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Air France-KLM SAAF.PACompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

France · EUR·Industrials›Airlines

Parent company of Air France and KLM, operating passenger and cargo flights across a global network.

Momentum leader 96
Mkt cap
$3.99B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
44%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$15.7M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
4.7×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+3.7 pp
WACC 6.6%
Hurdle
-31 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB+ / BB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
111 days
25 Feb 2027
Close · EUR€13.53
1D+7.1%
1W+30.4%
1M+23.8%
3M+10.1%
6M+33.7%
YTD+17.0%
1Y+41.0%
ATR %3.9%
52w lowhigh6.2% off high

What Air France-KLM does

Parent company of Air France and KLM, operating passenger and cargo flights across a global network.

Passenger ticket sales carry the group, funnelled through two hubs, Paris and Amsterdam, and sold jointly with Delta and Virgin Atlantic on transatlantic routes; maintenance for other airlines, cargo and the Flying Blue loyalty programme add other income. The French and Dutch states are shareholders, and both airlines keep separate brands and bases.

Products and services

  • Air France passenger flights
  • KLM passenger flights
  • Cargo (Air France-KLM Martinair Cargo)
  • Transavia (low-cost subsidiary)

Customers

  • Leisure and business air travelers globally

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Transportation
  • Airlines
  • Passenger + cargo air transport…

What could go right

  • Transatlantic and long-haul travel demand recovery
  • Cargo/loyalty ancillary revenue growth

What could go wrong

  • Jet fuel price volatility
  • High legacy debt and labour cost structure

Moat: narrow (scale, installed base). Dual-hub network (Paris CDG, Amsterdam Schiphol) and slot access give scale advantages in a low-margin industry.

Headquarters: Paris, France · Founded: 2004 · Employees: 81,992

Named competitors

Air France-KLM at a glance

Size Air France-KLM (AF.PA) is a France Industrials company (Airlines) with a market value of $3.99B, the 75th largest of 206 France companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at €13.53 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares gained 33.7%, against +10.5% for the median peer and -0.4% for the France market (cap-weighted) — 3rd highest of 21 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 5.2% over the last twelve months (peer median +11.3%); the operating margin is 6.2% (peer median 6.9%).

Valuation It trades at 4.7× forward earnings against a peer median of 19.0× (cheapest of 17).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +24%, so the hurdle is -31 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 3.7 points above its cost of capital (6.6% WACC).

Credit Air France-KLM has 6 bonds outstanding ($3.68B), rated BB+ by the agencies and trading like BB+ at a weighted spread of 162 bp.

Next results Next results expected around 25 Feb 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

10012014011 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026AF.PA 135Peer median 113
Six months, rebased to 100: Air France-KLM against the median of its 20 peers (local-currency closes).

Air France-KLM financials

Reported figures in EUR; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue€34.2B€33.0B€31.5B€30.0B€26.4B
Revenue growth—+5%+5%+14%—
Gross profit€4.11B€3.94B€3.41B€3.33B€2.57B
EBITDA€5.44B€5.28B€4.40B€4.27B€3.74B
Net income€1.08B€1.53B€244M€934M€728M
Free cash flow€37.0M€115M-€856M-€423M€1.89B
Capital expenditure€4.04B€4.45B€3.73B€3.55B€2.97B
Total debt€16.6B€16.7B€15.6B€14.6B€15.5B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Air France-KLM competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-20%0%+20%+40%0%+20%AC2610ALK603885EIFSKYWCPAALGT601021AEROEZJ261800139160022100349060371326469201ULCCAF.PA6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Air France-KLM is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

+10%+20%+30%0×1,000×2610603885EIFCPAALGT6010210034902646ULCCAF.PARevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Air France-KLM is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-20%0%+20%-20%0%20%AC603885SKYWAEROEZJ26186002219201ULCCAF.PAGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Air France-KLM is the large dot.

Air France-KLM competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (AF.PA vs LHA.DE vs IAG.L vs DAL)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Air France-KLM AF.PA$3.99B+34%+5%6%4.7×-6.3%
Deutsche Lufthansa LHA.DE$11.4B+7%+8%-1%9.7×n/a
International Consolidated Airlines IAG.L$25.3B+9%+4%14%8.3×-3.9%
Delta Air Lines DAL$57.4B+19%+14%7%13.4×9.9%

How Air France-KLM compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Air France-KLM against its 20 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureAF.PAPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return+23.8%+4.1%2nd highest of 21
6-month return+33.7%+10.5%3rd highest of 21
Distance from 52-week high-6.2%-23.5%3rd highest of 21
Revenue growth (TTM)+5.2%+11.3%lowest of 21
Operating margin6.2%6.9%10th lowest of 21
Forward P/E4.7×19.0×cheapest of 17
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-6.3%2.2%4th least demanding of 10
Growth delivered (Del g)+24.4%+24.4%5th lowest of 10
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-30.6 pp-17.0 pp4th least demanding of 10
ROIC minus cost of capital+3.7 pp-0.2 pp5th highest of 21
EV / EBITDA3.2×5.2×cheapest of 14
Net debt / EBITDA2.1×2.2×8th least indebted of 16
Bond spread162 bp245 bp2nd tightest of 4

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Air France-KLM AF.PAFrance$3.99B+34%+5%6%4.7×-6.3%+24.4%
Air Canada AC.TOCanada$3.95B+10%+13%2%n/a14.3%+30.8%
China Airlines 2610.TWTaiwan$3.94B+17%+8%8%9.9×n/an/a
Alaska Air ALKUnited States$4.35B-5%+8%-1%n/an/an/a
Juneyao Airlines 603885.SSChina$3.42B-8%+8%1%69.5×0.4%+17.4%
Exchange Income EIF.TOCanada$4.77B+13%+33%11%24.6×n/an/a
SkyWest SKYWUnited States$3.02B-10%+7%14%7.5×2.2%+13.8%
Copa CPAUnited States$5.87B+16%+15%19%9.0×n/an/a
Allegiant Travel ALGTUnited States$2.51B+11%+12%9%12.7×n/an/a
Spring Airlines 601021.SSChina$6.51B-6%+16%6%26.0×n/an/a
Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V. Unsponsored ADR AEROUnited States$2.32B+1%+10%11%10.4×-6.6%+32.3%
easyJet EZJ.LUnited Kingdom$6.96B+90%+10%5%68.9×4.8%+27.4%
Eva Airways 2618.TWTaiwan$7.12B+28%+6%14%10.1×-17.0%+19.9%
Air China Cargo 001391.SZChina$7.12B-21%+10%9%n/an/an/a
Hainan Airlines 600221.SSChina$7.85B-20%+6%-3%24.2×5.0%+18.4%
KAL 003490.KSSouth Korea$7.99B+20%+21%2%21.1×n/an/a
Milkyway Intelligent Supply Chain Service 603713.SSChina$1.90B+29%+15%8%16.8×n/an/a
American Airlines AALUnited States$8.73B-1%+12%2%n/an/an/a
Starlux Airlines 2646.TWTaiwan$1.76B-6%+23%1%52.3×n/an/a
Japan Airlines 9201.TJapan$9.08B+34%+10%8%15.3×-9.7%+33.1%
Frontier ULCCUnited States$1.71B+40%+24%-15%1,818.4×31.6%+24.4%

Air France-KLM bonds and credit

Air France-KLM has 6 bonds outstanding with $3.68B face value. The agencies rate it BB+; its bonds trade like BB+. Weighted yield 4.80%, a spread of 162 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Air France-KLM's main competitors?
Named competitors: Lufthansa (LHA.DE), IAG (IAG.L), Delta Air Lines (DAL). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Air Canada (AC.TO), China Airlines (2610.TW), Alaska Air (ALK), Juneyao Airlines (603885.SS), Exchange Income (EIF.TO), SkyWest (SKYW).
Is Air France-KLM expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 4.7× against a peer median of 19.0×, cheapest of 17 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -6% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +24%, so the hurdle is -31 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Air France-KLM stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned +33.7% against +10.5% for the median peer; over one year +41.0%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.