady flow from servicing and upgrading the machines already installed. With only a handful of chipmaker customers, a few orders can swing a year, and most sales go to Asia. Intel, Samsung and TSMC took stakes in 2012 to help fund its development.

Products and services

  • EUV lithography systems
  • DUV lithography systems
  • Metrology & inspection
  • Service/upgrades

Customers

  • TSMC
  • Samsung Electronics
  • Intel
  • SK hynix

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Semiconductors
  • Wafer-fab equipment
  • Lithography systems

What could go right

  • AI-driven leading-edge chip capex
  • High-NA EUV adoption cycle

What could go wrong

  • China export restrictions
  • Customer capex timing/cyclicality

Moat: wide (IP / patents, scale, switching costs). Sole global source of EUV tools, built on decades of proprietary optics and precision-motion IP.

Headquarters: Veldhoven, Netherlands · Founded: 1984 · Employees: 44,209

Named competitors

ASML at a glance

Size ASML (ASML.AS) is a Netherlands Information Technology company (Semiconductors) with a market value of $550B, the largest of 61 Netherlands companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at €1,284 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 6.1%, against -12.7% for the median peer and +0.4% for the Netherlands market (cap-weighted) — 5th highest of 14 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 22.5% over the last twelve months (peer median +34.9%); the operating margin is 38.5% (peer median 38.5%).

Valuation It trades at 31.1× forward earnings against a peer median of 22.3× (3rd most expensive of 14).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 29% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +19%, so the hurdle is +10 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 85.8 points above its cost of capital (14.2% WACC).

Credit ASML has 4 bonds outstanding ($3.06B), rated A1 by the agencies and trading like AAA at a weighted spread of 36 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 27 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026ASML.AS 98Peer median 82
Six months, rebased to 100: ASML against the median of its 14 peers (local-currency closes).

ASML financials

Reported figures in EUR; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue€39.5B€32.7B€28.3B€27.6B€21.2B
Revenue growth—+16%+3%+30%—
Gross profit€21.4B€16.8B€14.1B€13.8B€10.5B
EBITDA€16.2B€12.4B€10.0B€9.83B€7.14B
Net income€13.5B€9.61B€7.57B€7.84B€5.62B
Free cash flow€21.2B€11.1B€9.10B€3.29B€7.21B
Capital expenditure€1.73B€1.63B€2.08B€2.20B€1.32B
Total debt€1.96B€4.64B€4.99B€4.86B€4.46B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

ASML competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-40%-20%000660AMDMU005930INTCTXNAVGOARM2330KLACQCOMADI2454ASML.AS6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. ASML is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

0%+100%+200%0×20×40×60×000660AMDMU005930INTCTXNAVGOARM2330KLACQCOMASML.ASRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. ASML is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%20%40%60%000660AMDMU005930INTCTXNAVGO2330KLACQCOMADI2454ASML.ASGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. ASML is the large dot.

ASML competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (ASML.AS vs 7731.T vs 7751.T vs AMAT)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
ASML ASML.AS$550B-6%+23%39%31.1×28.9%
Nikon 7731.T$3.17B-12%-4%-2%45.4×n/a
Canon 7751.T$28.4B+18%+4%10%12.2×-0.6%
Applied Materials AMAT$264B-24%+8%31%18.8×25.5%

How ASML compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

ASML against its 14 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureASML.ASPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-21.3%-28.6%7th highest of 15
6-month return-6.1%-12.7%5th highest of 14
Distance from 52-week high-26.3%-39.4%4th highest of 15
Revenue growth (TTM)+22.5%+34.9%6th lowest of 15
Operating margin38.5%38.5%8th highest of 15
Forward P/E31.1×22.3×3rd most expensive of 14
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)28.9%23.4%4th most demanding of 13
Growth delivered (Del g)+18.5%+14.5%6th highest of 13
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+10.4 pp+9.9 pp7th least demanding of 13
ROIC minus cost of capital+85.8 pp+11.0 pp2nd highest of 15
EV / EBITDA29.5×25.1×3rd most expensive of 11
Net debt / EBITDA-0.7×-0.2×4th least indebted of 12
Bond spread36 bp78 bptightest of 10

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
ASML ASML.ASNetherlands$550B-6%+23%39%31.1×28.9%+18.5%
SK hynix 000660.KSSouth Korea$608B-12%+220%74%3.1×-3.1%+24.9%
Advanced Micro Devices AMDUnited States$733B-1%+42%18%30.0×60.9%+28.8%
CXMT 688825.SSChina$411Bn/a+156%13%n/an/an/a
Micron Technology MUUnited States$781B-8%+256%75%3.9×7.1%+36.9%
SamsungElec 005930.KSSouth Korea$886B-14%+88%46%4.0×-7.2%+7.1%
Intel INTCUnited States$299B-55%+12%11%39.9×46.1%-7.5%
Texas Instruments TXNUnited States$253B-4%+20%41%24.6×23.3%+4.1%
Broadcom AVGOUnited States$1.40T-32%+49%49%16.9×26.6%+21.7%
Arm ARMUnited States$204B-18%+25%17%67.7×n/an/a
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur 2330.TWTaiwan$1.67T-5%+36%58%15.0×10.1%+23.3%
KLA KLACUnited States$180B-26%+16%43%22.3×23.5%+14.4%
Qualcomm QCOMUnited States$177B-24%+2%24%17.0×15.9%+5.1%
Analog Devices ADIUnited States$176B-13%+34%36%22.4×27.8%+14.5%
Mediatek 2454.TWTaiwan$164B+7%+6%15%24.7×40.7%+13.1%

ASML bonds and credit

ASML has 4 bonds outstanding with $3.06B face value. The agencies rate it A1; its bonds trade like AAA. Weighted yield 3.41%, a spread of 36 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are ASML's main competitors?
Named competitors: Nikon (7731.T), Canon (7751.T), Applied Materials (AMAT). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes SK hynix (000660.KS), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), CXMT (688825.SS), Micron Technology (MU), SamsungElec (005930.KS), Intel (INTC).
Is ASML expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 31.1× against a peer median of 22.3×, 3rd most expensive of 14 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 29% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +19%, so the hurdle is +10 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has ASML stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -6.1% against -12.7% for the median peer; over one year +44.7%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.