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Ardagh Metal Packaging S.AAMBPCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Materials›Containers/Packaging

Global maker of aluminum beverage cans for beer, soft-drink and seltzer brands, spun off from Ardagh Group.

Momentum strong 69
Mkt cap
$2.82B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
23%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$9.11M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
17.0×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+1.8 pp
WACC 6.3%
Hurdle
-6 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
111 days
25 Feb 2027
Close · USD$4.72
1D-0.8%
1W+4.9%
1M+5.8%
3M-5.0%
6M+18.0%
YTD+15.1%
1Y+37.6%
ATR %3.5%
Beta0.61
52w lowhigh13.7% off high

What Ardagh Metal Packaging does

Global maker of aluminum beverage cans for beer, soft-drink and seltzer brands, spun off from Ardagh Group.

Sells cans to drinks companies under multi-year supply contracts that pass changes in aluminium prices through to the customer, so volume and plant uptime matter more than metal costs. It was listed in 2021 through a merger with a blank-cheque company.

Products and services

  • Beverage cans
  • Can ends

Customers

  • Global beverage brands (beer, soda, seltzer)
  • Regional beverage bottlers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Aluminum can manufacturing
  • Beverage packaging

What could go right

  • Beverage cans replacing plastic bottles
  • Hard seltzer/energy drink can growth

What could go wrong

  • High leverage from Ardagh spin-off
  • Aluminum cost volatility

Moat: narrow (scale, switching costs, installed base). Plants sited next to bottlers under multi-year supply contracts with high switching costs.

Headquarters: Dublin, Ireland · Founded: 2021 · Employees: 6,498

Named competitors

Ardagh Metal Packaging at a glance

Size Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is a United States Materials company (Containers/Packaging) with a market value of $2.82B, the 1588th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $4.72 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 18.0%, against -0.9% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 4th highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 17.0% over the last twelve months (peer median +2.1%); the operating margin is 5.5% (peer median 8.7%).

Valuation It trades at 17.0× forward earnings against a peer median of 14.7× (7th most expensive of 20).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is -6 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 1.8 points above its cost of capital (6.3% WACC).

Short interest Short interest is 1.4% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 25 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026AMBP 119Peer median 99
Six months, rebased to 100: Ardagh Metal Packaging against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Ardagh Metal Packaging financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$6.26B$5.50B$4.91B$4.81B$4.69B
Revenue growth—+12%+2%+3%—
Gross profit$647M$548M$495M$405M$440M
EBITDA$798M$739M$672M$600M$625M
Net income$58.0M$11.0M-$3.00M-$50.0M$237M
Free cash flow$313M$276M$283M$248M-$380M
Capital expenditure$180M$184M$187M$379M$596M
Total debt$4.32B$4.42B$3.90B$3.73B$3.59B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Ardagh Metal Packaging competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%-10%0%+10%VIS2689VRLAHUH1VGPKVID59011626GEFWPK3861SLGNMNDI002701SON002969600210301093002831AMBP6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Ardagh Metal Packaging is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%-10%0%+10%+20%0×25×50×75×VIS2689VRLAHUH1VGPK5901WPK6005293861MNDI002701SON002969600210301093AMBPRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Ardagh Metal Packaging is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%VISVRLAHUH1VGPKGEFWPK3861MNDI002701301093AMBPGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Ardagh Metal Packaging is the large dot.

Ardagh Metal Packaging competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (AMBP vs CCK vs BALL vs ORA.AX)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Ardagh Metal Packaging AMBP$2.82B+18%+17%5%17.0×4.1%
Crown CCK$13.1B+20%+14%12%13.9×-4.7%
Ball BALL$17.2B+13%+21%11%15.3×6.4%
Orora ORA.AX$1.34B+17%+6%11%15.8×2.5%
Toyo Seikan 5901.T$3.69B+34%+6%6%20.4×-2.7%
ORG Technology 002701.SZ$1.65B-22%+24%5%9.6×-5.2%

How Ardagh Metal Packaging compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Ardagh Metal Packaging against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureAMBPPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+5.8%+1.7%6th highest of 21
6-month return+18.0%-0.9%4th highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-13.7%-18.5%6th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+17.0%+2.1%4th highest of 21
Operating margin5.5%8.7%5th lowest of 21
Forward P/E17.0×14.7×7th most expensive of 20
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)4.1%-0.4%9th most demanding of 18
Growth delivered (Del g)+9.8%+6.5%2nd highest of 18
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-5.6 pp-7.9 pp9th most demanding of 18
ROIC minus cost of capital+1.8 pp+1.8 pp11th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA8.7×7.9×6th most expensive of 14
Net debt / EBITDA5.1×2.4×3rd most indebted of 15

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Ardagh Metal Packaging AMBPUnited States$2.82B+18%+17%5%17.0×4.1%+9.8%
Viscofan VIS.MCSpain$2.86B-5%+3%15%16.6×-3.4%+6.5%
Nine Dragons Paper 2689.HKHong Kong$2.76B-29%+22%9%4.4×n/an/a
Verallia SAS VRLA.PAFrance$2.56B-10%-3%9%14.7×5.6%+5.6%
Huhtamaki HUH1V.HEFinland$3.12B-1%-2%9%11.0×-6.3%+3.7%
Graphic Packaging GPKUnited States$3.31B+5%0%6%12.3×5.0%+5.6%
Vidrala VID.MCSpain$3.63B+18%-3%21%14.6×5.8%+8.2%
Toyo Seikan 5901.TJapan$3.69B+34%+6%6%20.4×-2.7%+5.2%
Jia Yao 1626.HKHong Kong$2.05B+175%+161%6%n/an/an/a
Greif GEFUnited States$3.95B+7%-2%8%16.1×7.9%-4.7%
Winpak WPK.TOCanada$1.91B+12%+3%15%12.5×-10.9%+6.6%
Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass 600529.SSChina$1.85B0%-9%18%16.5×-2.4%+5.5%
Oji 3861.TJapan$4.31B-3%0%2%20.6×20.4%+6.5%
Silgan SLGNUnited States$4.34B+2%+4%10%10.2×-5.8%+5.7%
Mondi MNDI.LUnited Kingdom$4.69B+5%+5%4%36.1×15.4%+2.1%
ORG Technology 002701.SZChina$1.65B-22%+24%5%9.6×-5.2%+15.8%
Sonoco Products SONUnited States$4.99B-2%+4%10%9.0×-1.9%+7.5%
Jiamei Food Packaging (Chuzhou) 002969.SZChina$1.55B-56%-10%6%86.4×22.4%+7.3%
Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise 600210.SSChina$1.54B-3%-18%10%11.3×n/an/a
Jiangsu Hualan New Pharmaceutical Material 301093.SZChina$1.53B-27%+6%5%77.4×50.9%+6.7%
Shenzhen YUTO Packaging Technology 002831.SZChina$5.19B0%+1%11%20.8×-0.4%+7.9%

Questions

Who are Ardagh Metal Packaging's main competitors?
Named competitors: Crown Holdings (CCK), Ball Corporation (BALL), Canpack (private or unlisted), Orora (ORA.AX), Toyo Seikan Group Holdings (5901.T), CPMC Holdings (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Viscofan (VIS.MC), Nine Dragons Paper (2689.HK), Verallia SAS (VRLA.PA), Huhtamaki (HUH1V.HE), Graphic Packaging (GPK), Vidrala (VID.MC).
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 17.0× against a peer median of 14.7×, 7th most expensive of 20 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about 4% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +10%, so the hurdle is -6 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Ardagh Metal Packaging stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +18.0% against -0.9% for the median peer; over one year +37.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.