Employees: 2,063
Size Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (2408.HK) is a Hong Kong Consumer Discretionary company (Restaurants) with a market value of $354M, the 847th largest of 891 Hong Kong companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at HK$3.90 on 6 Nov 2026.
Performance Over six months the shares fell 6.6%, against +1.5% for the median peer and -13.4% for the Hong Kong market (cap-weighted) — 10th lowest of 21 in its peer set.
Growth Revenue grew 40.7% over the last twelve months (peer median +5.5%); the operating margin is 10.1% (peer median 5.2%).
Valuation It trades at 12.9× forward earnings against a peer median of 14.4× (6th cheapest of 16).
Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -7% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +54%, so the hurdle is -61 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.7 points above its cost of capital (5.7% WACC).
Next results Next results expected around 29 Mar 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).
| TTM | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | HK$2.07B | HK$1.76B | HK$1.25B | HK$883M | HK$486M |
| Revenue growth | — | +41% | +41% | +82% | — |
| Gross profit | HK$543M | HK$476M | HK$287M | HK$203M | HK$36.7M |
| EBITDA | HK$596M | HK$529M | HK$351M | HK$256M | HK$106M |
| Net income | HK$140M | HK$111M | HK$63.2M | HK$48.7M | -HK$40.2M |
| Free cash flow | HK$427M | HK$380M | HK$246M | HK$216M | HK$94.5M |
| Capital expenditure | HK$143M | HK$137M | HK$108M | HK$68.5M | HK$37.8M |
| Total debt | n/a | HK$1.05B | HK$883M | HK$684M | HK$554M |
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| Measure | 2408.HK | Peer median | Rank in peer set |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-month return | -4.0% | -0.9% | 7th lowest of 21 |
| 6-month return | -6.6% | +1.5% | 10th lowest of 21 |
| Distance from 52-week high | -35.7% | -17.3% | 6th lowest of 21 |
| Revenue growth (TTM) | +40.7% | +5.5% | highest of 21 |
| Operating margin | 10.1% | 5.2% | 5th highest of 21 |
| Forward P/E | 12.9× | 14.4× | 6th cheapest of 16 |
| Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) | -7.3% | 2.3% | 7th least demanding of 16 |
| Growth delivered (Del g) | +53.5% | +11.1% | highest of 16 |
| Hurdle (Req g minus delivered) | -60.9 pp | -11.7 pp | least demanding of 16 |
| ROIC minus cost of capital | +8.7 pp | +2.0 pp | 5th highest of 21 |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.1× | 10.2× | 3rd cheapest of 15 |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.5× | 1.1× | 7th least indebted of 19 |
| Company | Market | Market cap | 6M return | Revenue growth | Op. margin | Forward P/E | Req g | Delivered g |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management 2408.HK | Hong Kong | $354M | -7% | +41% | 10% | 12.9× | -7.3% | +53.5% |
| ATOM 7412.T | Japan | $353M | -56% | -10% | 0% | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| Kimly 1D0.SI | Singapore | $361M | -11% | +1% | 14% | 10.6× | -7.9% | +8.9% |
| Bafang Yunji International 2753.TW | Taiwan | $371M | -1% | +7% | 13% | 12.6× | -7.6% | +11.1% |
| Fujio Food 2752.T | Japan | $372M | +4% | +2% | 2% | 951.7× | n/a | n/a |
| Genki Global Dining Concepts 9828.T | Japan | $336M | +8% | +29% | 5% | 13.8× | 2.3% | +14.0% |
| Nordrest NREST.ST | Sweden | $334M | -24% | +34% | 8% | 14.2× | -8.2% | +28.2% |
| Kura Sushi USA KRUS | United States | $333M | -52% | +18% | -1% | 275.2× | n/a | n/a |
| Green Tea 6831.HK | Hong Kong | $332M | -59% | +24% | 13% | 3.7× | -21.0% | +24.0% |
| Ringer Hut 8200.T | Japan | $392M | +9% | +2% | 4% | n/a | 15.8% | +5.8% |
| China Quanjude (Group) 002186.SZ | China | $416M | -15% | -4% | 0% | n/a | 16.4% | +9.9% |
| Kisoji 8160.T | Japan | $438M | +6% | +2% | 5% | 32.9× | 4.4% | +11.9% |
| Sligro Food SLIGR.AS | Netherlands | $444M | -28% | -4% | 1% | 25.2× | 3.4% | +6.5% |
| El Pollo Loco LOCO | United States | $453M | +6% | +4% | 10% | 14.4× | 3.2% | +2.8% |
| Dine Brands Global DIN | United States | $454M | +26% | +8% | 14% | 7.9× | n/a | n/a |
| Cafe de Coral 0341.HK | Hong Kong | $464M | +61% | -4% | 4% | 14.7× | -9.1% | +4.0% |
| Tongqinglou Catering 605108.SS | China | $473M | -24% | +4% | 6% | 30.7× | n/a | n/a |
| Srs 8163.T | Japan | $474M | +53% | +10% | 4% | 43.0× | 9.6% | +11.8% |
| OOTOYA 2705.T | Japan | $477M | +53% | +18% | 6% | n/a | 10.0% | +18.1% |
| Feastogether 7883.TWO | Taiwan | $479M | -9% | +10% | 9% | n/a | -0.2% | +27.9% |
| Hyundai Green Food 453340.KS | South Korea | $482M | +22% | +7% | 5% | 6.2× | -18.0% | +6.6% |