Loading…

Alcoa CorporationAACompetitor analysis, valuation and peers

United States · USD·Materials›Aluminum

Global aluminum producer mining bauxite, refining alumina and smelting primary aluminum for industrial customers.

Momentum laggard 18
Mkt cap
$10.4B
US dollars, full cap
Free float
99%
of shares outstanding
$/day
$222M
20-day average traded
Fwd P/E
7.4×
forward earnings
ROIC−WACC
+8.0 pp
WACC 11.3%
Hurdle
-12 pp
Req g minus delivered
Official | Implied
BB+ / BB+
agencies · bond market
Next earnings
75 days
20 Jan 2027
Close · USD$39.54
1D+2.9%
1W+0.9%
1M-7.7%
3M-23.4%
6M-37.4%
YTD-25.6%
1Y+10.6%
ATR %4.0%
Beta1.51
52w lowhigh53.1% off high

What Alcoa does

Global aluminum producer mining bauxite, refining alumina and smelting primary aluminum for industrial customers.

Sells aluminum and alumina at prices set on the London Metal Exchange plus regional premiums, so results swing with market prices and with power costs at its smelters. Its 2024 purchase of Alumina Limited, its partner in the AWAC alumina venture, gave it full ownership of that venture's earnings.

Products and services

  • Alumina refining
  • Primary aluminum (smelting)
  • Bauxite mining

Customers

  • Aluminum fabricators/rolling mills
  • Automotive, aerospace and packaging manufacturers

Where it sits in the supply chain

  • Materials
  • Aluminum production
  • Bauxite mining, alumina refining…

What could go right

  • Aluminum price cycle upside
  • Green/low-carbon aluminum demand premium

What could go wrong

  • Commodity aluminum price volatility
  • Energy cost exposure at smelters

Moat: narrow (scale, cost advantage, installed base). Vertically integrated bauxite-to-metal assets and low-cost hydro power at some smelters support cost position.

Headquarters: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, US · Founded: 2016 · Employees: 14,900

Named competitors

Alcoa at a glance

Size Alcoa (AA) is a United States Materials company (Aluminum) with a market value of $10.4B, the 752nd largest of 3,117 United States companies the cockpit tracks. Shares closed at $39.54 on 6 Nov 2026.

Performance Over six months the shares fell 37.4%, against -25.3% for the median peer and -1.1% for the United States market (cap-weighted) — 2nd lowest of 17 in its peer set.

Growth Revenue grew 10.3% over the last twelve months (peer median +14.6%); the operating margin is 14.1% (peer median 15.7%).

Valuation It trades at 7.4× forward earnings against a peer median of 7.0× (8th most expensive of 17).

Price implies For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -5% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +7%, so the hurdle is -12 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.

Capital Return on invested capital runs 8.0 points above its cost of capital (11.3% WACC).

Credit Alcoa has 2 bonds outstanding ($2.00B), rated BB+ by the agencies and trading like BB+ at a weighted spread of 183 bp.

Short interest Short interest is 4.5% of the free float (15 Oct 2026).

Next results Next results expected around 20 Jan 2027 (exchange calendar; dates can move).

Relative performance

7510012511 May 202611 Aug 20266 Nov 2026Peer median 73AA 61
Six months, rebased to 100: Alcoa against the median of its 17 peers (local-currency closes).

Alcoa financials

Reported figures in USD; fiscal year ends 2025-12-31. TTM = trailing twelve months.
TTMFY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue$14.4B$13.2B$12.2B$10.7B$12.8B
Revenue growth—+8%+14%-16%—
Gross profit$2.40B$1.92B$1.50B$241M$1.93B
EBITDA$2.71B$2.22B$1.81B$608M$2.31B
Net income$1.54B$1.16B$60.0M-$651M-$123M
Free cash flow$890M$567M$42.0M-$440M$342M
Capital expenditure$719M$618M$580M$531M$480M
Total debt$4.82B$2.75B$2.81B$1.95B$1.90B

Quarterly statements and history in the cockpit →

Alcoa competitor charts

The default views of Competitor Analysis ▸ Charts, drawn from the same data. Open them in the cockpit to change the axes, pin companies and read every value.

Performance: 6-month against 1-month return

-40%-20%0%-20%-10%0%600673VEDL002128000807000933002532NHY600219NATIONALUM04861378600595CENXKTYCSTM601677AA6-month return →1-month return →
Up and to the right = strong over both horizons. Alcoa is the large dot.

Fundamentals: revenue growth against valuation

-40%-20%0%+20%+40%0×20×40×600673VEDL002128000807000933NHY600219NATIONALUM1378CENXKTYCSTMAARevenue growth (TTM) →Forward P/E →
Further right = faster growth; higher = more expensive. The dashed lines are the peer medians. Alcoa is the large dot.

Capital: growth delivered against growth the price implies

-10%0%+10%+20%0%20%VEDL002128000807000933002532NHY600219NATIONALUM1378600595CENXKTYCSTM601677AAGrowth delivered (Del g) →Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs) →
Above the diagonal = the price needs more growth than the company has been delivering; below = the price already allows for a slowdown. Alcoa is the large dot.

Alcoa competitors and peer comparison

Head to head with its named competitors (AA vs RIO.L vs CENX vs NHY.OL)
CompanyMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq g
Alcoa AA$10.4B-37%+10%14%7.4×-4.9%
Rio Tinto RIO.L$144B-21%+11%27%10.3×5.6%
Century Aluminum CENX$3.31B-43%+10%15%3.2×9.9%
Norsk Hydro NHY.OL$14.4B-34%-4%10%8.3×0.4%
South32 S32.AX$13.7B-1%-4%15%12.7×6.3%

How Alcoa compares with its peers

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size. This is the same default set the interactive Competitor Analysis opens with.

Alcoa against its 17 peers (data as of 6 Nov 2026)
MeasureAAPeer medianRank in peer set
1-month return-7.7%-4.6%7th lowest of 18
6-month return-37.4%-25.3%2nd lowest of 17
Distance from 52-week high-53.1%-41.0%2nd lowest of 18
Revenue growth (TTM)+10.3%+14.6%8th lowest of 17
Operating margin14.1%15.7%7th lowest of 17
Forward P/E7.4×7.0×8th most expensive of 17
Growth the price implies (Req g, 7 yrs)-4.9%-8.1%6th most demanding of 15
Growth delivered (Del g)+7.1%+11.1%3rd lowest of 15
Hurdle (Req g minus delivered)-11.9 pp-17.1 pp4th most demanding of 15
ROIC minus cost of capital+8.0 pp+11.9 pp8th lowest of 18
EV / EBITDA3.9×5.0×3rd cheapest of 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.0×0.4×2nd least indebted of 9
Bond spread183 bpn/a—

Peer table

Peer set: Industry: the same industry and sector in any market, nearest in size
CompanyMarketMarket cap6M returnRevenue growthOp. marginForward P/EReq gDelivered g
Alcoa AAUnited States$10.4B-37%+10%14%7.4×-4.9%+7.1%
Guangdong HEC Technology 600673.SSChina$10.4B-35%+30%6%51.0×n/an/a
Vedanta VEDL.NSIndia$10.8B-14%-37%28%6.0×-9.5%-3.1%
Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy 002128.SZChina$12.1B-16%+47%34%9.3×-15.4%+8.5%
Yunnan Aluminium 000807.SZChina$12.8B-23%+16%26%5.8×-16.1%+15.2%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power 000933.SZChina$8.45B-21%+17%26%6.2×-16.2%+17.0%
Tianshan Aluminum 002532.SZChina$8.36B-28%+17%31%6.4×-13.0%+1.4%
Norsk Hydro NHY.OLNorway$14.4B-34%-4%10%8.3×0.4%+12.7%
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium 600219.SSChina$7.53B-19%+4%13%10.7×-5.7%+9.4%
Vedanta Aluminium Metal VAML.NSIndia$15.6Bn/an/an/a6.7×n/an/a
National Aluminium NATIONALUM.NSIndia$6.33B-19%+14%43%8.3×-4.2%+14.7%
United Company RUSAL international PJSC 0486.HKHong Kong$4.26B-34%-4%6%n/an/an/a
Chinahongqiao 1378.HKHong Kong$25.5B-36%+7%25%5.0×-12.8%+12.7%
Henan Zhongfu Industrial 600595.SSChina$3.36B-28%+24%16%5.7×-10.2%+23.3%
Century Aluminum CENXUnited States$3.31B-43%+10%15%3.2×9.9%+9.5%
Grupa Kety KTY.WAPoland$3.15B+11%+8%15%16.9×6.6%+9.2%
Constellium CSTMUnited States$2.93B-36%+26%9%8.3×-6.8%+8.7%
Henan Mingtai Aluminum Industrial 601677.SSChina$2.70B-17%+19%6%7.2×-2.7%+16.6%

Alcoa bonds and credit

Alcoa has 2 bonds outstanding with $2.00B face value. The agencies rate it BB+; its bonds trade like BB+. Weighted yield 6.58%, a spread of 183 bp over government bonds.

Every bond, yield and spread in the cockpit →

Questions

Who are Alcoa's main competitors?
Named competitors: Rio Tinto (RIO.L), Century Aluminum (CENX), Norsk Hydro (NHY.OL), South32 (S32.AX). The cockpit's measured peer set (industry) also includes Guangdong HEC Technology (600673.SS), Vedanta (VEDL.NS), Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy (002128.SZ), Yunnan Aluminium (000807.SZ), Henan Shenhuo Coal Industary and Electricity Power (000933.SZ), Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ).
Is Alcoa expensive compared with its peers?
On forward p/e it trades at 7.4× against a peer median of 7.0×, 8th most expensive of 17 in its peer set. For today's price to make sense, revenue must grow about -5% a year for seven years (Req g). Recent delivered growth is +7%, so the hurdle is -12 pp: the price already allows for a slowdown.
How has Alcoa stock performed?
Over six months to 6 Nov 2026 the shares returned -37.4% against -25.3% for the median peer; over one year +10.6%.

How these numbers are made. Returns are close-to-close in local currency. Revenue growth and margins are trailing twelve months. Req g is the revenue growth that today's enterprise value requires for seven years at the company's own cost of capital; Delivered g is what it actually grew; the gap is the hurdle (honest precision about ±8 points, so read the ranking more than the decimal). No fair values, price targets or analyst ratings are shown, by design. Method and validation.