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← CockpitCompetitor Analysis › FGP.L FirstGroup plcOpen in the cockpit ↗

FirstGroup plcFGP.LCompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United Kingdom · GBP·Industrials›Other Transportation

UK public transport operator running bus services (First Bus) and UK rail franchises.

≈ A UK public-transit operator, akin to a Stagecoach/National Express peerMomentum leader 96
Mkt cap
$1.60B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
87%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$4.17M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
11.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+3.6 pp
WACC 7.8%
Hurdle
-10 pp
Req g minus delivered
Next earnings
6 days
12 Nov 2026
Close · GBP£232.40
1D-0.3%
1W+7.2%
1M+24.3%
3M+26.1%
6M+40.0%
YTD+21.9%
1Y+14.2%
ATR %3.2%
52w lowhigh1.5% off high

What FirstGroup does

UK public transport operator running bus services (First Bus) and UK rail franchises.

After selling its North American businesses it is a UK-only operator. Bus income comes from fares plus local-authority contracts and funding, while its trains run mostly under government management contracts that pay a fee, leaving the state with the passenger-revenue risk, plus open-access routes such as Lumo that carry that risk themselves.

In one line: A UK public-transit operator, akin to a Stagecoach/National Express peer.

Products and services

  • First Bus (UK bus operations)
  • UK rail franchise operations

Customers

  • UK public transport passengers
  • UK government (rail franchise contracts)

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Industrials
  • Public transportation
  • Bus operations & rail franchises

What could go right

  • Bus/rail patronage recovery post-pandemic
  • Government transport investment

What could go wrong

  • Rail franchise/contract renewal risk
  • Fuel/electricity cost inflation

Moat: narrow (regulatory licence, installed base, scale). Regulated bus/rail franchise licenses and route networks are hard to replicate.

Headquarters: Aberdeen, UK · Founded: 1995 · Employees: 30,513

Named competitors

FirstGroup at a glance

Size FirstGroup (FGP.L) is a United Kingdom Industrials company (Other Transportation) with a market value of $1.60B, the 184th largest of 363 United Kingdom companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at £232.40 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 40.0%, against -2.8% for the median peer and +3.6% for the United Kingdom market (cap-weighted) — 2nd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue fell 6.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +4.5%); the operating margin is 4.6% (peer median 17.7%).

Valuation It trades at 11.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 13.6× (7th cheapest of 15).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -8% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +2%, so the hurdle is -10 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.6 points above its cost of capital (7.8% WACC).

Next results Next results expected around 12 Nov 2026 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012014011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026FGP.L 141Peer median 97
Six months, rebased to 100: FirstGroup against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

FirstGroup financials

Reported figures in GBP; fiscal year ends 2026-03-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue£4.75B£4.75B£5.23B£4.72B£4.75B
Revenue growth—-9%+11%-1%—
Gross profit£219M£2.05B£2.50B£2.29B£2.24B
EBITDA£784M£737M£821M£703M£738M
Net income£118M£118M£128M-£15.9M£87.1M
Free cash flow£379M£379M£611M£342M£406M
Capital expenditure£253M£253M£156M£219M£178M
Total debtn/a£1.16B£1.47B£1.64B£2.07B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

FirstGroup competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%+20%+40%-10%0%+10%+20%00082890032645SHREEJISPG6000330152HHFA6000209031002320WTENS8U9048FGP.L6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. FirstGroup is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-10%0%+10%20×40×60×0008289003264501526000209031002320WTENS8U6003260000899048FGP.LRevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. FirstGroup is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

0%+20%+40%0%20%40%0008282645600033600020002320600717WTENS8U600326000089C52SVIFGP.LGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. FirstGroup is the large dot.

FirstGroup competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (FGP.L vs MCG.L)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
FirstGroup FGP.L$1.60B+40%-6%5%11.4×-7.6%
Mobico MCG.L$360M+103%+5%5%4.3×n/a

How FirstGroup compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

FirstGroup against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureFGP.LPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+24.3%+0.1%highest of 21
6-month return+40.0%-2.8%2nd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-1.5%-15.4%2nd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)-6.2%+4.5%5th lowest of 21
Operating margin4.6%17.7%2nd lowest of 21
Forward P/E11.4×13.6×7th cheapest of 15
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-7.6%-1.0%5th least demanding of 14
Growth delivered (Del g)+1.9%+5.6%5th lowest of 14
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-9.5 pp-12.3 pp6th most demanding of 14
ROIC minus cost of capital+3.6 pp-0.6 pp4th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA2.5×12.1×cheapest of 13
Net debt / EBITDA0.9×4.5×3rd least indebted of 13

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
FirstGroup FGP.LUnited Kingdom$1.60B+40%-6%5%11.4×-7.6%+1.9%
Dongguan Development (Holdings) 000828.SZChina$1.57B-3%-4%39%10.7×0.7%+4.4%
Sotetsu 9003.TJapan$1.55B-4%+9%13%10.1×n/an/a
Evergreen Aviation Technologies 2645.TWTaiwan$1.67B-8%+10%17%16.2×-1.0%+11.2%
Shreeji Shipping Global SHREEJISPG.NSIndia$1.53B+111%+21%24%n/an/an/a
Fujian Expressway Development 600033.SSChina$1.51B+1%-3%47%n/a-16.1%+5.6%
Shenzhen International 0152.HKHong Kong$1.49B-35%+15%11%6.1×n/an/a
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik HHFA.DEGermany$1.72B-2%+3%7%n/an/an/a
Henan Zhongyuan Expressway 600020.SSChina$1.43B+5%-11%20%9.4×5.9%+5.4%
Nishi-Nippon Railroad 9031.TJapan$1.37B0%+10%7%9.0×n/an/a
Hainan Strait Shipping 002320.SZChina$1.88B-34%+4%23%70.1×-0.5%+36.7%
Tianjin Port 600717.SSChina$1.89B-2%-8%18%n/a-14.6%-1.6%
Westshore Terminals Investment WTE.TOCanada$1.90B+16%-16%33%26.3×11.9%-2.6%
Hutchison Port Holdings Trust NS8U.SISingapore$1.96B+7%+5%42%15.3×-10.5%+1.7%
NANKAI 9044.TJapan$2.03B0%+7%15%13.1×n/an/a
Xizang Tianlu 600326.SSChina$1.24B-35%-8%0%26.3×24.9%-13.0%
Shenzhen Airport 000089.SZChina$2.08B-5%+5%17%14.2×-6.4%+11.4%
Comfortdelgro C52.SISingapore$2.19B-10%+9%9%15.0×-8.2%+9.3%
StorageVault Canada SVI.TOCanada$1.09B-4%+9%23%n/a21.9%+16.6%
Nagoya Railroad 9048.TJapan$2.38B+8%-2%5%11.0×n/an/a
Shanxi Hi-speed 000755.SZChina$1.07B-3%+3%47%n/a-7.2%+8.4%

Questions

Who are FirstGroup's main competitors?
Named competitors: Mobico Group (National Express) (MCG.L), Go-Ahead Group (private or unlisted). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Dongguan Development (Holdings) (000828.SZ), Sotetsu (9003.T), Evergreen Aviation Technologies (2645.TW), Shreeji Shipping Global (SHREEJISPG.NS), Fujian Expressway Development (600033.SS), Shenzhen International (0152.HK).
Is FirstGroup expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 11.4× against a peer median of 13.6×, 7th cheapest of 15 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -8% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +2%, so the hurdle is -10 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has FirstGroup stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +40.0% against -2.8% for the median peer; over one year +14.2%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.