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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › 002930.SZ Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Class AOpen in the cockpit ↗

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics Co., Ltd. Class A002930.SZCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

China · CNY·Industrials›Other Transportation
Momentum laggard 9
Mkt cap
$507M
US dollars, full cap
Free float
46%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$7.34M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
49.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-2.2 pp
WACC 5.0%
Hurdle
+2 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
174 days
29 Apr 2027
Close · CNYCN¥7.40
1D-3.5%
1W+0.9%
1M-18.2%
3M-14.9%
6M-43.0%
YTD-33.5%
1Y-30.8%
ATR %4.6%
52w lowhigh56.2% off high

What Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics does

Employees: 1,747

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics at a glance

Size Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics (002930.SZ) is a China Industrials company (Other Transportation) with a market value of $507M, the 3824th largest of 4,839 China companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at CN¥7.40 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 43.0%, against -12.1% for the median peer and -16.4% for the China market (cap-weighted) — lowest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 4.7% over the last twelve months (peer median +0.6%); the operating margin is -8.5% (peer median 12.9%).

Valuation It trades at 49.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.2× (2nd most expensive of 9).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +7%, so the hurdle is +2 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 2.2 points below its cost of capital (5.0% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 29 Apr 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

507510012511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 87002930.SZ 56
Six months, rebased to 100: Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics financials

Reported figures in CNY; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
RevenueCN¥1.30BCN¥1.19BCN¥1.45BCN¥1.54BCN¥1.26B
Revenue growth—-18%-6%+23%—
Gross profitCN¥862MCN¥420MCN¥692MCN¥866MCN¥689M
EBITDAn/aCN¥706MCN¥959MCN¥1.11BCN¥870M
Net income-CN¥385M-CN¥430MCN¥158MCN¥296MCN¥224M
Free cash flowCN¥464MCN¥380MCN¥454MCN¥777M-CN¥219M
Capital expenditureCN¥304MCN¥408MCN¥482MCN¥297MCN¥369M
Total debtCN¥5.36BCN¥5.62BCN¥5.67BCN¥5.63BCN¥5.99B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%+40%-20%0%+20%60356900235733826030696007306030323004246031676031990020409632TYAADBMCG601188002930.SZ6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-40%-20%0%+20%0×20×40×60×6035696030696030326031676031991052ADBMCG002930.SZRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%+60%0%20%40%60%60356900235760083433826030323004246031676031990020400062000507002682TYA002930.SZGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics is the large dot.

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics competitors and peer comparison

How Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
Measure002930.SZPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-18.2%-4.2%2nd lowest of 21
6-month return-43.0%-12.1%lowest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-56.2%-28.2%4th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+4.7%+0.6%9th highest of 21
Operating margin-8.5%12.9%4th lowest of 21
Forward P/E49.3×13.2×2nd most expensive of 9
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)8.9%-1.8%5th most demanding of 18
Growth delivered (Del g)+7.1%+7.0%9th highest of 18
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)+1.7 pp-7.3 pp4th most demanding of 18
ROIC minus cost of capital-2.2 pp-1.2 pp8th lowest of 21

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics 002930.SZChina$507M-43%+5%-8%49.3×8.9%+7.1%
Beijing Changjiu Logistics 603569.SSChina$502M-17%-47%-1%10.5×6.2%-2.0%
Sichuan Fulin Transportation 002357.SZChina$496M-10%-2%-8%n/a43.1%+5.3%
Shanghai Shentong Metro 600834.SSChina$520M-9%+1%8%n/a11.4%+14.6%
Tianjin Port Development 3382.HKHong Kong$478M-14%-21%21%n/a-8.3%-5.5%
Hainan Haiqi Transportation 603069.SSChina$548M-32%-22%-20%23.1×n/an/a
China Hi-Tech 600730.SSChina$548M-31%+16%-32%n/an/an/a
Delixi New Energy Technology 603032.SSChina$550M-33%+27%17%68.0×33.8%+61.4%
Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology 300424.SZChina$457M-35%-1%-3%n/a3.2%+7.5%
Bohai Ferry 603167.SSChina$565M-10%-5%14%11.0×-8.4%+9.6%
Anhui Jiuhuashan Tourism Development 603199.SSChina$573M-5%+6%32%16.5×-4.0%+21.3%
Nanjing Port 002040.SZChina$576M-21%+2%31%n/a-4.8%+6.7%
Transport International 0062.HKHong Kong$592M-16%+1%6%n/a-8.6%+6.4%
Subaru Enterprise 9632.TJapan$424M+48%0%15%n/a-6.0%+1.5%
Zhuhai Port 000507.SZChina$638M-9%0%12%n/a-2.0%+4.5%
Longzhou 002682.SZChina$371M-27%+5%-17%n/a9.9%-7.4%
Toscana Aeroporti TYA.MIItaly$371M-2%+13%22%n/a-3.9%+23.6%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure 1052.HKHong Kong$699M-19%+9%36%6.2×0.1%+7.4%
Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna ADB.MIItaly$361M+3%+10%18%15.4×-1.8%+22.0%
Mobico MCG.LUnited Kingdom$360M+103%+5%5%4.3×n/an/a
Heilongjiang Transport Development 601188.SSChina$746M+13%-4%27%n/a0.4%+7.0%

Questions

Which companies are Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics's closest peers?
The cockpit's peer set: Beijing Changjiu Logistics (603569.SS), Sichuan Fulin Transportation (002357.SZ), Shanghai Shentong Metro (600834.SS), Tianjin Port Development (3382.HK), Hainan Haiqi Transportation (603069.SS), China Hi-Tech (600730.SS), Delixi New Energy Technology (603032.SS), Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology (300424.SZ).
Is Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 49.3× against a peer median of 13.2×, 2nd most expensive of 9 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 9% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +7%, so the hurdle is +2 pp: the price needs faster growth than the company has been delivering — of companies that just grew 25–50% a year, 93.8% slowed down over the next four years.
How has Guangdong Great River Smarter Logistics stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -43.0% against -12.1% for the median peer; over one year -30.8%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.