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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › GPK Graphic Packaging Holding CompanyOpen in the cockpit ↗

Graphic Packaging Holding CompanyGPKCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Materials›Containers/Packaging

Maker of paperboard packaging — folding cartons and cups — for food, beverage and consumer brands.

Momentum strong 74
Mkt cap
$3.31B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
98%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$88.6M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
12.3×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
-1.9 pp
WACC 6.5%
Hurdle
-1 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB- / BB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
95 days
9 Feb 2027
Close · USD$11.19
1D-3.0%
1W+25.0%
1M+30.4%
3M-6.0%
6M+5.3%
YTD-25.7%
1Y-34.2%
ATR %4.6%
Beta0.91
52w lowhigh34.8% off high

What Graphic Packaging does

Maker of paperboard packaging — folding cartons and cups — for food, beverage and consumer brands.

Sells cartons and cups on contracts that pass paperboard and other input costs through to customers, with a lag, so profit depends on volume and operating efficiency. Its own mills supply most of its board, and it installs carton-forming machines at customers' plants, tying them in. It has been investing in a large new recycled-paperboard mill at Kalamazoo, Michigan.

Products and services

  • Folding cartons
  • Cupstock/foodservice packaging
  • Coated paperboard

Customers

  • Food and beverage brands
  • Foodservice/QSR chains
  • Consumer products companies

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Paperboard mills
  • Folding carton/cup manufacturing

What could go right

  • Paper-over-plastic sustainability shift
  • QSR/foodservice packaging demand

What could go wrong

  • Containerboard pricing cycles
  • Input/energy costs

Moat: narrow (scale, switching costs). Vertically integrated mills-to-carton system and long customer contracts keep switching costly.

Headquarters: Atlanta, Georgia, US · Founded: 1992 · Employees: 23,000

Named competitors

Graphic Packaging at a glance

Size Graphic Packaging (GPK) is a United States Materials company (Containers/Packaging) with a market value of $3.31B, the 1479th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $11.19 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 5.3%, against -0.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 7th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 0.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +3.4%); the operating margin is 5.5% (peer median 8.2%).

Valuation It trades at 12.3× forward earnings against a peer median of 16.1× (6th cheapest of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 5% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is -1 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 1.9 points below its cost of capital (6.5% WACC).

Credit Graphic Packaging has 6 bonds outstanding ($2.35B), rated BB- by the agencies and trading like BB at a weighted spread of 158 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 8.9% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 9 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

8010012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026GPK 109Peer median 99
Six months, rebased to 100: Graphic Packaging against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Graphic Packaging financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$8.64B$8.62B$8.81B$9.43B$9.44B
Revenue growth—-2%-7%0%—
Gross profit$1.22B$1.61B$2.00B$2.19B$1.82B
EBITDA$1.06B$1.40B$1.71B$1.95B$1.59B
Net income$74.0M$444M$658M$723M$522M
Free cash flow$415M-$81.0M-$363M$340M$541M
Capital expenditure$401M$922M$1.20B$804M$549M
Total debt$5.50B$5.87B$5.46B$5.62B$5.50B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Graphic Packaging competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%0%+20%HUH1VVID5901VISAMBPGEF2689VRLA3861SLGNMNDI0028313008061626WPK2039002701002969GPK6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Graphic Packaging is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%+20%0×50×100×150×HUH1VVID5901VISAMBP26893861SLGNMNDISON300806600529002701002969GPKRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Graphic Packaging is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%-10%0%10%20%HUH1VVID5901AMBPGEFVRLA3861SLGNMNDISON002831WPK2039002701002969GPKGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Graphic Packaging is the large dot.

Graphic Packaging competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (GPK vs IP vs SON vs SLGN)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Graphic Packaging GPK$3.31B+5%0%6%12.3×5.0%
International Paper IP$18.3B+6%+3%3%15.8×26.4%
Sonoco Products SON$4.99B-2%+4%10%9.0×-1.9%
Silgan SLGN$4.34B+2%+4%10%10.2×-5.8%

How Graphic Packaging compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Graphic Packaging against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureGPKPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+30.4%+1.7%highest of 21
6-month return+5.3%-0.9%7th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-34.8%-18.0%5th lowest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+0.3%+3.4%8th lowest of 21
Operating margin5.5%8.2%7th lowest of 21
Forward P/E12.3×16.1×6th cheapest of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)5.0%-1.9%7th most demanding of 18
Growth delivered (Del g)+5.6%+6.5%6th lowest of 18
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-0.6 pp-7.9 pp6th most demanding of 18
ROIC minus cost of capital-1.9 pp+1.7 pp4th lowest of 21
EV / EBITDA8.0×7.9×7th most expensive of 14
Net debt / EBITDA4.8×2.4×4th most indebted of 15
Bond spread158 bp125 bpwidest of 5

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Graphic Packaging GPKUnited States$3.31B+5%0%6%12.3×5.0%+5.6%
Huhtamaki HUH1V.HEFinland$3.12B-1%-2%9%11.0×-6.3%+3.7%
Vidrala VID.MCSpain$3.63B+18%-3%21%14.6×5.8%+8.2%
Toyo Seikan 5901.TJapan$3.69B+34%+6%6%20.4×-2.7%+5.2%
Viscofan VIS.MCSpain$2.86B-5%+3%15%16.6×-3.4%+6.5%
Ardagh Metal Packaging AMBPUnited States$2.82B+18%+17%5%17.0×4.1%+9.8%
Greif GEFUnited States$3.95B+7%-2%8%16.1×7.9%-4.7%
Nine Dragons Paper 2689.HKHong Kong$2.76B-29%+22%9%4.4×n/an/a
Verallia SAS VRLA.PAFrance$2.56B-10%-3%9%14.7×5.6%+5.6%
Oji 3861.TJapan$4.31B-3%0%2%20.6×20.4%+6.5%
Silgan SLGNUnited States$4.34B+2%+4%10%10.2×-5.8%+5.7%
Mondi MNDI.LUnited Kingdom$4.69B+5%+5%4%36.1×15.4%+2.1%
Sonoco Products SONUnited States$4.99B-2%+4%10%9.0×-1.9%+7.5%
Shenzhen YUTO Packaging Technology 002831.SZChina$5.19B0%+1%11%20.8×-0.4%+7.9%
Jiangsu Sidike New Materials Science & Technology 300806.SZChina$5.33B-17%+12%4%154.7×n/an/a
Jia Yao 1626.HKHong Kong$2.05B+175%+161%6%n/an/an/a
Winpak WPK.TOCanada$1.91B+12%+3%15%12.5×-10.9%+6.6%
Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass 600529.SSChina$1.85B0%-9%18%16.5×-2.4%+5.5%
China International Marine Containers (Group) 2039.HKHong Kong$6.11B-35%+6%4%12.7×-8.1%+9.9%
ORG Technology 002701.SZChina$1.65B-22%+24%5%9.6×-5.2%+15.8%
Jiamei Food Packaging (Chuzhou) 002969.SZChina$1.55B-56%-10%6%86.4×22.4%+7.3%

Graphic Packaging bonds and credit

Graphic Packaging has 6 bonds outstanding with $2.35B face value. The agencies rate it BB-; its bonds trade like BB. Weighted yield 5.68%, a spread of 158 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Graphic Packaging's main competitors?
Named competitors: International Paper (IP), Sonoco Products (SON), Silgan Holdings (SLGN). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Huhtamaki (HUH1V.HE), Vidrala (VID.MC), Toyo Seikan (5901.T), Viscofan (VIS.MC), Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP), Greif (GEF).
Is Graphic Packaging expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 12.3× against a peer median of 16.1×, 6th cheapest of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 5% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +6%, so the hurdle is -1 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Graphic Packaging stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +5.3% against -0.9% for the median peer; over one year -34.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.