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Forestar Group Inc.FORCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Real Estate›Real Estate Development

Develops finished residential lots for homebuilders; majority-owned by D.R. Horton, its largest customer.

Momentum weak 28
Mkt cap
$1.21B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
38%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$5.01M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
10.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
n/a
WACC 9.4%
Hurdle
n/a
no reverse DCF
Official | Implied
BB- / BB
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
81 days
26 Jan 2027
Close · USD$23.70
1D-3.1%
1W-1.0%
1M-8.5%
3M-16.9%
6M-13.8%
YTD-3.8%
1Y-5.3%
ATR %4.1%
Beta0.81
52w lowhigh26.1% off high

What Forestar does

Develops finished residential lots for homebuilders; majority-owned by D.R. Horton, its largest customer.

Buys raw land, installs roads and utilities, and sells finished lots to builders, with D.R. Horton, which owns most of the company, taking the largest share under an agreement that gives it first right to buy lots. Since D.R. Horton bought control in 2017 it has grown into a nationwide lot developer.

Products and services

  • Finished residential lot development
  • Land banking/entitlement

Customers

  • D.R. Horton (majority customer)
  • Other regional homebuilders

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Land development
  • Raw land acquisition & entitlement
  • Finished-lot sales to homebuilders

What could go right

  • Housing demand supporting lot absorption
  • D.R. Horton growth driving lot orders

What could go wrong

  • Heavy revenue concentration in D.R. Horton
  • Housing-market downturn risk

Moat: narrow (scale, distribution). A guaranteed anchor customer (D.R. Horton) and national land-development scale are hard for smaller developers to match.

Headquarters: Arlington, Texas, US · Founded: 1955

Named competitors

Forestar at a glance

Size Forestar (FOR) is a United States Real Estate company (Real Estate Development) with a market value of $1.21B, the 2137th largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $23.70 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 13.8%, against -9.8% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 9th lowest of 20 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 1.6% over the last twelve months (peer median +2.3%); the operating margin is 12.8% (peer median 19.8%).

Valuation It trades at 10.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.2× (4th cheapest of 14).

Credit Forestar has 1 bond outstanding ($500M), rated BB- by the agencies and trading like BB at a weighted spread of 237 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 2.0% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 26 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

9010011012011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 90FOR 88
Six months, rebased to 100: Forestar against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Forestar financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2026-09-30. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023
Revenue$1.64B$1.64B$1.66B$1.51B$1.44B
Revenue growth—-2%+10%+5%—
Gross profit$364M$322M$401M$363M$331M
EBITDAn/an/a$250M$248M$236M
Net income$143M$143M$168M$203M$167M
Free cash flown/an/a-$200M-$161M$363M
Capital expendituren/an/a$2.20M$2.20M$1.30M
Total debt$794M$794M$817M$717M$703M

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Forestar competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-50%0%+50%-20%0%LOTUSDEVMEQ15288923000006FREY60026660077305650081000534IRS2539SIGNATURECIBUSICADYGMPAEDAS000048FOR6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Forestar is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-20%0%+20%+40%20×40×60×LOTUSDEVMEQ15288923FREY0081000534IRSSIGNATURECIBUSICADAEDAS000048FORRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Forestar is the large dot.

Forestar competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (FOR vs MRP vs GRBK)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Forestar FOR$1.21B-14%-2%13%10.4×n/a
Millrose Properties MRP$4.00B-4%+93%85%7.9×n/a
Green Brick Partners GRBK$2.75B-2%-10%19%12.2×7.8%

How Forestar compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Forestar against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureFORPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-8.5%-5.1%8th lowest of 21
6-month return-13.8%-9.8%9th lowest of 20
Distance from 52-week high-26.1%-31.4%9th highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-1.6%+2.3%10th lowest of 21
Operating margin12.8%19.8%10th lowest of 21
Forward P/E10.4×19.2×4th cheapest of 14
Bond spread237 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Forestar FORUnited States$1.21B-14%-2%13%10.4×n/an/a
Sri Lotus Developers and Realty LOTUSDEV.NSIndia$1.21B+59%+40%38%33.4×n/an/a
Mainstreet Equity MEQ.TOCanada$1.19B+1%+5%60%18.9×n/an/a
Red Star Macalline 1528.HKHong Kong$1.18B-33%-3%-24%32.3×n/an/a
Tosei 8923.TJapan$1.18B+17%+14%23%11.4×n/an/a
Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) 000006.SZChina$1.24B-37%-56%0%n/an/an/a
Frey FREY.PAFrance$1.24B0%+45%49%22.9×n/an/a
Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co 600266.SSChina$1.16B-21%-31%-2%n/an/an/a
Tibet Urban Development & Investment 600773.SSChina$1.27B-67%-78%-124%n/an/an/a
Art 0565.HKHong Kong$1.28B+38%+51%60%n/an/an/a
China Overseas Grand Oceans 0081.HKHong Kong$1.30B-7%-3%5%19.2×n/an/a
Wedge Industrial 000534.SZChina$1.30B-57%+4%10%28.6×n/an/a
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones SA Sponsored ADR IRSUnited States$1.12B-10%+4%42%64.9×n/an/a
Sakura Development 2539.TWTaiwan$1.31B-28%+10%39%n/an/an/a
Signatureglobal (India) SIGNATURE.NSIndia$1.11B-17%-23%-7%22.8×n/an/a
Cibus Real Estate AB (publ) CIBUS.STSweden$1.11B-12%+20%75%11.2×n/an/a
Icade ICAD.PAFrance$1.33B-22%-9%17%5.3×n/an/a
Gmp Property SOCIMI YGMP.MCSpain$1.33B-4%0%53%n/an/an/a
AEDAS Homes AEDAS.MCSpain$1.10B+1%-25%10%9.1×n/an/a
Horizon Industrial Parks HORIZONIND.NSIndia$1.33Bn/a+83%44%n/an/an/a
Shenzhen Kingkey Smart Agriculture Times 000048.SZChina$1.10B-7%-17%-15%10.4×n/an/a

Forestar bonds and credit

Forestar has 1 bond outstanding with $500M face value. The agencies rate it BB-; its bonds trade like BB. Weighted yield 7.05%, a spread of 237 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Forestar's main competitors?
Named competitors: Millrose Properties (MRP), Green Brick Partners (GRBK). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Sri Lotus Developers and Realty (LOTUSDEV.NS), Mainstreet Equity (MEQ.TO), Red Star Macalline (1528.HK), Tosei (8923.T), Shenzhen Zhenye (Group) (000006.SZ), Frey (FREY.PA).
Is Forestar expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 10.4× against a peer median of 19.2×, 4th cheapest of 14 in its peer set.
How has Forestar stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -13.8% against -9.8% for the median peer; over one year -5.3%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.